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4:50 PM ET, January 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Zogby:
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: Obama Moves Into Lead Followed by Edwards; Huckabee Lead Widens  —  Clinton, Romney dip as Ron Paul gains  —  UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama continued his upward momentum through the evening before the Iowa caucuses, capturing the lead ahead …
RELATED:
John Harwood / The Caucus:
Is Obama a Plan B for Richardson Voters?  —  Barack Obama's drive to win tonight's Iowa caucuses is getting a boost from two of his putative rivals.  After earlier winning the support of Dennis Kucinich, Obama's campaign has reached an agreement with Bill Richardson for the second-choice votes …
Chase Martyn / Iowa Independent:
Richardson set to send Obama second-choice support  —  [Exclusive] Gov. Bill Richardson's campaign is expected to direct its supporters to caucus for Sen. Barack Obama in the second round of voting at Thursday's caucuses in precincts where he is not viable.  Two sources familiar …
Shailagh Murray / The Trail:
A Biden-Obama Deal?  —  DES MOINES — Sen. Joseph Biden wants to beat New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson tonight.  And Sen. Barack Obama could help him do that.  —  A source close to the Biden campaign described a possible arrangement, now under discussion between the two camps …
Tim Dickinson / Rolling Stone:
The Iowa Caucuses: Five Not-So-Unlikely Surprises
Discussion: Newsweek and MyDD
Adam Nagourney / New York Times:
Domestic Issues Now Outweigh Iraq  —  DES MOINES — The Democratic and Republican presidential candidates are navigating a far different set of issues as they approach the Iowa caucuses on Thursday than when they first started campaigning here a year ago, and that is likely to change …
RELATED:
Thomas Beaumont / Des Moines Register:
Democrats may draw more independents  —  Thousands more Iowa independent voters are expected to turn out for Democratic presidential candidates than Republicans at today's Iowa caucuses.  —  If polls and turnout forecasts are accurate, Iowa independents would be following the lead set by their national peers in 2006.
Matthew Yglesias:
The Independents  —  John Judis and Ruy Teixeira take a look at the demographic and ideological characteristics of self-described independents and their potential role in the presidential election.  It's clear that the post-partisan rhetoric from Barack Obama that's annoyed a lot of bloggers …
RELATED:
Matt Stoller / Open Left:
The Bipartisan Virus in Iowa  —  There's another side to what Atrios says. … Being in Iowa and listening to the radio on long car rides, as well as various politicians, I'm hearing a huge amount of talk of bipartisanship as some sort of virtue.  There have literally been several call …
Discussion: Eschaton and TalkLeft
doj.nh.gov:
MCCain and Romney PUsh Poll Complaints  —  Attorney General Kelly A. Ayotte is requesting the public's assistance in identifying who employed Moore-Information of Portland, Oregon to conduct a poll in New Hampshire, in November 2007, which has been alleged to be a push-poll.
Foreign Policy:
Seven Questions: Gen. David Petraeus on Winding down the Surge  —  By the end of July, 25 percent of American combat troops are due to withdraw from Iraq.  FP sat down with Gen. David Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, to find out how he plans to draw down without leaving chaos behind.
RELATED:
Richelieu / Weekly Standard:
Richelieu: Predictions  —  Your Cardinal has been busy converting the wicked in the bars and political back-rooms of icy Iowa, and offers a few final thoughts and predictions.  —  1.)  Obama is going to win and could do so by a strong margin.  Hillary and Edwards trail, with 60% chance Hillary comes in third.
RELATED:
Michael Luo / The Caucus:
Romney's Team Assess the G.O.P. Vote
Matthew Sheffield / NewsBusters.org:
Bush-bashing ‘Republican’ Henry Lowenstein, NYT's Favorite  —  The quickest way to get the liberal media to pay attention to you is to claim to be a Republican who hates Republicans.  It's an almost infallible public relations strategy that of late has worked well for “Republican” Monica Green.
Discussion: The Corner
RELATED:
Brent Baker / NewsBusters.org:   NBC Highlights ‘Life-Long Republican’ Caucusing for Obama, But...
John Kass / Chicago Tribune:
For Marine's sendoff, his car is keyed  —  Marine Sgt. Michael McNulty — now on his way to Iraq for his second tour of duty in the war — took meticulous care of his car.  —  It is a black two-door BMW, an expensive ride for a young Marine from Chicago, but then, McNulty didn't exactly join …
Discussion: The Jawa Report and UrbanGrounds
Vanity Fair:
Karl Rove  —  A principal architect of the disastrous presidency of George W. Bush, Karl Rove, 57, has charted a long course from the internship he landed with the Republican Party in Utah almost four decades ago.  Here, the president's former deputy chief of staff reflects on his fear of going broke …
Discussion: The Jawa Report and Rising Hegemon
Diane Cardwell / New York Times:
Political Field Is Panned by Bloomberg  —  With unusually dismissive language, Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg offered tart assessments of his potential presidential rivals at a news conference on Wednesday, suggesting they are offering meaningless bromides rather than serious answers to the problems confronting the country.
Election Projection:
Iowa predictions  —  Ok, I know I said the caucuses are too close to call.  But I just can't help myself.  So here are my predictions for tonight's battle in the heartland.  —  Republicans
Daily Mail:
Flashman author George MacDonald Fraser dies aged 82 after cancer battle  —  George MacDonald Fraser, author of the hugely entertaining Flashman novels, has died aged 82.  —  Fraser - whose fans included P G Wodehouse and Kingsley Amis - died after a battle with cancer.
Ross Douthat:
My Mitt Romney Problem (And Yours?)  —  Watch this ad:  —  “In the next ten years, we'll see more progress, more change, than the world has seen in the last ten centuries."  —  Mitt Romney is an immensely talented and accomplished figure.  In many ways, he looks like an ideal antidote to George W. Bush …
Lindsey Ellerson / Political Radar:
Romney to Huck's Camp: 'Don't Touch the Hair'  —  ABC News' Matt Stuart and Teddy Davis Report: Mitt Romney made a tongue-in-cheek plea Thursday for Ed Rollins, the Huckabee campaign chairman who recently said that he wanted to knock Romney's teeth out, to keep his hands off his well-quaffed hair.
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Can Edwards Do It In Iowa?  —  The Mellencamp concert for John Edwards last night was a huge success for the campaign.  It was well attended (easily twice the size of the Huckabee “Huck'n'Chuck” rally the night before), the crowd was enthusiastic and responded to his message.
Discussion: Crooks and Liars
Chuck Todd / MSNBC:
Get your post-caucus spin now  —  With this guide, you can analyze any result — before the Iowans gather  —  DES MOINES, Iowa - In a matter of hours, following the results of the Iowa caucuses, a contest will begin.  It will take place among the slew of national media trying to determine exactly what happened.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Washington Post:
FEC Adds Fine to Hastert's Legal Bills in Mark Foley Case
Discussion: Wonkette and On Deadline
Paul Kiel / TPMmuckraker:
Harman Warned against Destroying Tapes in 2003
Discussion: Emptywheel
The Campaign Spot:
Richardson, Like Kucinich, Will Throw Support to Obama
Discussion: PoliPundit.com
Zogby:
Survey Methodology [Iowa Caucus Poll] 12/30/07 thru 1/2/08
Jim Tice / Army Times:
Bonus payments frozen
Dan Joling / Associated Press:
Alaskan Sea Drilling Plans Condemned
Michael Arrington / TechCrunch:
Plaxo Flubs It  —  News leaked prematurely today about a new …
Gary Langer / ABCNEWS:
POLL: Politics and the Internet Meet in the Rise of the Wired Electorate
 Earlier Items: 
Matthew Yglesias:
Snow Falling on Pundits
Thomas Heath / Washington Post:
Post Targeted by Ad Campaign
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
THE DAY IS UPON US  —  Ahhh, the election markets — very volatile tonight.
Spencerackerman / toohotfortnr:
IT'S THE R-E-U-P-G-A-N-G:  —  Suicide bombings in Iraq: not actually over.
Pig / WanderingGoblin.com:
Goblin Literature  —  Ron Paul, the Future President of Azeroth