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9:55 PM ET, March 4, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Jonathan Alter / Newsweek:
Hillary's Math Problem  —  Forget tonight.  She could win 16 straight and still lose.  —  NEWSWEEK WEB EXCLUSIVE  —  Hillary Clinton may be poised for a big night tonight, with wins in Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island.  Clinton aides say this will be the beginning of her comeback against Barack Obama.
RELATED:
Associated Press:
Highlights of Early Exit Poll Results  —  Highlights of preliminary results from exit polls conducted for The Associated Press and television networks in Tuesday's presidential primaries in Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island and Vermont:  —  ___  —  OPEN TO ALL  —  The primaries in Ohio …
The Politico:
Clinton scrambles to freeze defectors  —  A behind-the-scenes battle broke out late Tuesday over superdelegates who had secretly committed to Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.), with Clinton campaign officials scrambling to “freeze” them before they announced support for him.
Gary Langer / Associated Press:
EXIT POLL: ‘Change’ Tops 'Experience"... Again  —  In Vermont, Obama Wins Across All Demographic Groups  —  The theme of change continues to resonate in Ohio and Texas, but not by as wide a margin as in most previous primaries.  The ability to “bring needed change” beats “experience” …
Gallup:
Gallup Daily: Obama 45%, Clinton 45%  —  Based on polling conducted March 1-3, 2008  —  PRINCETON, NJ — Gallup Poll Daily tracking finds Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama tied once again, with 45% of Democratic voters nationwide preferring each as the party's 2008 presidential nominee.
Stephen Spruiell / The Corner:
Live from Hillaryland  —  Here in Columbus, Ohio, Hillary Clinton will meet her public tonight after what looks to be a successful day in Ohio.  The campaign is broadcasting CNN on a giant projector screen for the crowd of several hundred, which just cheered after seeing a graphic …
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
EARLY EXITS  —  I'm looking at the second wave of exit polls.  They show an Obama blowout in Vermont, which was entirely expected and basically dead even in Texas, Ohio and Rhode Island, the latter two of which would be pretty substantial surprises.  At this point in the cycle, though …
Marc Ambinder:
Early Views From The Clinton/Obama Campaigns  —  Note: NONE of this information comes in any way from my own knowledge of embargoed exit polls.  All references to the exit polls come from the campaigns themselves.  —  The Obama campaign expects to net seven or eight delegates out of the night …
Discussion: TalkLeft, Open Left and MyDD
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
Open thread: Armageddon; Update: Exit polls show Hillary win in Ohio?  Update: Report — Huckabee to concede tomorrow; Update: Fox says McCain clinches nomination  —  Exit polls are just starting to trickle in.  Nothing yet by way of hard data but — surprise — voters in both Texas …
Jodi Kantor / New York Times:
As Four States Vote, Clinton Talks About a Long Battle  —  As voters in Ohio, Rhode Island, Vermont and Texas headed to the polls potentially to decide the Democratic nomination for the presidency, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton on Tuesday urged voters to settle in for a nomination fight that could roll on for months to come.
MSNBC:
NBC: McCain locks up GOP nomination
The Campaign Spot:
First Word of Exits For Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island, Vermont
John Aravosis / AMERICAblog:
Why is Obama's skin blacker than normal in Hillary's new attack ad?  —  DailyKos has the original scoop.  I went and got the original footage from the Clinton ad, and then compared it to 3 different video clips of the same debate from 3 different sources.  I did this so as to take into account …
RELATED:
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
Nutroots accuse Hillary of darkening footage of Obama to make him …
Discussion: protein wisdom, QandO and Daily Kos
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Bauer's conference call ambush [updated with audio]  —  Barack Obama's top lawyer, Bob Bauer, made an unexpected appearance on the Clinton campaign's conference call this evening, calling in on a line intended for reporters to challenge Clinton aides' claims of irregularities in several Texas precincts.
RELATED:
Marc Ambinder:
Caucus Problems In Texas  —  The Clinton campaign said tonight that Obama precinct workers illegally obtained caucus packets in the following Texas caucus precincts:  —  Precinct 2316 in Tarrant County  —  Precinct 1205 in Dallas County  —  Precinct 3127 in Bexar County  —  Precinct 3082 in Ft. Bend County
Discussion: Trailhead
Marc Ambinder:
Vermont May Be The Most Important State Of The Night  —  Why?  —  Barack Obama will win this Dean-inflected anti-war bastion handily.  —  Vermont will allocate 10 delegates based on the vote at the congressional district level and award three proportionally according to the statewide vote.
Discussion: Burnt Orange Report, Attytood and MyDD
RELATED:
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:   Vermont math  —  Matt Seyfang points out that the number …
Greg Sargent / TPM Election Central:
Obama Wins Vermont, Networks Say
Discussion: MSNBC and Commentary
Jeff Greenfield / Slate:
Bugs Bunny vs. Daffy Duck  —  WHY VOTERS ALWAYS CHOOSE THE WASCALLY WABBIT FOR PRESIDENT.  —  How did we reach the point at which Sen. Clinton, the clear Democratic front-runner six months ago, needs clear winds in Texas and Ohio to mute the calls for her to end her campaign?
 
 
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 More Items: 
Adam Liptak / New York Times:
A Wave of the Watch List, and Speech Disappears
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Marc Ambinder:
HRC Gets A Boost From Richardson
Discussion: Redstate and Cliff Schecter
David Weigel / Reason Magazine:
The Mini Tuesday Primary Thread: Paul and Kucinich Triumph …
Discussion: Wonkette
Megan McArdle:
Your primary liveblogging  —  9:09: Best line of the night …
Kathryn Jean Lopez / The Corner:
A Number Clinton Could Have Skipped
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
The Worm is Turning  —  Earlier this year, the Center for Media …
John Hood / The Corner:
Framing The Matchup  —  The exit polls clearly have Clinton …
CNN:
Huckabee: Wednesday will be a ‘planning day’
 Earlier Items: 
Ed OKeefe / Political Punch:
Clinton Texas Coordinator: ‘3 AM’ Ad Too Late
Discussion: Spin Cycle and Marc Ambinder
Josh Kraushaar / The Crypt's Blogs:
Hanretty joins NRCC as new communications director
Omar El Akkad / Globe and Mail:
Khadr lawyers allege Cheney linked to video release
Discussion: Emptywheel and Think Progress
Laurence H. Tribe / Wall Street Journal:
Sanity and the Second Amendment
The Politico:
Five reasons Clinton could come back
Doug Mataconis / Below The Beltway:
Picture Of The Day: Earth And Moon As Seen From Mars
Andrew Malcolm / Los Angeles Times:
Hillary Clinton puts the media in its place — the men's room
 

 
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