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4:25 PM ET, January 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Chase Martyn / Iowa Independent:
Richardson set to send Obama second-choice support  —  [Exclusive] Gov. Bill Richardson's campaign is expected to direct its supporters to caucus for Sen. Barack Obama in the second round of voting at Thursday's caucuses in precincts where he is not viable.  Two sources familiar …
RELATED:
Zogby:
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: Obama Moves Into Lead Followed by Edwards; Huckabee Lead Widens  —  Clinton, Romney dip as Ron Paul gains  —  UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama continued his upward momentum through the evening before the Iowa caucuses, capturing the lead ahead …
Shailagh Murray / The Trail:
A Biden-Obama Deal?  —  DES MOINES — Sen. Joseph Biden wants to beat New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson tonight.  And Sen. Barack Obama could help him do that.  —  A source close to the Biden campaign described a possible arrangement, now under discussion between the two camps …
John Harwood / The Caucus:
Obama Will Get Richardson's Second-Choice Votes  —  Barack Obama's drive to win tonight's Iowa caucuses is getting a boost from two of his putative rivals.  After earlier winning the support of Dennis Kucinich, Obama's campaign has reached an agreement with Bill Richardson for the second-choice votes …
Discussion: TalkLeft and Marc Ambinder
Tim Dickinson / Rolling Stone:
The Iowa Caucuses: Five Not-So-Unlikely Surprises
Discussion: Newsweek and MyDD
Matthew Yglesias:
The Independents  —  John Judis and Ruy Teixeira take a look at the demographic and ideological characteristics of self-described independents and their potential role in the presidential election.  It's clear that the post-partisan rhetoric from Barack Obama that's annoyed a lot of bloggers …
RELATED:
Matt Stoller / Open Left:
The Bipartisan Virus in Iowa
Discussion: Eschaton and TalkLeft
The Politico:
Thompson may drop out, back McCain  —  DES MOINES, Iowa - Several Republican officials close to Fred Thompson's presidential campaign said they expect the candidate will drop out of the race within days if he finishes poorly in Thursday's Iowa caucus.  —  Thompson's campaign …
RELATED:
Chuck Todd / MSNBC:
Get your post-caucus spin now  —  With this guide, you can analyze any result — before the Iowans gather  —  DES MOINES, Iowa - In a matter of hours, following the results of the Iowa caucuses, a contest will begin.  It will take place among the slew of national media trying to determine exactly what happened.
doj.nh.gov:
MCCain and Romney PUsh Poll Complaints  —  Attorney General Kelly A. Ayotte is requesting the public's assistance in identifying who employed Moore-Information of Portland, Oregon to conduct a poll in New Hampshire, in November 2007, which has been alleged to be a push-poll.
Discussion: Hot Air and Redstate
Vanity Fair:
Karl Rove  —  A principal architect of the disastrous presidency of George W. Bush, Karl Rove, 57, has charted a long course from the internship he landed with the Republican Party in Utah almost four decades ago.  Here, the president's former deputy chief of staff reflects on his fear of going broke …
John Kass / Chicago Tribune:
For Marine's sendoff, his car is keyed  —  Marine Sgt. Michael McNulty — now on his way to Iraq for his second tour of duty in the war — took meticulous care of his car.  —  It is a black two-door BMW, an expensive ride for a young Marine from Chicago, but then, McNulty didn't exactly join …
Discussion: The Jawa Report and UrbanGrounds
Thomas Beaumont / Des Moines Register:
Independents plan to caucus with Dems  —  Thousands more Iowa independent voters are expected to turn out for Democrat presidential candidates than Republicans at today's Iowa caucuses.  —  Iowa independents are expected to follow the lead set by their national peers in 2006.
RELATED:
CNN:
Caucuses 101: Mastering rules could lead to victory
Matthew Sheffield / NewsBusters.org:
Bush-bashing ‘Republican’ Henry Lowenstein, NYT's Favorite  —  The quickest way to get the liberal media to pay attention to you is to claim to be a Republican who hates Republicans.  It's an almost infallible public relations strategy that of late has worked well for “Republican” Monica Green.
Discussion: The Corner
RELATED:
Brent Baker / NewsBusters.org:   NBC Highlights ‘Life-Long Republican’ Caucusing for Obama, But...
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
COMING FLUFFTACULAR  —  I flagged this in today's TPMtv episode and posted a reader email on it yesterday, but if I had my choice, John McCain would not be the candidate I'd want the Democratic candidate to face in November.  He's got lots of liabilities, on a whole number of fronts.
Election Projection:
Iowa predictions  —  Ok, I know I said the caucuses are too close to call.  But I just can't help myself.  So here are my predictions for tonight's battle in the heartland.  —  Republicans
Foreign Policy:
Seven Questions: Gen. David Petraeus on Winding down the Surge  —  By the end of July, 25 percent of American combat troops are due to withdraw from Iraq.  FP sat down with Gen. David Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, to find out how he plans to draw down without leaving chaos behind.
Daily Mail:
Flashman author George MacDonald Fraser dies aged 82 after cancer battle  —  George MacDonald Fraser, author of the hugely entertaining Flashman novels, has died aged 82.  —  Fraser - whose fans included P G Wodehouse and Kingsley Amis - died after a battle with cancer.
Zogby:
Survey Methodology [Iowa Caucus Poll] 12/30/07 thru 1/2/08  —  The target sample is [905] interviews with approximately [31] questions asked.  Samples are randomly drawn from telephone cd's of national listed sample.  Zogby International surveys employ sampling strategies in which selection probabilities …
Discussion: The Huffington Post
Matthew Yglesias:
Snow Falling on Pundits  —  Given that the Iowa caucus is basically a media-generated phenomenon that wouldn't matter at all if not for the hype, it's a little strange that it's in Iowa in January.  All one hears this week as a journalists are complaints from colleagues in Des Moines or Nashua about how cold it is.
Discussion: Outside The Beltway
Lindsey Ellerson / Political Radar:
Romney to Huck's Camp: 'Don't Touch the Hair'  —  ABC News' Matt Stuart and Teddy Davis Report: Mitt Romney made a tongue-in-cheek plea Thursday for Ed Rollins, the Huckabee campaign chairman who recently said that he wanted to knock Romney's teeth out, to keep his hands off his well-quaffed hair.
 
 
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 More Items: 
The Campaign Spot:
Richardson, Like Kucinich, Will Throw Support to Obama
Discussion: Hot Air and PoliPundit.com
Jim Tice / Army Times:
Bonus payments frozen
Dan Joling / Associated Press:
Alaskan Sea Drilling Plans Condemned
Michael Arrington / TechCrunch:
Plaxo Flubs It  —  News leaked prematurely today about a new …
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Can Edwards Do It In Iowa?
Discussion: Crooks and Liars
Gary Langer / ABCNEWS:
POLL: Politics and the Internet Meet in the Rise of the Wired Electorate
Discussion: TVNewser
Beverley Wang / Associated Press:
Giuliani muses on vice president, cabinet
Ross Douthat:
My Mitt Romney Problem (And Yours?)
Discussion: The Corner and Crunchy Con
 Earlier Items: 
Thomas Heath / Washington Post:
Post Targeted by Ad Campaign
Discussion: Wake up America and FishBowlDC
Kimberly Hefling / Associated Press:
FEC audit finds excessive contributions to Specter
Discussion: The Corner
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
THE DAY IS UPON US  —  Ahhh, the election markets — very volatile tonight.
Pig / WanderingGoblin.com:
Goblin Literature  —  Ron Paul, the Future President of Azeroth
Jeff Zeleny / New York Times:
Candidates Offer Final Messages to Iowa Voters
Richelieu / Weekly Standard:
Richelieu: Predictions  —  Your Cardinal has been busy converting …
Atlanta Journal-Constitution:
Von Spakovsky says good-bye to that job at the FEC