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4:30 PM ET, May 5, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Weighting our final NC Poll  —  Our final North Carolina poll will be released within the next few hours.  A big decision for pollsters on this one is how to weight for race.  28% of the Democratic primary electorate in 2000 was black, and in 2004 it was 32%.  But over 40% of early voters were.
RELATED:
Southern Political Report:
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Survey in North Carolina: Obama 48%; Clinton 45%; —Tied Within Margin of Error  —  An InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Survey conducted for the Southern Political Report shows the Democratic Primary in North Carolina tightening.  The results:  —  Obama: 48%
Discussion: MyDD and Hot Air
Marie Horrigan / CQ Politics:   CQ Politics Forecasts a Slim Obama Victory in N.C. Delegates
Bonney Kapp / FOX Embeds:
Obama's Marathon Day  —  “Between here and North Carolina …
Discussion: Wonkette
Rhodes Cook / New York Times:
Popular Mechanics  —  WHILE Hillary Clinton probably …
Discussion: The New Republic and MSNBC
Wally Edge / Politicker MD:
Cryor, Dugas Glover to endorse Obama  —  State Democratic Party Chairman Michael Cryor and Vice Chairwoman Lauren Dugas Glover, both superdelegates, are endorsing Illinois Senator Barack Obama this afternoon, sources tell PolitickerMD.com.  —  Those close to Cryor have said he has been an Obama supporter …
Discussion: MSNBC
RELATED:
Sam Graham-Felsen / my.barackobama.com:
Superdelegate Kalyn Free Endorses Barack Obama
Discussion: The Politico
David Nitkin / The Swamp:
Obama Picks Up Maryland Superdelegates
Discussion: The Page
William Kristol / New York Times:
McCain-Jindal?  —  Barack Obama said Friday, “We've had a rough couple of weeks.”  Actually, he's had a rough couple of months.  He's lost three big primaries to Hillary Clinton.  And, should he hold on to win the nomination, he can no longer be considered a clear favorite over John McCain in the general election.
RELATED:
Ross Douthat:
Don't Do It, Bobby  —  Perhaps the most prescient piece I've ever written (it's a short list) was a column for the Wall Street Journal in June of '06, which urged Barack Obama to run for President - because, I argued, “in presidential politics, it's usually better to run too early than to wait …
Gallup:
Gallup Daily: Democrats Tied for Record 12th Day  —  Obama's 5-point lead, 50% to 45%, is within poll's margin of error  —  PRINCETON, NJ — Barack Obama has a five percentage point edge over Hillary Clinton for the nomination among national Democrats, 50% to 45%, in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from May 2-4.
Discussion: American Power and Donklephant
RELATED:
Susan Page / USA Today:
Poll: Flap over pastor hurts Obama
SurveyUSA:
Clinton Has The Hoosiers Right Where She Wants Them, 24 Hours Till Votes Are Counted
Domenico Montanaro / MSNBC:
FIRST THOUGHTS: THE MATH GAME
John Ruberry / Marathon Pundit:
Bill Ayers stepping on a US flag in 2001  —  My good friend Anne Leary of Backyard Conservative, a fabulous North Shore blogger, tipped me off to this picture, which I've heard rumors about, of Bill Ayers stepping on a US flag in 2001.  —  I believe it's from Chicago Magazine …
RELATED:
Marcia Froelke Coburn / Chicago Magazine:
No Regrets  —  From our August 2001 issue: “Kill your parents!” urged sixties leftist Bill Ayers, whose father was the chairman of Commonwealth Edison here.  In Ayers's new memoir, Fugitive Days, he reconciles his militant past with his present identity: father of three, esteemed professor at UIC …
Michael Yon / NY Daily News:
In Iraq, a storm before the calm  —  April saw 49 U.S. casualties in Iraq, the highest total in seven months.  Does this mean, as some insist, that the enormous progress we have made since the start of the military surge is being lost?  —  As one who has spent nearly two years …
RELATED:
Blue Texan / Firedoglake:   Michael Yon: More Americans Getting Killed In Iraq Means We're Winning
Wall Street Journal:
Obama Says Teamsters Need Less Oversight  —  Campaign Talks On Issue Preceded Union's Backing  —  Sen. Barack Obama won the endorsement of the Teamsters earlier this year after privately telling the union he supported ending the strict federal oversight imposed to root out corruption …
Matthew Yglesias:
Outback Strikes Back  —  Ezra Klein's right to bemoan the sneering condescension in this NYT piece on suburban chain restaurants.  For me, this is made all the worse by the knowledge that the attitude of contempt is almost certainly fake.  I was actually born and raised in Manhattan …
RELATED:
Ezra Klein / American Prospect:
AND I'LL TAKE SOME CONTEMPT ON THE SIDE.
Discussion: JustOneMinute
Kurt Andersen / New York Magazine:
About That Crush on Obama  —  If Barack is out of touch with America, then the media must be too.  —  People with the slightest interest in politics, especially journalists, spent 2006 and 2007 smacking their lips and rubbing their hands in anticipation of 2008, relishing the prospect …
Matthew Yglesias:
Culture Clash  —  I'm with Spencer Ackerman on this.  It's really bizarre how, in the context of war, totally normal attributes of human behavior become transformed into into mysterious cultural quirks of the elusive Arab.  I recall having read in the past that because Arabs are horrified of shame …
Discussion: Eschaton
RELATED:
Spencer / Attackerman:
The Killing Clowns, The Blood Money Men, Are Shooting Those Washington Bullets Again
Discussion: The Other McCain
Ben Smith / The Politico:
Obama at issue in Mississippi  —  In perhaps the toughest negative spot yet in a Mississippi congressional race where Barack Obama has become a central issue, Greg Davis accuses Travis Childers of falsely distancing himself from Obama.  —  The downside to Obama for these ads …
Glenn Reynolds / Instapundit.com:
The Glenn and Helen Show: Fred Thompson on John McCain and Judges  —  With Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama still slugging it out in the Democratic primaries, John McCain has already cleared the way to the Republican nomination.  He's spending his time laying out his positions for the general election …
Discussion: Marc Ambinder and Dr. Helen
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
LOSING HIS RELIGION  —  TPM Reader H- sees what's been a recurrent pattern that makes more sense of the Indiana polls ...
 
 
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 More Items: 
Dionne Walker / Associated Press:
Mildred Loving, matriarch of interracial marriage, dies
Washington Wire:
Obama Woos Voter, Says Recent Attacks are ‘Best They Can Do’
Discussion: The Page
Faiz / Think Progress:
Baghdad Disneyland contractor: Violence in Baghdad is like ‘drive-bys’ in LA.
Matthew Yglesias:
Shocking Results  —  NYT polls the gas tax issue.  How remarkable.
Sebastian Mallaby / Washington Post:
Wright And Ridiculous
The Art of the Possible:
Glenn Greenwald: An Interview with The Art of the Possible
Discussion: The Daily Dish
Ken Shepherd / NewsBusters.org:
Rosie O'Donnell: Rev. Wright ‘Made Sense to Me’; People ‘Confuse Passion for Rage’
Discussion: Hot Air
Anna Quindlen / Newsweek:
The 2008 Bench Press  —  The most important decision a president ever makes?
 Earlier Items: 
Sam Harris / The Huffington Post:
Losing Our Spines to Save Our Necks
Discussion: Hullabaloo
Stephanie Gaskell / NY Daily News:
Army big: Kerik was ‘a waste of time’ in Iraq
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
THUMB ON THE SCALES  —  As some mix of manic euphoria …
City Journal:
May 1968: 40 Years Later
Ezra Klein / American Prospect:
WHY THE GAS TAX WAS DIFFERENT.
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Joseph Rago / Wall Street Journal:
Dartmouth's ‘Hostile’ Environment
Discussion: Gawker, Betsy's Page and TigerHawk