Angry White Man  —  The bigoted past of Ron Paul.  —  If you are a critic of the Bush administration, chances are that, at some point over the past six months, Ron Paul has said something that appealed to you.  Paul describes himself as a libertarian, but, since his presidential campaign took off earlier …

N.Y. Senator Defies Polls, Edges Obama  —  As early returns showed a neck-and-neck race in the Democratic presidential primary, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton prepared to proclaim herself the latest comeback candidate to emerge from New Hampshire after defying predictions that she would be swamped by Sen. Barack Obama.

Giuliani Sinks to Fourth in Florida  —  A new Datamar poll in Florida finds Mike Huckabee leading the Republican presidential primary race with 24% support, followed by Mitt Romney at 20%, Sen. John McCain at 18% and Rudy Giuliani now back in fourth place at 16%.  —  Two months ago, Giuliani led the GOP race.

The Return Of The Bradley Effect?  —  It's one explanation for the big gap between the final polls and the result: … Tonight is the first primary - not a caucus.  People get to vote in a secret ballot - not in front of their largely liberal peers, as in Iowa.

Can Hillary Cry Her Way Back to the White House?  —  DERRY, N.H.  —  When I walked into the office Monday, people were clustering around a computer to watch what they thought they would never see: Hillary Clinton with the unmistakable look of tears in her eyes.  —  A woman gazing at the screen was grimacing, saying it was bad.

HILLARY'S WIN....I have several reasons for being pleased with the results of tonight's Democratic primary:  — I've made three electoral predictions so far: that the eventual candidates would be Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton and that Iowa would turn out not to be as important as everyone thought.

How Wrong Were The Polls?  —  Commenter Brian makes an observation “No one is talking about how the polls actually nailed Obama's number.  Obama didn't lose this election.  He stayed steady and Hillary surged ahead."  That seems to be true.  Here's a chart comparing the actual results …

Clinton Allies May Dump Millions Into Anti-Obama Group  —  Manchester, N.H. — A panicked and cash-short Clinton campaign is seriously considering giving up on the Nevada caucuses and on the South Carolina primary in order to regroup and to save resources for the massive 19-state mega-primary on February 5.

NH Primary: Pre-Election Polls Wildly Different Than Results Announced for Clinton/Obama  —  [UPDATED several times at end of article, and still developing with new updates...]  —  I'm not sure why Obama would have conceded so soon, given the virtually inexplicable turn of events in New Hampshire tonight.

Clinton Wins New Hampshire  —  Wow.  Everyone has now called New Hampshire for Clinton.  Shocking, stunning, amazing that she could overcome an 8% deficit in the polls in just one day.  The huge turnout among Democratic women did the trick, as did her ability to stay even with Obama among the massive liberal vote.

Early exit polls: GOP feelings on Bush administration  —  Which comes closest to your feelings about the Bush administration?:  —  New Hampshire Republican primary voters  —  Enthusiastic - 10 percent  —  Satisfied, but not enthusiastic - 40 percent  —  Dissatisfied, but not angry - 33 percent