memeorandum: Race, Polls, Obama (J-Walking)

12:10 AM ET, January 9, 2008

Top Items:

Angry White Man — The bigoted past of Ron Paul. — If you are a critic of the Bush administration, chances are that, at some point over the past six months, Ron Paul has said something that appealed to you. Paul describes himself as a libertarian, but, since his presidential campaign took off earlier …

Ron Paul 2008:

Press Releases › Ron Paul Statement on The New Republic Article Regarding Old Newsletters — ARLINGTON, VIRGINIA - In response to an article published by The New Republic, Ron Paul issued the following statement: — “The quotations in The New Republic article are not mine …

Discussion: Reason Magazine, LewRockwell.com Blog, PoliGazette, Little Green Footballs, Michael J. Totten, Ron Paul 2008, race42008.com and The Daily Dish

Daniel Koffler / Pajamas Media:

RON PAUL BIGOTRY REVOLUTION — A damning New Republic expose on Ron Paul shows the “libertarian” Republican candidate to be a racist, a homophobe and an anti-Semite. Will his diehard supporters continue to defend a man who called Martin Luther King a gay pedophile?

Discussion: Hot Air, Samizdata.net, Bookworm Room, The Volokh Conspiracy, EconLog and A Blog For All

David Weigel / Reason Magazine:

Exclusive: Ron Paul Responds To New Republic Story — About an hour ago I followed Ron Paul outside the Radisson in Manchester, NH to get his response to James Kirchick's explosive New Republic piece, “Angry White Man." The article goes through the Texas Republican's newsletters …

Discussion: Power Line, Gays & Lesbians for Ron Paul, LewRockwell.com Blog, Liberal Values and The American Scene

Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
Libertarians Respond To The Ron Paul Newsletters

Discussion: Reason Magazine and Crunchy Con

Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
Ron Paul Exposed?

Discussion: protein wisdom

The New Republic:
Selections From Ron Paul's Newsletters

Discussion: Reason Magazine, KnoxViews and Wake up America

Jennifer Parker / Political Radar:

New Hampshire Turnout ‘Absolutely Huge’ — ABC News' Karen Travers Reports: New Hampshire Deputy Secretary of State Dave Scanlan told ABC News that turnout among primary voters today is “absolutely huge” — and there are concerns about running out of ballots in towns like Portsmouth, Keene, Hudson and Pelham.

You Decide 08!:

HILLARY CLINTON, JOHN MCCAIN WIN NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY — It was a night of comebacks in New Hampshire Tuesday, as Hillary Clinton and John McCain both resurrected their campaigns to come away with big wins in the first-in-the-nation primary. — Clinton edged out rival Barack Obama …

Discussion: The Campaign Spot, Rasmussen Reports and Macsmind

John M. Broder / New York Times:

Clinton Beats Obama in N.H. Comeback — Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton won the New Hampshire Democratic primary in a surprising show of strength after losing the Iowa caucuses to Senator Barack Obama last week. Senator John McCain prevailed meanwhile on the Republican side …

Discussion: ABCNEWS, Christian Science Monitor, The Politico, The Moderate Voice, The Reaction, Liberal Values, Slog, The Swamp, INTEL DUMP, The Democratic Daily, You Decide 08! and Matthew Yglesias

Michael Luo / New York Times:
McCain's Victory Scrambles Field

Discussion: The Politico

Jennifer Parker / ABCNEWS:
Clinton Claims Narrow Victory in New Hampshire Primary

Discussion: Political Radar, The Moderate Voice, You Decide 08!, The Democratic Daily and Political Punch

The Corner:
South Carolina

Discussion: Ross Douthat

Chris Cillizza / Washington Post:
Obama, McCain Supporters Confident of Big Wins

Discussion: Associated Press, TIME, MyDD and The Agonist

Ed OKeefe / Political Radar:
Partisan Turnout Driving N.H.

Discussion: Associated Press, The Corner, Wizbang, Pollster.com, The Campaign Spot, MyDD, Spin Cycle and Hotline On Call

Taegan Goddard's Political Wire:

Giuliani Sinks to Fourth in Florida — A new Datamar poll in Florida finds Mike Huckabee leading the Republican presidential primary race with 24% support, followed by Mitt Romney at 20%, Sen. John McCain at 18% and Rudy Giuliani now back in fourth place at 16%. — Two months ago, Giuliani led the GOP race.

Discussion: Talking Points Memo, the talking dog, The Plank, The Reaction, Hotline On Call and Ground Game

ABCNEWS:

Numbers Show Rudy's Attempt to Win N.H. — Despite claims to the contrary, Giuliani's showing tonight in N.H. comes after considerable effort. — Though former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani has generally attributed his poor showing in New Hampshire to a campaign strategy that focuses on larger …

Discussion: The Daily Dish

Think Progress:
Live New Hampshire Primary Updates

Discussion: Captain's Quarters, The Moderate Voice, Associated Press and D-Day

Bill Clinton / CNN:

Bill Clinton targets media coverage of Obama — (CNN) - On the eve of the New Hampshire primary, former President Bill Clinton criticized the media for not pressing Barack Obama more fully on Iraq, and accused the Illinois senator of shifting his position to reflect changing attitudes on the war.

Discussion: The Caucus, The Huffington Post, The Swamp, Captain's Quarters, The Moderate Voice and Liberty Pundit

Chris Cillizza / The Fix:

Maggie Williams to Join Clinton Effort — Even before the polls close in New Hampshire comes word of changes at the top of the Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's (N.Y.) presidential campaign. — Maggie Williams, a longtime Hillary Clinton confidante, is reportedly being brought on to coordinate the campaign's activities.

Discussion: TPM Election Central, Major Garrett's Bourbon Room, Marc Ambinder, Hot Air, Taylor Marsh, Pandagon, Los Angeles Times and The Democratic Daily

Patrick Healy / The Caucus:
Carville Memo to Clinton: ‘Come Out Fighting’

Discussion: The Fix, Taegan Goddard's …, TPM Election Central and Hotline On Call

Kevin Drum / Washington Monthly:

HILLARY'S WIN....I have several reasons for being pleased with the results of tonight's Democratic primary: — I've made three electoral predictions so far: that the eventual candidates would be Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton and that Iowa would turn out not to be as important as everyone thought.

Discussion: Buck Naked Politics

Matthew Yglesias:

Clinton Comeback — Obviously, polls predicting a big Obama win in NH were wrong. It's going to be close, and it's quite possibly going to be for Clinton. 25 I thought: … It seems to me that Hillary Clinton's return to dominance among women bears that out.

John McCain / CNN:

Early exit polls: GOP feelings on Bush administration — Which comes closest to your feelings about the Bush administration?: — New Hampshire Republican primary voters — Enthusiastic - 10 percent — Satisfied, but not enthusiastic - 40 percent — Dissatisfied, but not angry - 33 percent

Discussion: Firedoglake

Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
LOOKING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE EXIT POLLS?

Discussion: QandO, Open Left, Fruits and Votes and Democratic Strategist

CNN:
Exit polls: Independents make difference for McCain

Discussion: Threat Level

J-Walking:

Race, Polls, Obama — It now seems pretty clear that virtually all of the late polling on the Democratic side was wrong... very wrong. The last Rasmussen Report had Obama +7 over Clinton. CBS had him +7. USA Today had Obama +13 and CNN +10. — With more than 25% of New Hampshire now reporting Obama is -5.

Discussion: The Huffington Post, MSNBC, Washington Wire and PolySigh

Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
The Return Of The Bradley Effect?

Discussion: Matt Zeitlin

MSNBC:

New Hampshire - Democrats — Results are based on NBC News projections and unofficial returns, and are updated every five minutes. Refresh your browser to see the latest results. Candidate in red indicates the projected winner. To learn more about how NBC News projects winners and how to read NBC's exit polls, click here.

Discussion: Eschaton, MyDD, Outside The Beltway and The Democratic Daily

New York Times:

Details of the Nominating Process — Proportional primary (Open) 30 delegates at stake — District-level delegates and alternates are elected by caucus followed by a primary. Convention delegates selected at the district level are allocated in proportion to the percentage of the primary vote won …

Discussion: MoJoBlog, The Corner and JustOneMinute