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6:25 PM ET, January 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
John Harwood / The Caucus:
Is Obama a Plan B for Richardson Voters?  —  Barack Obama's drive to win tonight's Iowa caucuses is getting a boost from two of his putative rivals.  After earlier winning the support of Dennis Kucinich, Obama's campaign has reached an agreement with Bill Richardson for the second-choice votes …
RELATED:
Zogby:
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: Obama Moves Into Lead Followed by Edwards; Huckabee Lead Widens  —  Clinton, Romney dip as Ron Paul gains  —  UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama continued his upward momentum through the evening before the Iowa caucuses, capturing the lead ahead …
Shailagh Murray / The Trail:
A Biden-Obama Deal?  —  DES MOINES — Sen. Joseph Biden wants to beat New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson tonight.  And Sen. Barack Obama could help him do that.  —  A source close to the Biden campaign described a possible arrangement, now under discussion between the two camps …
Chase Martyn / Iowa Independent:
Richardson set to send Obama second-choice support  —  The story gets significantly more complicated, as more evidence of a two-way deal in select counties or precincts emerges.  Click here for the updated story.  —  [Exclusive] Gov. Bill Richardson's campaign is expected to direct …
Carrie Budoff Brown / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Bill, Hillary and expectations in Iowa  —  Former President Bill Clinton tried to lower expectations today for his wife, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, suggesting at a Starbucks here in Des Moines that Iowa was not make-or-break for her presidential campaign.  —  “I didn't win a race until …
Discussion: MSNBC, Spin Cycle, Cafe Hayek and TIME
Tim Dickinson / Rolling Stone:
The Iowa Caucuses: Five Not-So-Unlikely Surprises
Discussion: Newsweek and MyDD
doj.nh.gov:
MCCain and Romney PUsh Poll Complaints  —  Attorney General Kelly A. Ayotte is requesting the public's assistance in identifying who employed Moore-Information of Portland, Oregon to conduct a poll in New Hampshire, in November 2007, which has been alleged to be a push-poll.
RELATED:
Greg Sargent / TPM Election Central:
New Hampshire Identifies Firm Behind Anti-Mormon Calls — But Not Their Sponsor
Chris Cillizza / The Fix:
Iowa Caucuses — Prediction Time!  —  After all of the waiting and anticipating, Iowa caucus day is here!  —  The Fix will be writing a constantly updating news story throughout the late afternoon and evening on washingtonpost.com, which we will be cross-publishing in this space.
Discussion: The Campaign Spot and Hullabaloo
RELATED:
Richelieu / Weekly Standard:
Richelieu: Predictions  —  Your Cardinal has been busy converting …
Matthew Yglesias:
The Independents  —  John Judis and Ruy Teixeira take a look at the demographic and ideological characteristics of self-described independents and their potential role in the presidential election.  It's clear that the post-partisan rhetoric from Barack Obama that's annoyed a lot of bloggers …
RELATED:
Brent Baker / NewsBusters.org:
NBC Highlights ‘Life-Long Republican’ Caucusing for Obama, But...  On Wednesday's NBC Nightly News, Andrea Mitchell showcased “a lifelong Republican, who twice voted for George Bush, now canvassing for Obama” as a “precinct captain” in Iowa.  In an interview two months ago, however …
Discussion: Obama'08 and Moonbattery
RELATED:
Matthew Sheffield / NewsBusters.org:
Bush-bashing ‘Republican’ Henry Lowenstein, NYT's Favorite
Discussion: The Corner and Redstate
Daily Mail:
Flashman author George MacDonald Fraser dies aged 82 after cancer battle  —  George MacDonald Fraser, author of the hugely entertaining Flashman novels, has died aged 82.  —  Fraser - whose fans included P G Wodehouse and Kingsley Amis - died after a battle with cancer.
RELATED:
Margalit Fox / New York Times:
George MacDonald Fraser, Author of Flashman Novels, Dies at 82
Discussion: The Agonist
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Can Edwards Do It In Iowa?  —  The Mellencamp concert for John Edwards last night was a huge success for the campaign.  It was well attended (easily twice the size of the Huckabee “Huck'n'Chuck” rally the night before), the crowd was enthusiastic and responded to his message.
Ross Douthat:
My Mitt Romney Problem (And Yours?)  —  Watch this ad:  —  “In the next ten years, we'll see more progress, more change, than the world has seen in the last ten centuries."  —  Mitt Romney is an immensely talented and accomplished figure.  In many ways, he looks like an ideal antidote to George W. Bush …
FactCheck.org:
Huckabee's Attack Ad Runs After All  —  His attack ad appears on three Iowa stations.  We find it somewhat misleading.  Another ad makes misleading claims about tax cuts.  —  The ad Huckabee said he decided not to run has now appeared at least three times in Iowa anyway.
Paul Kiel / TPMmuckraker:
Harman Warned against Destroying Tapes in 2003  —  The CIA's initial defense for destroying the videotapes showing interrogations of Al Qaeda detainees was that they'd briefed members of Congress about their intention to do this long ago.  —  To which, Rep. Jane Harman (D-CA) …
Discussion: Think Progress and Emptywheel
Vanity Fair:
Karl Rove  —  A principal architect of the disastrous presidency of George W. Bush, Karl Rove, 57, has charted a long course from the internship he landed with the Republican Party in Utah almost four decades ago.  Here, the president's former deputy chief of staff reflects on his fear of going broke …
Discussion: The Jawa Report and Rising Hegemon
John Kass / Chicago Tribune:
For Marine's sendoff, his car is keyed  —  Marine Sgt. Michael McNulty — now on his way to Iraq for his second tour of duty in the war — took meticulous care of his car.  —  It is a black two-door BMW, an expensive ride for a young Marine from Chicago, but then, McNulty didn't exactly join …
Discussion: The Jawa Report and UrbanGrounds
Paul Kiel / TPMmuckraker:
Today's Must Read  —  The eight year Constitutional law seminar that is the Bush Administration continues!  —  Today's lesson: the pocket veto.  —  Last week, the president claimed to have sunk Congress' defense authorization bill by pocket veto.  Now Democrats are saying he can't do that.
Discussion: The Hill, ACSBlog, truthout and Emptywheel
Election Projection:
Iowa predictions  —  Ok, I know I said the caucuses are too close to call.  But I just can't help myself.  So here are my predictions for tonight's battle in the heartland.  —  Republicans
 
 
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 More Items: 
Larry J. Sabato / Sabato's Crystal Ball:
ALL EYES ON THE HAWKEYE STATE
Discussion: Political Punch
Mort Kondracke / Real Clear Politics:
Moderate Graybeards Need a Top 10 Agenda. Here's One
CNN:
Supreme Court Justice Bill Clinton?
Discussion: Moonbattery and Wonkette
Jay Tea / Wizbang:
J. T. For F. T.
The New Republic:
The Huck Channels Ron Paul
Daniel Henninger / Opinion Journal:
The Pre-Election Paradox  —  While 70% say U.S. is a mess, 84% say they're happy.
Washington Post:
FEC Adds Fine to Hastert's Legal Bills in Mark Foley Case
Discussion: Wonkette and On Deadline
The Campaign Spot:
Richardson, Like Kucinich, Will Throw Support to Obama
Discussion: Hot Air and PoliPundit.com
 Earlier Items: 
Jim Tice / Army Times:
Bonus payments frozen
Michael Arrington / TechCrunch:
Plaxo Flubs It  —  News leaked prematurely today about a new …
Beverley Wang / Associated Press:
Giuliani muses on vice president, cabinet
Matthew Yglesias:
Snow Falling on Pundits
Thomas Heath / Washington Post:
Post Targeted by Ad Campaign
Lindsey Ellerson / Political Radar:
Romney to Huck's Camp: 'Don't Touch the Hair'
Discussion: TownHall Blog
Pig / WanderingGoblin.com:
Goblin Literature  —  Ron Paul, the Future President of Azeroth