memeorandum: Early Exit Poll Rumors (Matt Stoller/Open Left)

10:05 PM ET, February 5, 2008

Top Items:

The Great Big Early Exit Poll Report — I just got a big pile of exit poll data. — The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent. — Fascinating and fun as it is, I remind my readers that this doesn't tell us that much, as we don't know what the district-by-district breakdown is.

Discussion: Open Left, Hotline On Call, Talking Points Memo, MyDD, Salon, Sister Toldjah, Attytood, Comments from Left Field, THE LIBERAL JOURNAL, Wizbang and AMERICAblog

Matt Stoller / Open Left:

Early Exit Poll Rumors — (See the Republican numbers here - promoted by Chris Bowers) — Here you go. I have no idea how reliable these are. — The Obama victories are bolded. If these are real, Obama has thrashed Clinton today. — Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26 — Connecticut: Obama 52, Clinton 45

Discussion: The Huffington Post, MoJoBlog, The Carpetbagger Report, HorsesAss.Org, the albany project, Raising Kaine and Pacific Views

The Campaign Spot:

Latest Exits Include One Massive ‘Wow.’ I Mean, ‘WOW.’ — Here's a later round of exits. It includes an absolute shocker that, I suspect, will have Hugh Hewitt jumping out of his chair... Arizona: McCain 36 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 7 percent.

Discussion: The Moderate Voice, Wizbang, Comments from Left Field, THE LIBERAL JOURNAL, Patterico's Pontifications and AMERICAblog

Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:

DEM EXITS, SECOND WAVE — These are the second wave exits. Not certain whether or not they're weighted. Assume they're not. — GA: C- 25.5, O - 75 — CT: C - 45, O - 52.2 — IL: C - 29.1, O - 69.6 — AL: C - 37, O - 59.6 — DE: C - 41.9, O - 55.6

Discussion: Weekly Standard, The Huffington Post, The New Republic, Democracy in America, ECHIDNE OF THE SNAKES, Comments from Left Field and The Field

Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:

SUPER TUESDAY LIVE BLOGGING — We are live blogging tonight and posting the most recent estimates for each race derived from the official public exit poll tabulations as they are posted online. The table will update regularly (though you will need to reload the page to see updates) …

Discussion: Needlenose, Left in the West, Open Left, The Field and Hotline On Call

Jennifer Parker / ABCNEWS:

Obama Overwhelmingly Wins Georgia Primary — Democratic White House Contenders Aim for Votes, Delegates in 22 States — In the first win of what is expected to be a long night, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., defeated Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., in Georgia, a key Southern state …

Discussion: michellemalkin.com, You Decide 08!, Liberal Values and Hot Air

Associated Press:

Early Feb. 5 Exit Poll Highlights — Highlights from preliminary results of exit polling in the Super Tuesday primary states for The Associated Press and television networks: — RACE AND GENDER — In the Democratic races, Barack Obama led among black voters and Hillary Rodham Clinton led among Hispanic voters.

Discussion: The Campaign Spot and Riehl World View

The Campaign Spot:
Early Exit Polls in Massachusetts: Dems Close, Romney Up Big

Discussion: Firedoglake, Talking Points Memo and AMERICAblog

Marc Ambinder: A Note On Exit Polls

Gallup:
Gallup Daily: Tracking Election 2008

Discussion: Clive Crook, Comments from Left Field, The Moderate Voice and The Washington Note

CNN:
Voters turn out in droves for Super Tuesday

Discussion: The Crone Speaks

Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
LOOKING FOR SUPER TUESDAY EXIT POLLS?

Discussion: Democratic Strategist

Mitt Romney For President News:

Campaign Manager Beth Myers On The West Virginia Convention — FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE — Boston, MA - Today, Romney for President Campaign Manager Beth Myers issued the following statement regarding the outcome of West Virginia's Republican Party convention:

Discussion: The Other McCain, Charleston Gazette, Associated Press, Captain's Quarters, The Caucus, Balloon Juice, Washington Wire, michellemalkin.com, TownHall Blog, RealClearPolitics, PoliBlog (TM), New York Daily News Blogs, The American Mind, The Corner, Don Surber, Eunomia, Middle Earth Journal and National Review

CNN:

Clinton wins four states, CNN projects — (CNN) — Sen. John McCain will win New York's Republican primary, and Sen. Hillary Clinton will take the state's Democratic contest, CNN projects. — So far, Clinton, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama have all won primaries in their home states, according to CNN projections.

Discussion: Reason Magazine, You Decide 08!, The Strata-Sphere, MSNBC, AlterNet.org, DownWithTyranny!, Shakespeare's Sister, The Reaction, Outside The Beltway, Cynics' Party, Gristmill, Connecting.the.Dots, Left in the West, Balloon Juice, Salon and Comments from Left Field

Marc Ambinder:

West Virginia Intrigue — After the first round of balloting in West Virginia, Mitt Romney was solidly in the lead with 41% of the votes, followed by Mike Huckabee with 33% and John McCain with 16%. — Since 50% is needed to win all 18 delegates, a second balloting is underway.

Discussion: DownWithTyranny!, Jonathan Martin's Blogs, Reuters, Firedoglake, UrbanGrounds, TownHall Blog, D-Day, Daily Kos and MyDD

Bryan / Hot Air:

Rush Limbaugh *endorses Mitt Romney — Levin, Hannity, Ingraham and now Nobel nominee Rush Limbaugh (membership req'd): Big talk radio swings unanimously for Mitt Romney. Rush makes several solid points that you've heard before, mostly regarding how McCain represents the GOP's national security wing …

Discussion: Stop The ACLU, Captain's Quarters and The Radio Equalizer

Ron Paul 2008:
Ron Paul Secures Three Delegates in West Virginia State Convention

Discussion: Reason Magazine, Comments from Left Field and LewRockwell.com Blog

Mark Hemingway / National Review:
Mary's Message to the Right

Discussion: Think Progress, Eunomia, The Carpetbagger Report and Flopping Aces

You Decide 08!:
HUCKABEE WINS WEST VIRGINIA GOP CONTEST IN SECOND ROUND, WITH HELP FROM MCCAIN

Discussion: Jonathan Martin's Blogs, MSNBC, TigerHawk, Zogby, The Fix, The Reaction, Confederate Yankee, PrestoPundit, Wake up America, Los Angeles Times, Salon, Hot Air and protein wisdom

Domenico Montanaro / MSNBC:

CLINTON ‘TALKING POINTS’ MEMO — From NBC's Mark Murray — The Clinton campaign just sent “talking points” to its national press list — the first time we believe they have done this. — TALKING POINTS — February 5, 2008 — SUPER TUESDAY TALKING POINTS — SUPER TUESDAY

Discussion: Spin Cycle

MSNBC:
Clinton takes NE prizes; Obama wins Ill.

Discussion: The Moderate Voice

Chris Cillizza / Live Coverage:
Obama Wins in Georgia and Illinois; Clinton Takes New York and Tennessee

Discussion: Hotline On Call

Sam Stein / The Huffington Post:

Clinton Accepts Fox News Debate — Risking the ire of progressive activists, Sen. Hillary Clinton's campaign announced that it has accepted a debate to air on Fox News on February 11, according to her chief strategist Mark Penn. — “There is an enormous interest in these debates an clamoring …

Discussion: FOX Embeds, NewsBusters.org, Comments from Left Field, The Carpetbagger Report and TVNewser

Ben Smith / The Politico:
Penn: More debates! (One on Fox!)

Discussion: Firedoglake, The Opinionator and The Field

Josh Gerstein / Latest Politics:

Limbaugh Defends Clinton and Obama on Iraq — Talk show host Rush Limbaugh is so exasperated about Senator McCain's surge in the Republican presidential contest that he is coming to the defense of Senators Clinton and Obama. — On Mr. Limbaugh's program today, he said people should not be rushing …

Discussion: The New Republic, Washington Post, protein wisdom, Taylor Marsh, American Street, JustOneMinute, Comments from Left Field, Election Projection, Hot Air, Firedoglake, The Jawa Report and The Moderate Voice

Eric Kleefeld / TPM Election Central:
Dobson: I Will Never Support McCain

Discussion: The Campaign Spot, Hot Air and Hullabaloo

Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:

The Coming Meltdown For The Democrats — Early in the race, Republicans appeared headed to a brokered convention. GOP primary voters couldn't decide on a front-runner, and it looked like three or even four candidates could make it to the national convention with significant numbers of delegates, touching off a floor fight.

Discussion: Open Left and The Campaign Spot

Jonathan Schwarz / A Tiny Revolution:

Lie After Lie: What Exactly Colin Powell Knew Five Years Ago Today, And What He Told The World — Colin Powell made his Iraq presentation at the UN five years ago, on February 5, 2003. — As much criticism as Powell has received for this—he calls it “painful” and something that will …

Discussion: Think Progress, BlueHerald 2.0, The Huffington Post and Agence France Presse

Greg Mitchell / Editor and Publisher:
5 Years Ago: When the Press Helped Colin Powell Sell the War

Discussion: Eschaton

Brian Knowlton / New York Times:

Intelligence Chief Cites Qaeda Threat to U.S. — WASHINGTON — The top American intelligence official said on Tuesday that Al Qaeda is improving its ability to attack within the United States by recruiting and training new operatives. At the same time, he said, the group's affiliate in Iraq …

Discussion: Think Progress, Buck Naked Politics, Salon, D-Day, Prairie Weather and The Agonist