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4:40 AM ET, November 3, 2008

memeorandum

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On Politics:
Final USA TODAY/Gallup estimate: Obama, 53%; McCain, 42%  —  Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain by 11 percentage points in the last USA TODAY/Gallup national poll of likely voters before Election Day.  —  With less than two days to go before polls open, the contenders' support is estimated to be:
RELATED:
Gallup:
Final Presidential Estimate: Obama 55%, McCain 44%  —  Independents break for Obama, boosting Obama's broad Democratic base  —  PRINCETON, NJ — The final Gallup 2008 pre-election poll — based on Oct. 31-Nov. 2 Gallup Poll Daily tracking — shows Barack Obama with a 53% to 42% advantage over John McCain among likely voters.
Brian Montopoli / CBS News:
CBS Poll: Obama Maintains 13 Point Lead  —  With two days left until the presidential election, Barack Obama continues to lead John McCain by 13 points among likely voters, 54 percent to 41 percent, a new CBS News poll finds.  The margin in the new poll, released Sunday, is identical to that in a CBS News poll released Saturday.
Discussion: AMERICAblog News, Spin Cycle, MyDD and CNN
Jennifer Agiesta / Washington Post:
WaPo-ABC Tracking: Advantage Obama
Discussion: The Numbers and TalkLeft
Scott Conroy / CBS News:
Palin Unleashes New Attack Against Obama On Coal  —  From CBS News' Scott Conroy:  —  (MARIETTA, OHIO) - Seizing on a newly released audio tape picked up by the Drudge Report, Sarah Palin took the opportunity here in coal country to accuse Barack Obama of “talking about bankrupting the coal industry.”
RELATED:
Peter Hamby / CNN:
Palin knocks Obama over months-old coal comments  —  MARIETTA, Ohio (CNN) - Campaigning in coal country just two days before the presidential election, Sarah Palin is highlighting an interview Barack Obama gave to the San Francisco Chronicle in January in which the Democrat suggested coal plants …
Chris Dickerson / West Virginia Record:
Coal official calls Obama comments ‘unbelievable’  —  CHARLESTON - At least one state coal industry leader said he was shocked by comments Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama made earlier this year concerning his plan to aggressively charge polluters for carbon and greenhouse gas emissions.
Ed Morrissey / Hot Air:
Obama: I'll make energy prices “skyrocket”
Juliet Eilperin / Washington Post:
McCain in Pennsylvania: I'm a ‘Coal Booster’
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
JOE THE SKINHEAD  —  When he was just the topic du jour because of his question to Barack Obama back in the neighborhood in Ohio, that was one thing.  But “Joe the Plumber” is now actively campaigning with and for John McCain, appearing on stage with him at multiple events, etc.
RELATED:
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
Myths and Realities  —  Jay Nordlinger writes at The Corner: … That may what “the evidence of [Nordlinger's] lived experience” says, but it would be strongly at odds with the historical pattern.  Here's Andrew Gelman's map of voting patterns among the top third of the income distribution in 2004:
Discussion: Eschaton
RELATED:
Jay Nordlinger / The Corner:   Dept. of Enduring Myths
John McCormack / Weekly Standard:
Dem.  Congressman: “Let [Russia] Invade Georgia.  It's Right Next to Them.”  —  At an event at a Boca Raton synagogue, Congressman Jerrold Nadler (D-NY) said that the United States should let Russia invade Georgia.  Beginning at the 3:50 mark in the following YouTube video …
Discussion: www.redstate.com
RELATED:
Pamela Geller / Atlas Shrugs:
ATLAS EXCLUSIVE: JERROLD NADLER “OBAMA DIDN'T HAVE THE POLITICAL …
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
The Cellphone Effect, Continued  —  These are Barack Obama's leads in the likely voter models presently included in the Real Clear Politics average, plus the Research 2000 poll which they arbitrarily exclude.  —  The polls in the Cingular-y orange color include cellphones in their samples; the polls in gray do not.
Paul Steinhauser / CNN:
Palin costing McCain, poll suggests  —  CNN Deputy Political Director  —  WASHINGTON (CNN) — A new national poll suggests Sarah Palin may be hurting Republican presidential nominee John McCain more than she's helping him.  —  A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Sunday …
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Dschabner / Political Radar:
Obama Says He Is Against Same-Sex Marriage But Also Against Ending Its Practice In Calif.  —  ABC News' Teddy Davis, Sunlen Miller, Tahman Bradley, and Rigel Anderson report: Barack Obama's nuanced position on same-sex marriage is on full display in an MTV interview which is set to air on Monday.
RELATED:
Jonathan Curley / Christian Science Monitor:
My wife made me canvas for Obama; here's what I learned  —  This election is not about major policies.  It's about hope. … There has been a lot of speculation that Barack Obama might win the election due to his better “ground game” and superior campaign organization.
Frank James / The Swamp:
Palin misstates anti-Obama data source  —  COLUMBUS, Ohio — At Gov. Sarah Palin's Sunday rallies, she's earned big responses by repeating the line that an independent organization has found that Sen. Barack Obama's proposed policies “would destroy 6 million jobs over the next decade.”
Hillary Clinton / NY Daily News:
The man for the moment: Hillary Clinton makes the case for Barack Obama  —  On Tuesday, New Yorkers and Americans have a big decision to make.  Do we continue to pursue the policies of the past eight years or do we chart a new course?  I believe we can and we must chart a new course led by President Barack Obama.
Bill Dyer / Townhall.com:
Obama's Redistribution for iTunes  —  A “Better Government” under Obama's plan means you can buy the latest tune from Bruce Springsteen once we “spread the wealth.”.  “A New Politics for a New Time” from an Obama speech minutes ago in Cleveland, Ohio tells us why redistribution is so important and what justifies his tax policy:
Discussion: Say Anything and The Corner
Michael Cooper / The Caucus:
From McCain, Warm Words for Bush  —  WALLINGFORD, Pa. - Senator John McCain was nearing the end of his rally in a high school gymnasium here Sunday morning, making the case that a comeback was at hand, when his voice suddenly began to grow hoarser and hoarser.
Discussion: TIME.com, Think Progress and Eschaton
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 More Items: 
Ian Urbina / New York Times:
Voting Experts Say High Turnout May Add to Problems at the Polls
Michael Luo / New York Times:
What Happens to Public Financing, When Obama Thrived Without It?
Paul / Power Line:
INSIDE THE MIND OF AN “OBAMACON”
Byron York / National Review:
Loving Sarah in Middle America
Little Green Footballs:
Soviet Doggies Bark for Barack
Discussion: zomblog
 Earlier Items: 
Jay Nordlinger / The Corner:
A Reason to Elect McCain
Discussion: The Heretik and Power Line
Jill Zuckman / The Swamp:
John McCain's lucky charms
Jay Newton-Small / Time:
A Long Campaign, And a Changed Barack Obama
Discussion: Obsidian Wings
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
Morning Status Update for Sunday 11/02
Discussion: Spin Cycle, Salon and Donklephant
Keith Thomson / The Huffington Post:
The Most Accurate Election Forecast? Hardcore Gamblers
Discussion: Betfair predicts and The Buzz