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1:15 AM ET, November 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Scott Conroy / CBS News:
Palin Unleashes New Attack Against Obama On Coal  —  From CBS News' Scott Conroy:  —  (MARIETTA, OHIO) - Seizing on a newly released audio tape picked up by the Drudge Report, Sarah Palin took the opportunity here in coal country to accuse Barack Obama of “talking about bankrupting the coal industry.”
RELATED:
P.J. Gladnick / NewsBusters.org:
Audio: Obama Tells SF Chronicle He Will Bankrupt Coal Industry
Joe Gandelman / The Moderate Voice:
Obama McCain Race Gets Uglier By The Hour
Discussion: MSNBC and Washington Wire
On Politics:
Final USA TODAY/Gallup estimate: Obama, 53%; McCain, 42%  —  Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain by 11 percentage points in the last USA TODAY/Gallup national poll of likely voters before Election Day.  —  With less than two days to go before polls open, the contenders' support is estimated to be:
RELATED:
Gallup:
Final Presidential Estimate: Obama 55%, McCain 44%  —  Independents break for Obama, boosting Obama's broad Democratic base  —  PRINCETON, NJ — The final Gallup 2008 pre-election poll — based on Oct. 31-Nov. 2 Gallup Poll Daily tracking — shows Barack Obama with a 53% to 42% advantage over John McCain among likely voters.
Brian Montopoli / CBS News:
CBS Poll: Obama Maintains 13 Point Lead  —  With two days left until the presidential election, Barack Obama continues to lead John McCain by 13 points among likely voters, 54 percent to 41 percent, a new CBS News poll finds.  The margin in the new poll, released Sunday, is identical to that in a CBS News poll released Saturday.
Discussion: AMERICAblog News
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
JOE THE SKINHEAD  —  When he was just the topic du jour because of his question to Barack Obama back in the neighborhood in Ohio, that was one thing.  But “Joe the Plumber” is now actively campaigning with and for John McCain, appearing on stage with him at multiple events, etc.
RELATED:
Hillary Clinton / NY Daily News:
The man for the moment: Hillary Clinton makes the case for Barack Obama  —  On Tuesday, New Yorkers and Americans have a big decision to make.  Do we continue to pursue the policies of the past eight years or do we chart a new course?  I believe we can and we must chart a new course led by President Barack Obama.
Ali Frick / Think Progress:
McCain surrogate Joe the Plumber questions Obama's loyalty to the U.S.»  —  Recently, Joe “the Plumber” Wurzelbacher has been hitting the campaign trail for and with Sen. John McCain (R-AZ).  Last week, he was sharply rebuked by Fox News's Shep Smith for agreeing that a vote for Sen. Barack Obama …
Discussion: 24Ahead and News Hounds
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
Myths and Realities  —  Jay Nordlinger writes at The Corner: … That may what “the evidence of [Nordlinger's] lived experience” says, but it would be strongly at odds with the historical pattern.  Here's Andrew Gelman's map of voting patterns among the top third of the income distribution in 2004:
Discussion: Eschaton
RELATED:
Jay Nordlinger / The Corner:   Dept. of Enduring Myths
John McCormack / Weekly Standard:
Dem.  Congressman: “Let [Russia] Invade Georgia.  It's Right Next to Them.”  —  At an event at a Boca Raton synagogue, Congressman Jerrold Nadler (D-NY) said that the United States should let Russia invade Georgia.  Beginning at the 3:50 mark in the following YouTube video …
RELATED:
Pamela Geller / Atlas Shrugs:
ATLAS EXCLUSIVE: JERROLD NADLER “OBAMA DIDN'T HAVE THE POLITICAL …
Discussion: Political Punch and Israpundit
Jonathan Curley / Christian Science Monitor:
My wife made me canvas for Obama; here's what I learned  —  This election is not about major policies.  It's about hope. … There has been a lot of speculation that Barack Obama might win the election due to his better “ground game” and superior campaign organization.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
The Cellphone Effect, Continued  —  These are Barack Obama's leads in the likely voter models presently included in the Real Clear Politics average, plus the Research 2000 poll which they arbitrarily exclude.  —  The polls in the Cingular-y orange color include cellphones in their samples; the polls in gray do not.
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
How soon will we know on election night?  —  Answer: Pretty soon, potentially.  Via CNN, a rundown of when the polls in various battleground states close (all times ET): … I didn't include Iowa because it's not a battleground anymore, assuming it ever was, but that's also a 10 p.m. close for what it's worth.
RELATED:
Frank James / The Swamp:
Palin misstates anti-Obama data source  —  COLUMBUS, Ohio — At Gov. Sarah Palin's Sunday rallies, she's earned big responses by repeating the line that an independent organization has found that Sen. Barack Obama's proposed policies “would destroy 6 million jobs over the next decade.”
Jay Newton-Small / Time:
A Long Campaign, And a Changed Barack Obama  —  Left to Right: Barack Obama announces his run for the presidency in February of 2007 ; Barack Obama at a campaign rally this week..  —  Almost two years ago, in the first months of Barack Obama's campaign for the presidency …
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Jim Lindgren / The Volokh Conspiracy:
Obama's first fulltime employer, Business International, had substantial SDS ties in the 1960s.  —  After graduating from Columbia in 1983, Obama's first fulltime job was to work for an international business newsletter firm, Business International.  From all accounts (including Obama's) …
Discussion: 24Ahead
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
Morning Status Update for Sunday 11/02  —  The most important thing to keep in mind about pre-election polls is that they come with random variability built-in.  That mostly predictable variation — known to most of us as “the margin of error' — comes from interviewing what we hope amounts …
Discussion: Salon and Donklephant
Brian Maloney / The Radio Equalizer:
Obama-Supporting KGO Libtalker Calls For Death Of Joe The Plumber  —  DEATH TO ‘JOE’  —  CAUGHT ON TAPE: KGO Talker Wants Ohio Plumber Killed  —  *** EXCLUSIVE TO THE RADIO EQUALIZER ***  —  BREAKING: KGO / San Francisco libtalker / Obama supporter Karel has been caught on tape calling for the death of Joe The Plumber.
Jennifer Agiesta / Washington Post:
WaPo-ABC Tracking: Advantage Obama  —  Sen. Barack Obama holds a sizable advantage over John McCain just two days before the longest and most expensive presidential campaign in history comes to a close.  —  After nearly two years of ads, rallies, debates and barnstorming …
Discussion: The Numbers
CNN:
Poll: Palin may be hurting more than helping McCain  —  (CNN) - A new national poll suggests that Sarah Palin may be hurting John McCain more than she's helping him.  —  A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Sunday indicates that McCain's running mate is growing less popular among voters …
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Ian Urbina / New York Times:
Voting Experts Say High Turnout May Add to Problems at the Polls  —  Millions of voters will encounter an unfamiliar low-tech landscape at the polls on Tuesday.  About half of all voters will vote in a way that is different from what they did in the last presidential election …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Michael Luo / New York Times:
What Happens to Public Financing, When Obama Thrived Without It?
Qassim Abdul-Zahra / Associated Press:
Iraq expects answer on security deal after US vote
Discussion: PoliGazette
Bill Dyer / Townhall.com:
Obama's Redistribution for iTunes
Discussion: The Corner and Say Anything
Paul / Power Line:
INSIDE THE MIND OF AN “OBAMACON”
Byron York / National Review:
Loving Sarah in Middle America
Little Green Footballs:
Soviet Doggies Bark for Barack
Discussion: zomblog
Jay Nordlinger / The Corner:
A Reason to Elect McCain
Discussion: Power Line
Jill Zuckman / The Swamp:
John McCain's lucky charms
 Earlier Items: 
John / Power Line:
CHAVEZ'S NEW FRIEND  —  Hugo Chavez, Communist dictator of Venezuela …
Michael Cooper / The Caucus:
From McCain, Warm Words for Bush
Discussion: Think Progress, TIME.com and Eschaton
Keith Thomson / The Huffington Post:
The Most Accurate Election Forecast? Hardcore Gamblers
Discussion: The Buzz
The Huffington Post:
McCain Did Not Disclose Keating Business Deal To Investigators
Discussion: The New Republic and Campaign Silo
CNN:
Townsfolk stuff Palin effigy with explosives
Discussion: Right Wing News