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1:45 AM ET, November 2, 2009

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Watertown Daily Times:
SCOZZAFAVA THROWS SUPPORT TO OWENS  —  Scozzafava released the following statement at 2 :06 p.m.:  —  I want to thank you for your support and friendship.  Over the past 24 hours, I have had encouraging words sent to my family and me.  Many of you have asked me whom you should support on Tuesday.
RELATED:
Michelle Malkin:
How Scozzafava repays NRCC and RNC  —  Hey, how did that six-figure RNC donation to the NRCC plus $85,000 to the New York GOP plus nearly half-million-dollar investment in advertising and other independent expenditures on behalf of radical leftis Dede Scozzafava work out?
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Hoffman leads big  —  Doug Hoffman has a commanding lead in the special election for New York's 23rd Congressional District.  —  In a three way contest with Democrat Bill Owens and Republican Dede Scozzafava Hoffman leads with 51% to 34% for Owens and 13% for Scozzafava.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Three Big Questions in NY-23  —  Let me declaim that the utterly fascinating special election in NY-23 has become nearly impossible to forecast.  Special elections, with their low turnout, are intrinsically pretty difficult to predict.  So are multi-candidate races.
Tony Romm / The Hill:
GOP nominee endorses Democrat after stepping aside under pressure from right  —  The Republican in a New York House race that has become a symbol of the divisions within the GOP endorsed her former Democratic rival Sunday, a sharp snub to the third-party conservative who forced her out of the race.
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
More NY-23 mess  —  Man NY-23 is really a mess.  —  Here are some interesting facts from our unweighted numbers so far:  —In a three way contest Doug Hoffman leads Bill Owens by 19 points.  In a two way contest Hoffman leads Owens by 15 points.  So the Dede Scozzafava withdrawal …
Discussion: Hot Air and National Review Online
Chris Cillizza / The Fix:
NY-23: Scozzafava Endorses Owens  —  State Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava (R), who dropped from the special election in Upstate New York yesterday, has now thrown her support to Democrat Bill Owens.  —  “It's not in the cards for me to be your representative, but I strongly believe Bill …
Watertown Daily Times:
A changed race  —  Owens is best-equipped to represent NNY
Elizabeth Benjamin / The Daily Politics:
Scozzafava Comes Out For Owens
Discussion: Hot Air and Riehl World View
Josh Kraushaar / Scorecard's Blog:   Scozzafava endorses Owens
Joe Gandelman / The Moderate Voice:
White House: NY 23 Shows GOP Becoming More Extreme
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Christie leads  —  Chris Christie leads Jon Corzine 47-41 in PPP's final poll of the New Jersey Governor's race, with Chris Daggett at 11%.  —  Corzine had pulled to within a point of Christie on our poll three weeks ago after trailing by as many as 14 points over the summer …
RELATED:
Joel Siegel / ABCNEWS:
Obama Rallies for N.J. Gov.: Is President's Image at Stake?
Discussion: The Greenroom and The Politico
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
White Men Are Not Very Progressive  —  A nice map from dreaminonempty at Open Left illustrates the vote share won among white men in the 2008 presidential election: … I would say that another message is that progressive politics is badly disadvantaged by a situation in which the overwhelming majorities …
RELATED:
Dreaminonempty / Open Left:
2008 Electorate: Alternate History
Discussion: Alas, a blog
Daniel Libit / The Politico:
The pro-Fox Democrats  —  Democratic pundit Bob Beckel has been under contract with Fox News for six years.  And in the midst of the White House war against the cable network, some of his liberal friends think that's six years too many.  —  They invited him to lunch the other day for an intervention …
Discussion: RADAMISTO
William Voegeli / Los Angeles Times:
The Golden State isn't worth it  —  Our high-benefit/high-tax model no longer works, especially compared with low-tax states like Texas.  —  In America's federal system, some states, such as California, offer residents a “package deal” that bundles numerous and ambitious public benefits with the high taxes needed to pay for them.
Discussion: Power Line and Maggie's Farm
Jonah Goldberg / The Corner on National Review Online:
The Real Story — By: Jonah Goldberg  —  I'm writing about this for my USA Today column, but the Frank Rich hissy fit is a perfect example of the real story of the election.  The story is not that the GOP is self-destructing, it is that the conventional wisdom is being shown to be ludicrous.
Discussion: Betsy's Page, Hot Air and Daily Pundit
Nouriel Roubini / Financial Times:
Mother of all carry trades faces an inevitable bust  —  Since March there has been a massive rally in all sorts of risky assets - equities, oil, energy and commodity prices - a narrowing of high-yield and high-grade credit spreads, and an even bigger rally in emerging market asset classes (their stocks, bonds and currencies).
Richard Johnson / New York Post:
Dissing Rudy  —  Rudy Giulianiwas bumped out of his fa vorite Yankee Sta dium seats on the first night of the World Series by  —  Michelle Obama.  The former mayor — who complained during the ALCS when he and wife  —  Judithdidn't get the primo seats to the right of the Yankee dugout …
Discussion: TMZ.com and Weasel Zippers
 
 
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 More Items: 
Bill Carter / New York Times:
DVR, Once a Mortal Foe, Is a Friend After All
Discussion: TVbytheNumbers and MoJo Blog Posts
New York Times:
Can Citigroup Carry Its Own Weight?
Isabel Vincent / New York Post:
Sir Charlie  —  Are they high?  Jamaica dubs Rangel knight
msnbc.com:
‘Meet the Press’ transcript for Nov. 1, 2009
DealBook:
CIT Group Files for Bankruptcy
Discussion: DailyFinance and Calculated Risk
Jonah Goldberg / The Corner on National Review Online:
The Wire: Left and Right — By: Jonah Goldberg
Discussion: Daily Pundit and QandO
 Earlier Items: 
St. Petersburg Times:
Gov. Charlie Crist's popularity slides
Los Angeles Times:
Marijuana growers upend hard-luck California town
Discussion: Unqualified Offerings
Joe Gandelman / The Moderate Voice:
Italian Police Release Mafia Hit Video: Double Deja Vu?
Discussion: Hot Air
Jeff E. Schapiro / Richmond Times-Dispatch:
McDonnell extends advantage in Times-Dispatch poll
Laura Saunders / Wall Street Journal:
State Death Taxes Are the Latest Worry
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
 

 
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