Can Hillary Cry Her Way Back to the White House?  —  DERRY, N.H.  —  When I walked into the office Monday, people were clustering around a computer to watch what they thought they would never see: Hillary Clinton with the unmistakable look of tears in her eyes.  —  A woman gazing at the screen was grimacing, saying it was bad.

New Hampshire's Polling Fiasco  —  There will be a serious, critical look at the final pre-election polls in the Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire; that is essential.  It is simply unprecedented for so many polls to have been so wrong.  We need to know why.

The Return Of The Bradley Effect?  —  It's one explanation for the big gap between the final polls and the result: … Tonight is the first primary - not a caucus.  People get to vote in a secret ballot - not in front of their largely liberal peers, as in Iowa.

Bold Prediction: The Impending Obama Media Backlash  —  So here is the latest Bold Prediction, inspired by a late night and little caffeine - Obama is about to endure a media backlash.  —  Why a bursting of his media bubble?  Well, they (alright, “they") have finally admitted what was obvious …

McCain, Romney about to take Michigan by storm  —  Starting today, it's Michigan's turn.  —  And the state's presidential primary, at least on the Republican side, apparently has come down to a two-man battle between Arizona Sen. John McCain, fresh off Tuesday's victory in the New Hampshire primary …

WHY WERE THE POLITICAL FUTURES MARKETS SO WRONG ABOUT OBAMA AND CLINTON?  —  So, I've been watching the action in one of the political futures markets this evening, Intrade.  And the action in this prediction market has reinforced my opinion that these are less futures markets than immediate-past markets.

The Rings on Zarqawi's Finger  —  “I am a ring on your finger."  — Al Qaeda in Iraq member Abu Anas to Abu Musab Al Zarqawi  —  Since Abu Musab Al Zarqawi formed the Al Qaeda in Iraq franchise, the terrorist group that destroyed the World Trade Center has fought American soldiers …

Did The Ronulans Disappear Overnight?  —  A funny thing happened on my way to the predictable onslaught of Ron Paul supporters in my comments section after yesterday's post about his newsletters.  The onslaught never arrived — and neither did the supposed Revolution from New Hampshire.

Sources Say  —  By Erick Posted in 2008 — Comments (9) / Email this page » / Leave a comment » And NPR reports that Mitt Romney is shaking up his staff today and taking more control himself.  —  9 Comments (0 topical, 9 editorial, 0 hidden)  —  Reply To This — User Info — #1

MAKING SENSE OF IT  —  It's hard for me to remember an election where the trend of polling and the final poll results so failed to predict the actual vote.  Certainly, there's no example I can remember of it happening in such a high profile contest.  In the next couple days we'll probably get a better sense of what happened.