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7:25 PM ET, January 18, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
David Catanese / The Politico:
New poll: Brown up 9  —  A new InsiderAdvantage poll conducted exclusively for POLITICO shows Republican Scott Brown surging to a 9-point advantage over Martha Coakley a day before Massachusetts voters trek to the ballot box to choose a new senator.  —  According to the survey conducted Sunday evening …
RELATED:
MyFox Boston:
Poll: Scott Brown surges to double-digit lead over Martha Coakley  —  BOSTON (FOX25, myfoxboston) - A poll released a day before the special Senate race shows Senator Scott Brown surging to a double-digit lead over Attorney General Martha Coakley in the race for the open Massachusetts Senate seat.
Charles Franklin / Pollster.com All Content:
What to believe about Massachusetts Senate Polls  —  There has been a wider than normal range of polling results in the last two weeks from the Massachusetts Senate special election.  This has been further clouded by a number of leaked internal polls and polling by relatively unknown and unproven pollsters …
Boston Globe:
Sen. Kerry says Scott Brown supporters engaged in bullying, threats  —  Brown greeting supporters on Main Street in North Andover.  Kerry says some supporters have gone too far.  —  By Martin Finucane, Globe Staff  —  Massachusetts Senator John F.Kerry is calling on Republican Scott Brown …
The Rothenberg / The Rothenberg Political Report:
MA Sen Moved to Lean Takeover  —  While special elections often come down to turnout - and they therefore are more difficult to predict than normal elections - the combination of public and private survey research and anecdotal information now strongly suggests that Republican Scott Brown …
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
538 Model Posits Brown as 3:1 Favorite  —  The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasting Model, which correctly predicted the outcome of all 35 Senate races in 2008, now regards Republican Scott Brown as a 74 percent favorite to win the Senate seat in Massachusetts on the basis of new polling from ARG …
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
Is There An X Factor?  —  It seems pretty clear now that the plan if Martha Coakley loses tomorrow is to get the House to pass the Senate bill with a promise of revisions in a separate bill, to be passed in the Senate through the reconciliation process.  But here's the frightening question …
Jim Hoft / Gateway Pundit:
AWESOME... Scott Brown Responds to Elitist Obama's Attack on Truck Owners  —  Republican Scott Brown has been running ads in Massachusetts where he is out driving around in his old pickup truck while campaigning for US Senator.  Brown released this ad on January 3.
Grant Bosse / Watchdog News:
Snow Day In Boston: Phone Banks Empty.  —  (BOSTON, MA) On the eve of one of the most anticipated state elections in modern American history, it's still a day off for Massachusetts state employees.  The Secretary of the Commonwealth's Office in downtown B oston is closed to the public for Martin Luther King Day.
Joseph Curl / Washington Times:
Irish bookie pays off Brown bets early
CNN:
GOP candidate dominates social networking in Massachusetts
Steve Kornacki:
Coakley internals: +1, with a catch
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Massachusetts Senate Poll
John Garvey / Boston Herald:
Disdains Scott Brown's conscience
RELATED:
ABCNEWS:
Read the Secret ‘Jesus’ Messages on U.S. Military Weapons  —  Gun sights used in Iraq and Afghanistan have coded Bible references.  —  PHOTOS: Christian Scopes  —  In August of 2005 Trijicon was awarded a $660 million dollar, multi-year contract to provide up to 800,000 …
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Should Dems Give the Money Back If They Don't Keep Their Public Option Pledge?  —  Last year, $430,000 was raised on Act Blue for 65 members of the House who said they would not vote for a health care bill without a public option.  —  There are many ways that health care reform can move forward …
RELATED:
Steve Benen / Washington Monthly:
THE BACKUP PLAN.... No one can say with confidence what voters …
Scott Horton / Harper's:
The Guantánamo “Suicides”: A Camp Delta sergeant blows the whistle  —  1. “Asymmetrical Warfare”  —  When President Barack Obama took office last year, he promised to “restore the standards of due process and the core constitutional values that have made this country great.”
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
A Looming Landslide For Brown  —  Democrats can stop hoping at this point.  —  I can see no alternative scenario but a huge - staggeringly huge - victory for the FNC/RNC machine tomorrow.  They crafted a strategy of total oppositionism to anything Obama proposed a year ago.
Discussion: The New Republic
Robert Kuttner / The Huffington Post:
A Wake Up Call  —  How could the health care issue have turned from a reform that was going to make Barack Obama ten feet tall into a poison pill for Democratic senators?  Whether or not Martha Coakley squeaks through in Massachusetts on Tuesday, the health bill has already done incalculable political damage and will likely do more.
Walter Alarkon / The Hill:
Obama to give State of the Union speech on Wednesday, Jan. 27  —  President Barack Obama will give the State of the Union address on Wednesday, Jan. 27, the White House said Monday.  —  The Obama administration will release its budget proposal for 2011 on Monday, Feb. 1.
Discussion: The Swamp
RELATED:
Jeff Zelenyand Jackie Calmes / The Caucus:
Obama to Deliver State of the Union Address Jan. 27
Discussion: Online NewsHour
E.J. Dionne Jr / Washington Post:
Mass. Senate race's lesson for Obama  —  In June 2008, a few months before the financial implosions began, I asked two smart financiers who happened to be Republican about the future of the seemingly shaky American economy.  —  Defying the moment's conventional predictions …
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
What Didn't Happen  —  Lately many people have been second-guessing the Obama administration's political strategy.  The conventional wisdom seems to be that President Obama tried to do too much — in particular, that he should have put health care on one side and focused on the economy.  —  I disagree.
Chicago Tribune:
Facebook group 'I'm With Coco' plans rally outside NBC Tower in support of Conan O'Brien  —  Turmoil with O'Brien, Jay Leno and NBC spur protests nationwide  —  To Mike Mitchell, Conan “Coco” O'Brien is an orange-haired, smart-alecky everyman.  —  Now, courtesy of Mitchell's social networking …
 
 
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 More Items: 
David Saltonstall / NY Daily News:
Harold Ford, mulling an NY Senate run, says Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is ‘weak’
CNN:
Brown expects to head to DC quickly if he wins
Edward Wong / New York Times:
Foreign Journalists in Beijing Hit by E-Mail Hackers
Discussion: CNET News and Gawker
Dexter Filkins / New York Times:
Militants Launch Bold Attack in Kabul
Brian Faughnan / The Daily Caller:
Carville Poll: Only 1/3 of voters support Barack Obama's national health-care plan
Discussion: Hot Air and RedState
 Earlier Items: 
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blog:
Closing with Obama in Mass.
Rachel E. Stassen-Berger / Minneapolis Star Tribune:
Coleman says he's not going to run for governor
Alexander Burns / The Politico:
VP: Constitution ‘on its head’
Discussion: BuzzFlash.org