McCain camp trying to scapegoat Palin  —  John McCain's campaign is looking for a scapegoat.  It is looking for someone to blame if McCain loses on Tuesday.  —  And it has decided on Sarah Palin.  —  In recent days, a McCain “adviser” told Dana Bash of CNN: “She is a diva.  She takes no advice from anyone.”

Call Him John the Careless  —  From the invasion of Iraq to the selection of Sarah Palin, carelessness has characterized recent episodes of faux conservatism.  Tuesday's probable repudiation of the Republican Party will punish characteristics displayed in the campaign's closing days.

Huffington Post Writer Stabs Lover 222 Times  —  It was inevitable that the Huffington Post would somehow end up sullied by recruiting such a massive army of unpaid contributors.  But few would have imagined something this awful: Valued HuffPo political blogger Carol Anne Burger shot herself Friday …

Pennsylvania Hope for McCain  —  Republican must-win state poll from NBC/Mason Dixon:  —  Obama 47, McCain 43, Undecided 9

21.7% Of Households In Top Local TV Markets Watched Obama Infomercial  —  The combined overall household rating for Senator Barack Obama's Wednesday night infomercial, in the top 56 local television markets where Nielsen maintains electronic TV meters, was 21.7.

Hall adviser fired, linked to Ohio voting fraud probe  —  NEW PALTZ — Congressman John Hall (D-Dover Plains) fired one of his long-time campaign advisers Tuesday, after learning that she's embroiled in voter fraud investigations in Ohio.  —  Amy Little, 49, has been a registered Democrat …

Obama and the Politics of Crowds  —  The masses greeting the candidate on the trail are a sign of great unease.  —  There is something odd — and dare I say novel — in American politics about the crowds that have been greeting Barack Obama on his campaign trail.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: THIRD QUARTER 2008 (ADVANCE)  —  Real gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States — decreased at an annual rate of .3 percent in the third quarter of 2008, (that is, from the second quarter …

Banks to Continue Paying Dividends  —  Bailout Money Is for Lending, Critics Say  —  U.S. banks getting more than $163 billion from the Treasury Department for new lending are on pace to pay more than half of that sum to their shareholders, with government permission, over the next three years.

OCTOBER SURPRISE: UFO ALIEN NOW ENDORSES McCAIN!  —  WASHINGTON, DC - In a shocking reversal with major implications for the U.S. presidential election, political kingmaker, the Alien has switched his endorsement from Barack Obama to John McCain amid furor.  Both political camps are buzzing …

The Real McCain  —  Anne Applebaum and Joe Klein, like countless others, cannot support McCain because of his repulsive, vicious, negative, McCarthyite campaign and his unvetted spur-of-the-moment decision to pick Sarah Palin, an unhinged, know-nothing, delusional religious fanatic, as his veep.

Checks on ‘Joe’ more extensive than first acknowledged  —  Tax, welfare info also sought on McCain ally  —  A state agency has revealed that its checks of computer systems for potential information on “Joe the Plumber” were more extensive than it first acknowledged.

Why I'm Voting For Obama  —  You know, all those sober-minded Beltway Obamacons have me thinking.  So far it's all been good race-baiting, lefty-smearing fun, but we've come to the point in the campaign where it is time to mull things over and make a serious decision.

It's time  —  America should take a chance and make Barack Obama the next leader of the free world  —  IT IS impossible to forecast how important any presidency will be.  Back in 2000 America stood tall as the undisputed superpower, at peace with a generally admiring world.

THE CASE IN 30 MINUTES.... The Obama campaign's 30-minute commercial could have gone in a couple of different directions last night, some better than others.  I was fairly confident he would rely on Ross Perot's pie charts — the hallmark of the last candidate to air a half-hour commercial …

Don't Let the Polls Affect Your Vote  —  They were wrong in 2000 and 2004.  —  There has been an explosion of polls this presidential election.  Through yesterday, there have been 728 national polls with head-to-head matchups of the candidates, 215 in October alone.

A Question for A.I.G.: Where Did the Cash Go?  —  The American International Group is rapidly running through $123 billion in emergency lending provided by the Federal Reserve, raising questions about how a company claiming to be solvent in September could have developed such a big hole by October.

A Joke And What It Reveals  —  Speaking in front of a huge audience at downtown Raleigh rally yesterday, Barack Obama threw off a humorous line about John McCain's accusation that the Obama tax plan is redistributionist: … Ha ha.  —  Only, in this passage Obama revealed precisely …

INTRODUCING: LI'L OBAMA!  —  The great Batton Lash does it again (with a little help from yours truly).  After the jump:  —  Previous Batton fun here, here, and here.  And check out his fine comicky goodness at exhibitapress.com!

Is Barack Obama really a socialist?  —  Not exactly, but his ‘socialist-lite’ policies should still be cause for concern. … Since telling Joe the Plumber of his wish to “spread the wealth around,” Barack Obama is being called a socialist.  Is he one?  —  No. At least not in the classic sense of the term.

McCain likes one Obama idea  —  McCain, in Defiance, OH, recalls Obama's line about — should he lose — returning to the Senate to do “terrific work” with the next president.  —  “Last night, Senator Obama said that if he lost he would return to the Senate and try again in four years for the second act,” he said.

The Barack Obama Lack-Of-Variety Show  —  For what it's worth, I don't think the night worked for him.  The last time anyone did this — Ross Perot — it was so weird a world unto itself (strange-looking guy with pie charts) that, beached between Cybill and Murphy Brown (or whatever it was back then) …

Aerosmith's Joe Perry walks this way with John McCain  —  Aerosmith has generally left the politics to bands like U2 and the Dixie Chicks, but axeman Joe Perry says national security and economic woes have prompted him to split from the rest of the entertainment world and throw his support behind John McCain.

Obama and the Race Card  —  On the “'spreading the wealth' as racial appeal” question, Yglesias writes: “Well, obviously you could read just about anything as a coded racist appeal.  And I think a case could be made that you'd be right to.  The simple fact of the matter is that the politics …

ObamaVision: An Appeal to the Masses  —  Barack Obama fired the final salvo in the great battle of images that is the 2008 presidential campaign last night with a half-hour, multimillion-dollar television infomercial that could be considered not the “feel-good” but rather the “feel-better” movie of the year.

Obama Banks: Clues From The Early Vote  —  First, click through the data here and here.  —  Gallup and Pew data show that Democrats are leading in the early vote.  The equally reliable Annenberg National Election Survey's data shows that, across the country, Democrats are tied with Republicans in the early vote.

THE LAST WORD—ALMOST  —  The Crystal Ball's Next-to-Last Projections for the 2008 Election  —  Director, U.Va. Center for Politics  —  These are our 2008 election projections as of Thursday, October 30.  We will make final adjustments and tweaks on Monday afternoon, November 3, and post them to the website.

National Trackers: Narrowing?  Not Much  —  Here are the daily tracking results from today.  All changes are 1-2 percentage points on the margin, which is well within the usual range of sampling noise.  If we use the “expanded” likely voter model for Gallup (our usual practice) …