First (?) Wave of Florida Exits, Revealed  —  The first wave of exit poll numbers, including absentees: McCain 34.3 percent, Romney 32.6 percent, Giuliani 15.3 percent, Huckabee 12 percent.  —  UPDATE: Interestingly a second source — yes, guardians of the exit poll data …

Hillary's word: It's worth nothing  —  COURTING VOTERS in Iowa and New Hampshire, last August Sen. Hillary Clinton signed a pledge not to “campaign or participate” in the Michigan or Florida Democratic primaries.  She participated in both primaries and is campaigning in Florida.

McCain 33, Romney 32?  —  That's what's going around as the early exits.  If you haven't voted, get out and do it—every vote might really count down there.  I asked a friend (not supporting anyone) if Romney still has a chance if that exit poll is accurate: “Oh yes.  That's well within the margin of error.

Richardson's Choice  —  SANTA FE, N.M. — Gov. Bill Richardson's phone has been ringing off the hook.  Sen. Hillary Clinton called Sunday night.  That was followed by a call from former president Bill Clinton, then a call from Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, who's supporting Clinton.

More Florida spin  —  The Clinton campaign convened a conference call this afternoon to keep pushing its line on how much Florida matters.  —  We'll be able to judge their success with this spin, my colleague David Kuhn points out, in terms of whether the television networks pay much attention to Hillary's numbers tonight in Florida.

Bush Issues Signing Statement On Defense Act, Waiving Ban On Permanent Bases In Iraq  —  President Bush yesterday signed the 2008 National Defense Authorization Act after initially rejecting Congress's first version because it would have allegedly opened the Iraqi government to “expensive lawsuits.”

An Iraq recession?  —  One thing I get asked fairly often is whether the Iraq war is responsible for our economic difficulties.  The answer (with slight qualifications) is no.  —  Just to be clear: I yield to nobody in my outrage over the way we were lied into a disastrous, unnecessary war.

Where Did All Those Gorgeous Russians Come From?  —  THE SAME PLACE AS THE UNGLAMOROUS ASSEMBLY-LINE WORKERS.  —  There was a particular historical moment, round about 1995 or so, when anyone entering a well-appointed drawing room, dining room, or restaurant in London was sure to encounter a beautiful Russian woman.

Obama: ‘El nos entiende’  —  Obama's up with this spot in Arizona and California, starring Rep. Luis Gutierrez, Chicago's Hispanic congressman.  —  But there's a hint of more to come: It opens with a still of Teddy Kennedy.  —  Earlier Spanish-language spots tried to make an immigrant connection …

Mitt'n'Mac  —  I think I agree with Andrew Stuttaford from a gazillion hours ago this morning - that the outcome hinges on what the Dems do.  If they nominate Obama, then (as Andrew says) it will be a “narrative” election.  If the GOP nominates McCain, then it's young, gifted and black vs old, cranky and weathered.

Army Blocks Disability Paperwork Aid at Fort Drum  —  Listen Now  —  · Army officials in upstate New York instructed representatives from the Department of Veterans Affairs not to help disabled soldiers at Fort Drum Army base with their military disability paperwork last year.