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9:30 PM ET, January 3, 2008

memeorandum

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John McIntyre / Real Clear Politics:
What the Major Campaigns Need Tonight
Discussion: Los Angeles Times and TIME
John Harwood / The Caucus:
Is Obama a Plan B for Richardson Voters?  —  Barack Obama's drive to win tonight's Iowa caucuses is getting a boost from two of his putative rivals.  After earlier winning the support of Dennis Kucinich, Obama's campaign has reached an agreement with Bill Richardson for the second-choice votes …
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Shailagh Murray / The Trail:
A Biden-Obama Deal?  —  DES MOINES — Sen. Joseph Biden wants to beat New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson tonight.  And Sen. Barack Obama could help him do that.  —  A source close to the Biden campaign described a possible arrangement, now under discussion between the two camps …
Ben Smith / The Politico:
Obama staffer suggests Richardson vote deal
CNN:
Supreme Court Justice Bill Clinton?  —  WASHINGTON (CNN) — It is a title that would be sure to bring either fear or cheer to many Americans, depending on your political leanings: Supreme Court Justice Bill Clinton.  —  That provocative possibility has long been whispered in legal …
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Carrie Budoff Brown / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Bill, Hillary and expectations in Iowa  —  Former President Bill Clinton tried to lower expectations today for his wife, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, suggesting at a Starbucks here in Des Moines that Iowa was not make-or-break for her presidential campaign.  —  “I didn't win a race until …
Roger Simon / The Politico:
Inside Iowa  —  Fuzzy math, Iowa-style  —  I just bumped into David Axelrod, Barack Obama's chief political strategist, and told him about my earlier blog item in which Tom Vilsack said: “Hillary Clinton has 5,000 people prepared to give rides this time."  —  “Sure, she has 5,000 drivers …
Discussion: Boston Globe and MyDD
Zogby:
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: Obama Moves Into Lead Followed by Edwards; Huckabee Lead Widens  —  Clinton, Romney dip as Ron Paul gains  —  UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama continued his upward momentum through the evening before the Iowa caucuses, capturing the lead ahead …
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Chase Martyn / Iowa Independent:
Richardson set to send Obama second-choice support
Mark Murray / MSNBC:
DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS SITE PACKED  —  From NBC's David Gregory and David Gelles  —  Inside the Westridge elementary school in West Des Moines, this Democratic caucus site is packed.  Huge turnout here.  —  Only 86 showed up in 2004.  Tonight, the line is out the door.  —  It looks like almost 200 here.
Discussion: MyDD, Cogitamus, Oliver Willis and Open Left
RELATED:
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
How a deal looks — and its limits  —  Here in Clive, Richardson pulled 28 caucus-goers, respectable but not viable, and his precinct captain, Bill Straite, stood on a chair to break the bad news.  —  “Folks, it doesn't look like we're going to make it,” he said.  “I'm not going to try to give you any advice.
Discussion: Taegan Goddard's …
RELATED:
Michael Crowley / The New Republic:   The Deal Was for Real  —  Bill Richardson was not viable …
Atrios / Eschaton:
So Absurd  —  Tweety: … So if Hillary gets 33 percent “she's been rejected here in Iowa by two-thirds of the Democratic Party."  —  What of Saint McCain? … If McCain is rejected by 82% of caucusgoers he's a “big hero."  —  Tweety just repeated the Clinton/two thirds crap on Hardball just now.
RELATED:
Media Matters for America:   Matthews: “[L]ow 30 percent” …
Paul Kiel / TPMmuckraker:
Harman Warned against Destroying Tapes in 2003  —  The CIA's initial defense for destroying the videotapes showing interrogations of Al Qaeda detainees was that they'd briefed members of Congress about their intention to do this long ago.  —  To which, Rep. Jane Harman (D-CA) …
Discussion: Think Progress, The Lede and Emptywheel
FactCheck.org:
Huckabee's Attack Ad Runs After All  —  His attack ad appears on three Iowa stations.  We find it somewhat misleading.  Another ad makes misleading claims about tax cuts.  —  The ad Huckabee said he decided not to run has now appeared at least three times in Iowa anyway.
CNN:
Schneider: Who are the GOP caucus-goers?  —  Our first waves of entrance polling is giving us insight into who these caucus-goers are tonight.  —  On the Repbulican side, a third are over 65, and nearly 75 percent are over the age of 45.  There are slightly more men than women …
Discussion: Think Progress
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Dodd may drop out  —  Sen. Chris Dodd, who moved his family to Iowa in an effort to make a strong showing in the caucus, has told Fox News that he would be “going to Hartford tomorrow” if he doesn't finish stronger than fourth place tonight, my colleague Martin Kady II reports.
Discussion: The New Republic and MyDD
CNN:
Romney: 'Don't touch the hair'  —  (CNN) - Republican Mitt Romney joked Thursday that his opponents are welcome to throw all they've got at him, but when it comes to his perfectly coiffed hair, they'd better back off.  —  The former Massachusetts governor's comments came at an Iowa event …
Discussion: Hotline On Call and Cliff Schecter
Sarah Lai Stirland / Threat Level:
Iowa Caucus Results To Be Broadcast Online, and on Digital Billboards  —  As numerous writers have noted, Iowa polling data doesn't tell us much of anything because of the complexities of the variables involved.  —  So the best “poll” to watch this evening would be the actual caucus results …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Little Green Footballs:
Fiskie/Fallaci Awards Voting - First Round Redux
iowahawk:
Liveblogging the Iowa Caucuses
Discussion: Stop The ACLU
Digby / Hullabaloo:
Blink Your Eyes..  —  Did they hold the caucuses already and nobody told me?
Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:
Live Coverage Of The Iowa Caucuses
Yeas & Nays:
The Iowa Caucus: Photoblogging The Media
Discussion: FishBowlDC
Steven G. Vegh / Virginian-Pilot:
Pat Robertson predicts violence, recession for 2008
Discussion: Think Progress and Wonkette
Dan Froomkin / Washington Post:
Will Justice Go After Cheney?
Discussion: Think Progress and AMERICAblog
Michael Calderone / The Politico:
NYT reporters get private jet out of Iowa
 Earlier Items: 
Pareene / Gawker:
MySpace Primary Winner Ron Paul Will Boost Your Traffic!
BBC:
Single trader behind oil record
Discussion: The Lede
Peter Robinson / The Corner:
The End of Fred? Not Even Close
The Corner:
A Word on Obama
Dick Polman / Dick Polman's American Debate:
My caveats about Iowa
Discussion: The Belmont Club
Matthew Sheffield / NewsBusters.org:
Bush-bashing ‘Republican’ Henry Lowenstein, NYT's Favorite
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Can Edwards Do It In Iowa?
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Matthew Keys / The Desk:
DirecTV terminates its Dish acquisition after a group of Dish creditors rejected a modified bond exchange offer

Ashley Carman / Bloomberg:
A growing number of podcasters, including Tim Ferriss, are moving away from interviews to monologues or co-hosts, as some well-known guests can be overexposed

Jonathan Stempel / Reuters:
A New York judge finds Sirius XM liable for a difficult subscription cancellation process; Sirius says it will appeal but abide by a new “click-to-cancel” rule

 
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