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5:00 PM ET, May 5, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
William Kristol / New York Times:
McCain-Jindal?  —  Barack Obama said Friday, “We've had a rough couple of weeks.”  Actually, he's had a rough couple of months.  He's lost three big primaries to Hillary Clinton.  And, should he hold on to win the nomination, he can no longer be considered a clear favorite over John McCain in the general election.
RELATED:
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Weighting our final NC Poll  —  Our final North Carolina poll will be released within the next few hours.  A big decision for pollsters on this one is how to weight for race.  28% of the Democratic primary electorate in 2000 was black, and in 2004 it was 32%.  But over 40% of early voters were.
Ross Douthat:
Don't Do It, Bobby  —  Perhaps the most prescient piece I've ever written (it's a short list) was a column for the Wall Street Journal in June of '06, which urged Barack Obama to run for President - because, I argued, “in presidential politics, it's usually better to run too early than to wait …
Gallup:
Gallup Daily: Democrats Tied for Record 12th Day  —  Obama's 5-point lead, 50% to 45%, is within poll's margin of error  —  PRINCETON, NJ — Barack Obama has a five percentage point edge over Hillary Clinton for the nomination among national Democrats, 50% to 45%, in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from May 2-4.
Discussion: American Power and Donklephant
Southern Political Report:
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Survey in North Carolina: Obama 48%; Clinton 45%; —Tied Within Margin of Error  —  An InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Survey conducted for the Southern Political Report shows the Democratic Primary in North Carolina tightening.  The results:  —  Obama: 48%
Discussion: MyDD and Hot Air
Susan Page / USA Today:
Poll: Flap over pastor hurts Obama
SurveyUSA:
Clinton Has The Hoosiers Right Where She Wants Them, 24 Hours Till Votes Are Counted
Marie Horrigan / CQ Politics:   CQ Politics Forecasts a Slim Obama Victory in N.C. Delegates
Domenico Montanaro / MSNBC:
FIRST THOUGHTS: THE MATH GAME
Bonney Kapp / FOX Embeds:
Obama's Marathon Day  —  “Between here and North Carolina …
Discussion: Wonkette
Wally Edge / Politicker MD:
Cryor, Dugas Glover to endorse Obama  —  State Democratic Party Chairman Michael Cryor and Vice Chairwoman Lauren Dugas Glover, both superdelegates, are endorsing Illinois Senator Barack Obama this afternoon, sources tell PolitickerMD.com.  —  Those close to Cryor have said he has been an Obama supporter …
Discussion: MSNBC
RELATED:
Ezra Klein / American Prospect:
THE STATE OF THE RACE.  —  This seems like a big deal.  From The LA Times: … Though Obama seems more embattled than he did a month ago, the math is harder for Clinton to make up with every passing day.  The uncommitted superdelegates are a particular class of superdelegates …
Sam Graham-Felsen / my.barackobama.com:   Superdelegate Kalyn Free Endorses Barack Obama
David Nitkin / The Swamp:
Obama Picks Up Maryland Superdelegates
Discussion: The Page
John Ruberry / Marathon Pundit:
Bill Ayers stepping on a US flag in 2001  —  My good friend Anne Leary of Backyard Conservative, a fabulous North Shore blogger, tipped me off to this picture, which I've heard rumors about, of Bill Ayers stepping on a US flag in 2001.  —  I believe it's from Chicago Magazine …
RELATED:
Marcia Froelke Coburn / Chicago Magazine:
No Regrets  —  From our August 2001 issue: “Kill your parents!” urged sixties leftist Bill Ayers, whose father was the chairman of Commonwealth Edison here.  In Ayers's new memoir, Fugitive Days, he reconciles his militant past with his present identity: father of three, esteemed professor at UIC …
Michael Yon / NY Daily News:
In Iraq, a storm before the calm  —  April saw 49 U.S. casualties in Iraq, the highest total in seven months.  Does this mean, as some insist, that the enormous progress we have made since the start of the military surge is being lost?  —  As one who has spent nearly two years …
RELATED:
Blue Texan / Firedoglake:   Michael Yon: More Americans Getting Killed In Iraq Means We're Winning
Wall Street Journal:
Obama Says Teamsters Need Less Oversight  —  Campaign Talks On Issue Preceded Union's Backing  —  Sen. Barack Obama won the endorsement of the Teamsters earlier this year after privately telling the union he supported ending the strict federal oversight imposed to root out corruption …
Glenn Reynolds / Instapundit.com:
The Glenn and Helen Show: Fred Thompson on John McCain and Judges  —  With Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama still slugging it out in the Democratic primaries, John McCain has already cleared the way to the Republican nomination.  He's spending his time laying out his positions for the general election …
Discussion: Marc Ambinder, Hot Air and Dr. Helen
Matthew Yglesias:
Outback Strikes Back  —  Ezra Klein's right to bemoan the sneering condescension in this NYT piece on suburban chain restaurants.  For me, this is made all the worse by the knowledge that the attitude of contempt is almost certainly fake.  I was actually born and raised in Manhattan …
RELATED:
Ezra Klein / American Prospect:
AND I'LL TAKE SOME CONTEMPT ON THE SIDE.
Discussion: JustOneMinute and Media Blog
Kurt Andersen / New York Magazine:
About That Crush on Obama  —  If Barack is out of touch with America, then the media must be too.  —  People with the slightest interest in politics, especially journalists, spent 2006 and 2007 smacking their lips and rubbing their hands in anticipation of 2008, relishing the prospect …
Sebastian Mallaby / Washington Post:
Wright And Ridiculous  —  Of all the strange features of this presidential race, the tarnishing of Barack Obama has got to be the most ridiculous.  First Obama was accused of anti-religious elitism.  Then he was accused of identifying with the underclass anger of his spiritual mentor.
RELATED:
Stephanie Gaskell / NY Daily News:
Army big: Kerik was ‘a waste of time’ in Iraq  —  The former commander of U.S. forces in Iraq took aim at Bernard Kerik in an exclusive interview with the Daily News Sunday, calling his efforts to train Iraqi police in 2003 “a waste of time and effort.”  —  Retired Lt. Gen. Ricardo Sanchez …
Sam Harris / The Huffington Post:
Losing Our Spines to Save Our Necks  —  Geert Wilders, conservative Dutch politician and provocateur, has become the latest projectile in the world's most important culture war: the zero-sum conflict between civil society and traditional Islam.  Wilders, who lives under perpetual armed guard due …
Discussion: Hullabaloo
 
 
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 More Items: 
Amanda / Think Progress:
Limbaugh on Hispanic mayor of LA: I thought he was either …
Discussion: Crooks and Liars
Dionne Walker / Associated Press:
Mildred Loving, matriarch of interracial marriage, dies
Washington Wire:
Obama Woos Voter, Says Recent Attacks are ‘Best They Can Do’
Discussion: The Page
Faiz / Think Progress:
Baghdad Disneyland contractor: Violence in Baghdad is like ‘drive-bys’ in LA.
Matthew Yglesias:
Shocking Results  —  NYT polls the gas tax issue.  How remarkable.
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
LOSING HIS RELIGION  —  TPM Reader H- sees what's been a …
The Art of the Possible:
Glenn Greenwald: An Interview with The Art of the Possible
Discussion: The Daily Dish
Matthew Yglesias:
Culture Clash
Discussion: Attackerman and Eschaton
 Earlier Items: 
Ken Shepherd / NewsBusters.org:
Rosie O'Donnell: Rev. Wright ‘Made Sense to Me’; People ‘Confuse Passion for Rage’
Discussion: Hot Air
Anna Quindlen / Newsweek:
The 2008 Bench Press  —  The most important decision a president ever makes?
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
THUMB ON THE SCALES  —  As some mix of manic euphoria …
City Journal:
May 1968: 40 Years Later
Ben Smith / The Politico:
Obama at issue in Mississippi
Joseph Rago / Wall Street Journal:
Dartmouth's ‘Hostile’ Environment
Discussion: Gawker, Betsy's Page and TigerHawk