Top Items:
Adam Nagourney / New York Times:
Clinton Escapes to Fight Another Day — MANCHESTER, N.H. — Hillary Rodham Clinton is back. — With solid support from registered Democrats and the backing of women who deserted her in Iowa, Senator Clinton beat Senator Barack Obama of Illinois with a margin that — if not particularly wide …
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Michael Calderone / The Politico:
After N.H., can the media come back? — Cable news pundits may have successfully predicted John McCain's victory in New Hampshire, but they sure had a lot of explaining to do around 10:30 p.m., once The Associated Press and MSNBC projected victory for Hillary Rodham Clinton. — “The polls were so wrong.
Discussion:
Washington Post, Time, FishBowlDC, The Reaction, American Street, The Gun Toting Liberal™, The Page and PSoTD
Jeff Zeleny / New York Times:
From a Big Boost for Obama to a Sharp Blow — NASHUA, N.H. — On the eve of the New Hampshire primary, Senator Barack Obama delivered a message to supporters: “Do not take this race for granted. I know we had a nice boost over the last couple of days, but elections are a funny business.”
Washington Post:
N.Y. Senator Defies Polls, Edges Obama — As early returns showed a neck-and-neck race in the Democratic presidential primary, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton prepared to proclaim herself the latest comeback candidate to emerge from New Hampshire after defying predictions that she would be swamped by Sen. Barack Obama.
Maureen Dowd / New York Times:
Can Hillary Cry Her Way Back to the White House? — DERRY, N.H. — When I walked into the office Monday, people were clustering around a computer to watch what they thought they would never see: Hillary Clinton with the unmistakable look of tears in her eyes. — A woman gazing at the screen was grimacing, saying it was bad.
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Gary Langer / The Numbers:
New Hampshire's Polling Fiasco — There will be a serious, critical look at the final pre-election polls in the Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire; that is essential. It is simply unprecedented for so many polls to have been so wrong. We need to know why.
Discussion:
Marc Ambinder, The Belmont Club, Blue Crab Boulevard, Betsy's Page, Redstate, Soccer Dad and BizzyBlog
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Brad Friedman / The BRAD BLOG:
NH Primary: Pre-Election Polls Wildly Different Than Results Announced for Clinton/Obama — [UPDATED several times at end of article, and still developing with new updates...] — I'm not sure why Obama would have conceded so soon, given the virtually inexplicable turn of events in New Hampshire tonight.
Discussion:
Corrente, CANNONFIRE, Right Wing News, Easter Lemming Liberal News and THE LIBERAL JOURNAL
Matthew Yglesias:
How Wrong Were The Polls? — Commenter Brian makes an observation “No one is talking about how the polls actually nailed Obama's number. Obama didn't lose this election. He stayed steady and Hillary surged ahead." That seems to be true. Here's a chart comparing the actual results …
Washington Post:
Polls Were Right About McCain but Missed the Call on Clinton's Primary Win — While pre-election polls in New Hampshire got Sen. John McCain's margin of victory about right on the Republican side, late polls fundamentally mischaracterized the status of the Democratic race.
Discussion:
The Swamp
Taegan Goddard's Political Wire:
Giuliani Sinks to Fourth in Florida — A new Datamar poll in Florida finds Mike Huckabee leading the Republican presidential primary race with 24% support, followed by Mitt Romney at 20%, Sen. John McCain at 18% and Rudy Giuliani now back in fourth place at 16%. — Two months ago, Giuliani led the GOP race.
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Kathleen Gray / Detroit Free Press:
McCain, Romney about to take Michigan by storm — Starting today, it's Michigan's turn. — And the state's presidential primary, at least on the Republican side, apparently has come down to a two-man battle between Arizona Sen. John McCain, fresh off Tuesday's victory in the New Hampshire primary …
Discussion:
Riehl World View
Will / Attytood:
Is “Bradley effect” behind the Clinton surge? — Does Hillary Clinton's unexpectedly strong showing in New Hampshire tonight mean that the racially charged Bradley effect" is still hanging around in American politics? — The “Bradley effect” is the name that some political pundits gave …
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Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
The Return Of The Bradley Effect? — It's one explanation for the big gap between the final polls and the result: … Tonight is the first primary - not a caucus. People get to vote in a secret ballot - not in front of their largely liberal peers, as in Iowa.
Discussion:
J-Walking, Brendan Nyhan, The Campaign Spot, Wolf Howling, Publius Endures, New York Magazine, The Agonist, Roger L. Simon, Matt Zeitlin and PolySigh
Digby / Hullabaloo:Ain't No Hollaback Girl
Discussion:
Shakespeare's Sister, Pandagon, Think Progress, D-Day, Brilliant at Breakfast, Pam's House Blend and All Spin Zone
Daniel Gross / Slate:
WHY WERE THE POLITICAL FUTURES MARKETS SO WRONG ABOUT OBAMA AND CLINTON? — So, I've been watching the action in one of the political futures markets this evening, Intrade. And the action in this prediction market has reinforced my opinion that these are less futures markets than immediate-past markets.
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Tom Maguire / JustOneMinute:
Bold Prediction: The Impending Obama Media Backlash — So here is the latest Bold Prediction, inspired by a late night and little caffeine - Obama is about to endure a media backlash. — Why a bursting of his media bubble? Well, they (alright, “they") have finally admitted what was obvious …
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Houston Chronicle:
More e-mails emerge in Harris County DA scandal — County GOP says Chuck Rosenthal should resign — New e-mails released Tuesday show District Attorney Chuck Rosenthal sent and received racist jokes and strategized with political consultants and colleagues about his re-election campaign on his county e-mail account.
Discussion:
Brains and Eggs, Grits for Breakfast, Bay Area Houston, Easter Lemming Liberal News and musings
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