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11:15 PM ET, January 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
CNN:
Huckabee, Obama are projected winners in Iowa  —  DES MOINES, Iowa (CNN) — Barack Obama will win the Iowa Democratic caucus and Mike Huckabee will be the Republican winner, CNN projects.  —  With 95 percent of precincts reporting, Obama had the support of 37 percent of voters …
RELATED:
John Harwood / The Caucus:
Is Obama a Plan B for Richardson Voters?  —  Barack Obama's drive to win tonight's Iowa caucuses is getting a boost from two of his putative rivals.  After earlier winning the support of Dennis Kucinich, Obama's campaign has reached an agreement with Bill Richardson for the second-choice votes …
David Schoetz / ABCNEWS:
Huckabee Takes Iowa; Romney in 2nd  —  Former Arkansas Governor Rides Momentum Surge to Early Victory  —  ABC News projects that former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee will win the Iowa Caucuses, beating out former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in a two-man race for the Republican party's top spot in Iowa.
FactCheck.org:
Huckabee's Attack Ad Runs After All  —  His attack ad appears on three Iowa stations.  We find it somewhat misleading.  Another ad makes misleading claims about tax cuts.  —  The ad Huckabee said he decided not to run has now appeared at least three times in Iowa anyway.
Washington Wire:
Beginning of the End for Romney?
Discussion: Hotline On Call
CNN:
Supreme Court Justice Bill Clinton?  —  WASHINGTON (CNN) — It is a title that would be sure to bring either fear or cheer to many Americans, depending on your political leanings: Supreme Court Justice Bill Clinton.  —  That provocative possibility has long been whispered in legal …
RELATED:
Rick Klein / Political Radar:
Live Caucus Blogging from Des Moines by Rick Klein  —  8:28 pm CT: Checking in with the GOP — Fred Thompson stirs.  Running third as of this moment, holding off McCain.  Wonder if Thompson's secretly disappointed — he looked like he needed a nap.  —  8:27 pm CT: It's over way earlier …
RELATED:
Mark Murray / MSNBC:
DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS SITE PACKED  —  From NBC's David Gregory and David Gelles  —  Inside the Westridge elementary school in West Des Moines, this Democratic caucus site is packed.  Huge turnout here.  —  Only 86 showed up in 2004.  Tonight, the line is out the door.  —  It looks like almost 200 here.
Discussion: MyDD, THE REACTION, Cogitamus and Open Left
Atrios / Eschaton:
So Absurd  —  Tweety: … So if Hillary gets 33 percent “she's been rejected here in Iowa by two-thirds of the Democratic Party."  —  What of Saint McCain? … If McCain is rejected by 82% of caucusgoers he's a “big hero."  —  Tweety just repeated the Clinton/two thirds crap on Hardball just now.
RELATED:
Matthew Yglesias:
Preordained  —  Watching Chris Matthews, I just saw that Tim Russert …
Discussion: The Huffington Post
Media Matters for America:   Matthews: “[L]ow 30 percent” …
Atrios / Eschaton:
Huckenfreude … I'm shocked that Gloria Borger could find an “unaffiliated” strategist who hates Huckabee but is authorized to speak for “the establishment Republican party."  —  9:05: … Republicans:  —  Huckabee 35%  —  Romney 24%  —  Thompson 14%  —  McCain 12%  —  Paul 11%
David Corn / MoJoBlog:
McCain in NH: Would Be “Fine” To Keep Troops in Iraq for “A Hundred Years”  —  The United States military could stay in Iraq for “maybe a hundred years” and that “would be fine with me,” John McCain told two hundred or so people at a town hall meeting in Derry, New Hampshire, on Thursday evening.
RELATED:
Moira Whelan / democracyarsenal.org:
McCain on Iraq...100 years and counting
Discussion: Matthew Yglesias
Michael Crowley / The New Republic:
The Deal Was for Real (UPDATED)  —  Bill Richardson was not viable in this precinct, and all 17 of his supporters (of 161) appear to have switched en masse to Barack Obama.  They're sorting out three remaining Biden supporters who can decide the winner here.  —  Update: Maybe the “deal” isn't in effect statewide.
RELATED:
Bill Richardson / CNN:
Richardson supporters moving to Obama camp
Discussion: Hotline On Call
Arianna Huffington / The Huffington Post:
Obama Wins Iowa: Why Everyone Has a Reason to Celebrate Tonight  —  Even if your candidate didn't win tonight, you have reason to celebrate.  We all do.  —  Barack Obama's stirring victory in Iowa — down home, folksy, farm-fed, Midwestern, and 92 percent white Iowa — says a lot about America …
Discussion: Hotline On Call
Paul Kiel / TPMmuckraker:
Harman Warned against Destroying Tapes in 2003  —  The CIA's initial defense for destroying the videotapes showing interrogations of Al Qaeda detainees was that they'd briefed members of Congress about their intention to do this long ago.  —  To which, Rep. Jane Harman (D-CA) …
Discussion: Think Progress, The Lede and Emptywheel
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Dodd may drop out  —  Sen. Chris Dodd, who moved his family to Iowa in an effort to make a strong showing in the caucus, has told Fox News that he would be “going to Hartford tomorrow” if he doesn't finish stronger than fourth place tonight, my colleague Martin Kady II reports.
Discussion: The New Republic, Wonkette and MyDD
iowahawk:
Liveblogging the Iowa Caucuses  —  Precinct Party at my house — Comments open, BYOB  —  5:15 PM: Looks like a real barnburner!  Tammy set up the living room for the GOP and put card tables in the basement for the Democrats.  Be right back, I gotta go to Hy Vee for sandwich platter and Old Milwaukee.
Discussion: Stop The ACLU and Classical Values
 
 
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 More Items: 
Rich Lowry / The Corner:
Huck's Brilliant Endgame?
Discussion: TownHall Blog
CNN:
Democratic caucus turnout shatters record
David Freddoso / The Corner:
Wow, wow, and wow!  —  I've finally returned to Internet access …
Discussion: Instapundit.com
Fox News:
Boy, 11, Uses Toy Lightsaber to Defend Mom From Attacker
Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:
Live Coverage Of The Iowa Caucuses
Steven G. Vegh / Virginian-Pilot:
Pat Robertson predicts violence, recession for 2008
Discussion: Think Progress and Wonkette
Dan Froomkin / Washington Post:
Will Justice Go After Cheney?
Discussion: Think Progress and AMERICAblog
 Earlier Items: 
Pareene / Gawker:
MySpace Primary Winner Ron Paul Will Boost Your Traffic!
BBC:
Single trader behind oil record
Discussion: The Lede
CNN:
Romney: 'Don't touch the hair'
Roger Simon / The Politico:
Inside Iowa  —  Fuzzy math, Iowa-style  —  I just bumped …
Discussion: Boston Globe and MyDD
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Can Edwards Do It In Iowa?
Ross Douthat:
My Mitt Romney Problem (And Yours?)