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5:50 PM ET, October 13, 2008

memeorandum

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Adam Nagourney / New York Times:
It Ain't Over 'Til It's Over  —  WASHINGTON — Howard Wolfson, the generally pessimistic Democratic consultant who was a senior adviser to Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, wrote an item on his blog at The New Republic the other day, declaring without qualification that Senator Barack Obama would defeat Senator John McCain.
RELATED:
Washington Post:
Obama Up by 10 Points as McCain Favorability Ratings Fall  —  With just over three weeks until Election Day, the two presidential nominees appear to be on opposite trajectories, with Sen. Barack Obama gaining momentum and Sen. John McCain stalled or losing ground on a range of issues and personal traits …
Chris Cillizza / Washington Post:
Post/ABC Poll: McCain's Structural Problems
Jim Tankersley / The Swamp:
McCain's Pennsylvania problem
Walter Shapiro / Salon:
How John McCain could still win
Discussion: Shakesville and Townhall.com
Catherine Rampell / Economix:
Paul Krugman Wins Economics Nobel  —  Paul Krugman, a professor at Princeton University and an Op-Ed columnist for The New York Times, was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences on Monday.  —  “It's been an extremely weird day, but weird in a positive way,” …
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John Cole / Balloon Juice:
Great Moments In Right-Wing Punditry  —  Via the comments, this gem from the Powerline on 8 August 2005: … John Hinderaker, in peak form.  —  Considering my recent past (at least up until mid 2005), I am not really in a position to get all high and mighty, but after being staggeringly wrong …
Discussion: TalkLeft
Donald L. Luskin / Chronicle of the Conspiracy:
KRUGMAN WINS THE NOBEL PRIZE The Nobel Prize is never posthumous …
Discussion: pw, Freakonomics and Crooked Timber
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
Obama's 95% Illusion  —  It depends on what the meaning of ‘tax cut’ is.  —  One of Barack Obama's most potent campaign claims is that he'll cut taxes for no less than 95% of “working families.”  He's even promising to cut taxes enough that the government's tax share of GDP will be no more than 18.2% …
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New York Times:
Obama Expands Economic Plans  —  TOLEDO — Senator Barack Obama on Monday expanded his economic platform, including proposals to spur new jobs, to give Americans penalty-free access to retirement savings to help them through the downturn, to urge a 90-day moratorium on home foreclosures …
Discussion: Marc Ambinder and TIME.com
Christopher Wills / Associated Press:
Obama calls for 90-day moratorium on foreclosures
Discussion: Michelle Malkin
ABCNEWS:
Congressman's $121,000 Payoff to Alleged Mistress  —  Tim Mahoney Elected to Remove ‘Ethical Cloud’ of His Disgraced Predecessor, Mark Foley  —  West Palm Beach Congressman Tim Mahoney (D-FL), whose predecessor resigned in the wake of a sex scandal, agreed to a $121,000 payment to a former mistress …
Katie Escherich / ABCNEWS:
Biden on Negative Tone: 'You Don't Want to Encourage Fringe People'  —  Democratic VP Candidate on Personal Attacks, Poll Numbers, Pennsylvania Roots  —  Sen. Joe Biden claims that some of the personal attacks against Sen. Barack Obama are “really off the wall” and warned his Republican rivals …
Discussion: TIME.com
RELATED:
Washington Wire:   Senior McCain Aide Says They ‘Need’ Florida, Ohio Wins
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Acorn pushes back, hugs McCain  —  The beleaguered Democratic-leaning community group Acorn sends over this photograph: John McCain, in March of 2006, sitting beside Florida Rep. Kendrick Meek at an event Acorn co-sponsored in Florida.  —  The immigration event, which other photos show …
Ezra Klein / American Prospect:
AN AUTHENTIC COALITION.  —  One of the realities that's a bit too treacherous to get into before the election but will surely feature into a lot of post-election analyses is the fact that John McCain is probably going to win whites and lose the presidency.  Even now, 10 points down in the polls …
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
RELATED:
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
Strange Trump  —  The new Time cover has text saying “WHY THE ECONOMY IS TRUMPING RACE.”
Discussion: Outside The Beltway
Gallup:
Gallup Daily: Obama Ahead, 51% to 41%  —  His advantage could be as narrow as 7 points, depending on likely voters  —  PRINCETON, NJ — Voter preferences in the presidential race continue to be generally auspicious for Barack Obama's election prospects only three weeks ahead of the eve of Election Day.
Tim Eberly / Atlanta Journal-Constitution:
One in three recent Atlanta Police Academy graduates have criminal records  —  Keovongsa Siharath was arrested in Henry County on charges he punched his stepfather.  —  Jeffrey Churchill was charged with assault in an altercation with a woman in a mall parking lot.
Jonathan Martin / Jonathan Martin's Blogs:
Republican activists off-message at McCain rallies (cont)  —  An AFP shot from this morning in Virginia Beach.  —  I'm told in Ricmond, where Palin is now, the signs only accuse Obama of being a communist and Marxist.
Discussion: FOX Embeds
David Kurtz / Talking Points Memo:
CAN WE GET A REWRITE HERE?  —  Sarah Palin knows a thing or two about abuse of power when she says John McCain is ready to put a stop to it:
Tim Paradis / Associated Press:
Manic Monday: Dow roars back from worst week ever  —  NEW YORK - Wall Street stormed back after its worst week ever and staged the biggest single-day stock rally since the Great Depression on Monday, catapulting the Dow Jones industrials to a 936-point gain and finally offering relief from eight consecutive days of stock market carnage.
Discussion: Newshoggers.com
The Huffington Post:
Tina Fey On Sarah Palin: “If She Wins...I'm Leaving Earth”  —  Tina Fey told TVGuide she'll be “done” if John McCain and Sarah Palin win the election next month.  —  The “SNL” veteran who has come back to play the Republican Vice Presidential candidate (and whose own show, “30 Rock,” …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Marc Ambinder:
McCain Will Focus On Economy Tomorrow
Discussion: The New Republic
Ezra Klein / American Prospect:
MEAT IS NOT CHEAP.  —  I already posted on the general outlines …
SusanUnPC / NO QUARTER:
Howard Stern Conducts an Experiment with Some, Um, “Low-Information” Obama Voters
John Amato / Crooks and Liars:
Howard Kurtz asks: Is the media pumping up the ‘Angry Mob’ …
Discussion: A Tiny Revolution
Mark Halperin / TIME.com:
Obama's Remarks in Toledo
Discussion: Washington Monthly and Reason
Marc Ambinder:
McCain's “Fight”  —  Last week, establishment Republicans worried …
Michelle Malkin:
First graders take school field trip...to teacher's gay wedding
Discussion: Stop The ACLU
Jonathan Adler / The Corner:
Re: Ayers as Obama's Ghost Writer
Discussion: Matthew Yglesias
 Earlier Items: 
Deacon / Power Line:
A WORST CASE SCENARIO?
Mark Halperin / TIME.com:
McCain's Prepared Remarks for Virginia Beach Monday
Adam Serwer / American Prospect:
What Right Wingers Mean When They Call Obama A “Socialist”
Discussion: ATTACKERMAN and Orcinus
V. Lance Tarrance, Jr / Real Clear Politics:
The Bradley Effect - Selective Memory
Discussion: The New Republic and MSNBC
Adam Goldman / Associated Press:
Levi Johnston speaks about Bristol Palin, baby
Discussion: Swampland and Comedy Central