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5:40 AM ET, January 19, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
538 Model Posits Brown as 3:1 Favorite  —  The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasting Model, which correctly predicted the outcome of all 35 Senate races in 2008, now regards Republican Scott Brown as a 74 percent favorite to win the Senate seat in Massachusetts on the basis of new polling from ARG …
RELATED:
Johnny Dollar / Olbermann Watch:
Joe Scarborough Slams ‘Reckless’ Olbermann for Unhinged Personal Attacks on Scott Brown!  —  Here is what the infamous, deplorable Keith Olbermann spewed tonight (via The Right Scoop):  —  Moments later, in a rare example of criticism from his own colleagues, his diatribe was blasted by MSNBC's Joe Scarborough:
David Catanese / The Politico:
New poll: Brown up 9  —  A new InsiderAdvantage poll conducted exclusively for POLITICO shows Republican Scott Brown surging to a 9-point advantage over Martha Coakley a day before Massachusetts voters trek to the ballot box to choose a new senator.  —  According to the survey conducted Sunday evening …
Boston Globe:
Sen. Kerry says Scott Brown supporters engaged in bullying, threats  —  Brown greeting supporters on Main Street in North Andover.  Kerry says some supporters have gone too far.  —  By Martin Finucane, Globe Staff  —  Massachusetts Senator John F.Kerry is calling on Republican Scott Brown …
Steve Kornacki:
Coakley internals: +1, with a catch  —  There is a report that Martha Coakley's internals for Sunday night put her ahead by two points, 48 to 46 percent.  For what it's worth, my little birdie tells me that her Sunday night poll put her ahead by one point and that the three-night average for Friday …
MyFox Boston:
Poll: Scott Brown surges to double-digit lead over Martha Coakley
Michael Graham / Boston Herald:
Nothing Madisonian in this Martha
Discussion: JammieWearingFool
Jim Hoft / Gateway Pundit:
Unreal... Martha Coakley Holds Rally at MLK Breakfast With Scott …
Joseph Curl / Washington Times:
Irish bookie pays off Brown bets early
Mike Allen / The Politico:
Obama plans combative turn  —  President Barack Obama plans a combative response if, as White House aides fear, Democrats lose Tuesday's special Senate election in Massachusetts, close advisers say.  —  “This is not a moment that causes the president or anybody who works for him to express any doubt …
RELATED:
New York Times:
Democrats May Seek to Push Health Bill Through House  —  WASHINGTON — The White House and Democratic Congressional leaders, scrambling for a backup plan to rescue their health care legislation if Republicans win the special election in Massachusetts on Tuesday, have begun laying the groundwork …
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
Good news: Obama to take “combative” approach to Brown victory  —  A follow-up to last week's video clip of The One promising to make the midterms a referendum on ObamaCare, which is working like gangbusters right now for Marcia or Marla or whatever her name is.
The Note:
Pelosi: We Will Have Health Care - One Way Or Another  —  ABC News' Jonathan Karl reports: Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi says Democrats will charge ahead with health care reform regardless of what happens in the Massachusetts Senate race.  —  “Let's remove all doubt, we will have health care …
Katharine Q. Seelye / New York Times:
For Last Shot, the Biggest of Guns  —  CREATOR GMMB, the advertising firm for Barack Obama's presidential campaign.  —  ON THE SCREEN This 30-second commercial uses footage of President Obama giving a rousing endorsement of Martha Coakley at a rally Sunday at Northeastern University in Boston.
Walter Alarkon / The Hill:
Obama to give State of the Union speech on Wednesday, Jan. 27
Discussion: The Swamp
ABCNEWS:
U.S. Military Weapons Inscribed With Secret ‘Jesus’ Bible Codes  —  Pentagon Supplier for Rifle Sights Says It Has ‘Always’ Added New Testament References  —  Coded references to New Testament Bible passages about Jesus Christ are inscribed on high-powered rifle sights provided …
RELATED:
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
A Looming Landslide For Brown  —  Democrats can stop hoping at this point.  —  I can see no alternative scenario but a huge - staggeringly huge - victory for the FNC/RNC machine tomorrow.  They crafted a strategy of total oppositionism to anything Obama proposed a year ago.
CBS News:
Poll: Most Don't Want Sarah Palin to Run for President  —  Posted by Kevin Hechtkopf A new CBS News poll finds that a large majority of Americans say they do not want former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin to run for president.  —  Specifically, 71 percent say they do not want the former …
Kevin Drum / Mother Jones:
Obama's Discontents  —  Bernard Avishai on the election in Massachusetts: … The frustration on the left with Obama — and with healthcare reform specifically — was almost inevitable.  During the campaign, a lot of people chose to see in him what they wanted to see …
Washington Post:
FBI broke law for years in phone record searches  —  The FBI illegally collected more than 2,000 U.S. telephone call records between 2002 and 2006 by invoking terrorism emergencies that did not exist or simply persuading phone companies to provide records, according to internal bureau memos and interviews.
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
From Depression To Rage  —  We have heard a lot from those furious that Obama has not solved all our problems overnight, how they feel that this country has somehow been taken away from them, how they feel a disconnect from the president.  But maybe it's time for a different kind of rage …
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Should Dems Give the Money Back If They Don't Keep Their Public Option Pledge?  —  Last year, $430,000 was raised on Act Blue for 65 members of the House who said they would not vote for a health care bill without a public option.  —  There are many ways that health care reform can move forward …
Discussion: Mercury Rising
RELATED:
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
Is There An X Factor?  —  It seems pretty clear now that the plan …
Discussion: TPMDC
 
 
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 More Items: 
Aislinn Laing / Telegraph:
US accused of ‘occupying’ Haiti as troops flood in
Discussion: Instapundit and The Daily Beast
Michael Barbaro / New York Times:
At a King Day Celebration, a Preview of a Gillibrand-Ford Primary
New York Times:
Date for State of Union
Paul / Power Line:
Defense department shows, rather than says, why the Fort Hood massacre occurred
Discussion: BLACKFIVE and Mudville Gazette
Daily Mail:
DJ condemned for playing Van Halen's Jump as woman leaps from bridge
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
 Earlier Items: 
William A. Jacobson / Le·gal In·sur·rec· tion:
Brown Hometown Rally Tonight (Pics)
Chicago Tribune:
Facebook group 'I'm With Coco' plans rally outside NBC Tower …
Discussion: The Huffington Post
CNN:
Brown expects to head to DC quickly if he wins
Brian Faughnan / The Daily Caller:
Carville Poll: Only 1/3 of voters support Barack Obama's national health-care plan
Discussion: The Confluence, Hot Air and RedState
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Joe Flint / Wall Street Journal:
Sources: WBD and the NBA settle a lawsuit, giving WBD access to NBA content and rights in parts of N. Europe and LatAm; TNT will license Inside the NBA to ESPN

Bloomberg:
Netflix says 60M households watched the Paul vs. Tyson boxing bout live around the world, peaking at 65M concurrent streams

Anna Merlan / Mother Jones:
Attorneys for X entered an appearance during the November 14 court hearing about Infowars' auction and asked to be included on future case communications

 
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