memeorandum: DEM EXITS, SECOND WAVE (Josh Marshall/Talking Points Memo)

9:10 PM ET, February 5, 2008

Top Items:

The Great Big Early Exit Poll Report — I just got a big pile of exit poll data. — The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent. — Fascinating and fun as it is, I remind my readers that this doesn't tell us that much, as we don't know what the district-by-district breakdown is.

Discussion: Open Left, Talking Points Memo, Attytood, MyDD, Salon, THE LIBERAL JOURNAL, Sister Toldjah, Wizbang, Comments from Left Field and AMERICAblog

Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:

DEM EXITS, SECOND WAVE — These are the second wave exits. Not certain whether or not they're weighted. Assume they're not. — GA: C- 25.5, O - 75 — CT: C - 45, O - 52.2 — IL: C - 29.1, O - 69.6 — AL: C - 37, O - 59.6 — DE: C - 41.9, O - 55.6

Discussion: Weekly Standard, The Huffington Post, The New Republic, Democracy in America, Comments from Left Field, ECHIDNE OF THE SNAKES and The Field

Matt Stoller / Open Left:

Early Exit Poll Rumors — (See the Republican numbers here - promoted by Chris Bowers) — Here you go. I have no idea how reliable these are. — The Obama victories are bolded. If these are real, Obama has thrashed Clinton today. — Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26 — Connecticut: Obama 52, Clinton 45

Discussion: The Huffington Post, MoJoBlog, The Carpetbagger Report, HorsesAss.Org, Pacific Views and Raising Kaine

The Campaign Spot:

Latest Exits Include One Massive ‘Wow.’ I Mean, ‘WOW.’ — Here's a later round of exits. It includes an absolute shocker that, I suspect, will have Hugh Hewitt jumping out of his chair... Arizona: McCain 36 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 7 percent.

Discussion: Wizbang, Patterico's Pontifications, Comments from Left Field and AMERICAblog

Jennifer Parker / ABCNEWS:

Obama Overwhelmingly Wins Georgia Primary — Democratic White House Contenders Aim for Votes, Delegates in 22 States — In the first win of what is expected to be a long night, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., defeated Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., in Georgia, a key Southern state …

Discussion: michellemalkin.com, Liberal Values, Hot Air and Truthdig

Associated Press:

Early Feb. 5 Exit Poll Highlights — Highlights from preliminary results of exit polling in the Super Tuesday primary states for The Associated Press and television networks: — RACE AND GENDER — In the Democratic races, Barack Obama led among black voters and Hillary Rodham Clinton led among Hispanic voters.

Discussion: The Campaign Spot

The Campaign Spot:
Early Exit Polls in Massachusetts: Dems Close, Romney Up Big

Discussion: Firedoglake, Talking Points Memo and AMERICAblog

Gallup:
Gallup Daily: Tracking Election 2008

Discussion: Clive Crook, Comments from Left Field, The Moderate Voice and The Washington Note

CNN:
Schneider: Conservatives seem split, Could be long night for Dems

Discussion: D-Day and Taegan Goddard's …

Marc Ambinder: A Note On Exit Polls

Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
LOOKING FOR SUPER TUESDAY EXIT POLLS?

Discussion: Democratic Strategist and Taylor Marsh

Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
SUPER TUESDAY LIVE BLOGGING

Discussion: Needlenose, Open Left, Left in the West and Hotline On Call

CBS News:
Obama Defeats Clinton In Georgia Primary

Discussion: Marc Ambinder and Spin Cycle

Mitt Romney For President News:

Campaign Manager Beth Myers On The West Virginia Convention — FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE — Boston, MA - Today, Romney for President Campaign Manager Beth Myers issued the following statement regarding the outcome of West Virginia's Republican Party convention:

Discussion: Charleston Gazette, Associated Press, The Caucus, Washington Wire, Captain's Quarters, michellemalkin.com, The Other McCain, TownHall Blog, Balloon Juice, The Corner, RealClearPolitics, New York Daily News Blogs, The American Mind, Eunomia and Don Surber

CNN:

Clinton, Huckabee win Arkansas, CNN projects — (CNN) — Sen. Hillary Clinton will win her home state of New York, CNN projects. — So far, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama have also won primaries in their home states, according to CNN projections.

Discussion: MSNBC, Reason Magazine, You Decide 08!, AlterNet.org, DownWithTyranny!, Shakespeare's Sister, The Reaction, Outside The Beltway, Salon, Cynics' Party, Comments from Left Field, Left in the West, Connecting.the.Dots and Balloon Juice

Marc Ambinder:

West Virginia Intrigue — After the first round of balloting in West Virginia, Mitt Romney was solidly in the lead with 41% of the votes, followed by Mike Huckabee with 33% and John McCain with 16%. — Since 50% is needed to win all 18 delegates, a second balloting is underway.

Discussion: DownWithTyranny!, Jonathan Martin's Blogs, Reuters, Firedoglake, TownHall Blog, D-Day, Daily Kos, Booman Tribune and MyDD

Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:

The Coming Meltdown For The Democrats — Early in the race, Republicans appeared headed to a brokered convention. GOP primary voters couldn't decide on a front-runner, and it looked like three or even four candidates could make it to the national convention with significant numbers of delegates, touching off a floor fight.

Discussion: Open Left and The Campaign Spot

Bryan / Hot Air:
Rush Limbaugh *endorses Mitt Romney

Discussion: Stop The ACLU, Captain's Quarters and The Radio Equalizer

You Decide 08!:
HUCKABEE WINS WEST VIRGINIA GOP CONTEST IN SECOND ROUND, WITH HELP FROM MCCAIN

Discussion: Zogby, Jonathan Martin's Blogs, MSNBC, The Fix, TigerHawk, Confederate Yankee, protein wisdom, The Reaction, PrestoPundit, Los Angeles Times, Salon, Hot Air, Boston Globe, Wake up America and THE LIBERAL JOURNAL

CNN:
Voters turn out in droves for Super Tuesday

Discussion: The Crone Speaks

Ron Paul 2008:
Ron Paul Secures Three Delegates in West Virginia State Convention

Discussion: Reason Magazine and Comments from Left Field

Ben Smith / The Politico:

Penn: More debates! (One on Fox!) — In a conference call with reporters, Clinton strategist Mark Penn announced that Clinton would like to face off against Obama in one debate every week between now and March 4. — “The campaign believes that it's critically important that we continue the debate …

Discussion: The Opinionator and The Field

Sam Stein / The Huffington Post:
Clinton Accepts Fox News Debate

Discussion: FOX Embeds, NewsBusters.org, Comments from Left Field, The Carpetbagger Report and TVNewser

Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Clinton Agrees to Fox Debate

Discussion: Los Angeles Times, DownWithTyranny!, The Huffington Post and Open Left

Brian Knowlton / New York Times:

Intelligence Chief Cites Qaeda Threat to U.S. — WASHINGTON — The top American intelligence official said on Tuesday that Al Qaeda is improving its ability to attack within the United States by recruiting and training new operatives. At the same time, he said, the group's affiliate in Iraq …

Discussion: Think Progress, Buck Naked Politics, Salon and D-Day

John R. Bolton / Wall Street Journal:
Our Politicized Intelligence Services

Discussion: Captain's Quarters, Commentary, The Newshoggers, Daimnation!, Think Progress and On Deadline

Josh Gerstein / Latest Politics:

Limbaugh Defends Clinton and Obama on Iraq — Talk show host Rush Limbaugh is so exasperated about Senator McCain's surge in the Republican presidential contest that he is coming to the defense of Senators Clinton and Obama. — On Mr. Limbaugh's program today, he said people should not be rushing …

Discussion: Washington Post, The New Republic, Election Projection, protein wisdom, Taylor Marsh, American Street, JustOneMinute, Comments from Left Field, Hot Air, Firedoglake, The Jawa Report, The Moderate Voice and No More Mister Nice Blog

Eric Kleefeld / TPM Election Central:
Dobson: I Will Never Support McCain

Discussion: The Campaign Spot, Hot Air and Hullabaloo

Domenico Montanaro / MSNBC:

CLINTON ‘TALKING POINTS’ MEMO — From NBC's Mark Murray — The Clinton campaign just sent “talking points” to its national press list — the first time we believe they have done this. — TALKING POINTS — February 5, 2008 — SUPER TUESDAY TALKING POINTS — SUPER TUESDAY

Discussion: Spin Cycle

Chris Cillizza / Live Coverage:
Obama Wins in Georgia and Illinois; Clinton Takes Tennessee and Oklahoma

Discussion: Hotline On Call

Ben / Think Progress:

Anti-War Candidates Are Top Recipients Of '08 Donations From U.S. Troops — Conservatives opposed to redeployment in Iraq have consistently claimed that U.S. troops are on their side: … Yet U.S. troops disagree. Yesterday, the Center for Responsive Politics reported that members …

Discussion: OpenSecrets.org, The Carpetbagger Report, Comments from Left Field, The Newshoggers, MoJoBlog, Angry Bear and Political Punch

Darren Murph / Engadget:

Fourth undersea cable cut near UAE, suspicions rise — For the fourth time in a week, an undersea communications cable has apparently been cut (or “failed due to a power outage,” as some sources suggest), and while no official reports of subversion have surfaced just yet, things are beginning to get suspicious.

Discussion: International Herald Tribune, DBKP, michellemalkin.com and Blue Crab Boulevard