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10:35 AM ET, November 2, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Wall Street Journal:
Pressure Builds on Obama to Shake Up Inner Circle  —  Some high-level Democrats are calling for President Barack Obama to remake his inner circle or even fire top advisers in response to what many party strategists expect to be a decisive defeat on Tuesday.  —  Tensions have come to the surface …
RELATED:
The Cook / NationalJournal.com:
The Cook Report Issues Final Forecast: GOP Gains 50 to 60 Seats in the House  —  In its final forecast for the election cycle, The Cook Political Report expects a gain for Republicans of 50 to 60 seats in the House, with six to eight seats in the Senate.  Below are the final outlooks and latest ratings changes.
David Brooks / New York Times:
The Second Marriage  —  The heavens rejoiced.  Two years ago as Democrats cruised to power, Washingtonians felt a jolt of electricity in the air.  News organizations published picture books celebrating the dawning of a new age.  I distinctly remember seeing angels and cherubs drunk at the bar …
Geoff Earle / New York Post:
Voters to show ‘Dem’ no mercy  —  Tweet  —  WASHINGTON — Angry voters head to the polls today and are set to throw out Democrats across the country — a wave of pink slips that Republicans say reflects the nation's deep dissatisfaction with President Obama's economic policies.
The Hill:
Predictions from lawmakers and the Obama administration on Election Day 2010
Discussion: ABCNEWS
The Politico:
Spin cycle: What will top Dems say?
Discussion: Pat Dollard
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
5 Reasons Democrats Could Beat the Polls and Hold the House  —  It was hard to pinpoint exactly when in the night things started to go wrong.  But at some point, a trash can was knocked over in John Boehner's office in the Rayburn House Office Building.  A half-hour later on the other side of town …
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
House Forecast: G.O.P. Plus 54-55 Seats; Significantly Larger or Smaller Gains Possible  —  Republicans are well-positioned to win control of the House of Representatives in tomorrow's elections, and quite possibly to achieve the largest gain made by either party in a Congressional election since World War II.
Colby Hall / Mediaite:
Keith Olbermann Suspends ‘Worst Persons’ Segment Until Further Notice  —  Longtime fans of Countdown may have been disappointed to learn tonight that one of the franchise segments, “Worst Persons,” is no longer - at least for the time being.  Why?  Well as host Keith Olbermann explains in the segment below …
Discussion: The Caucus, Tuned In and The Reaction
RELATED:
Bryan Bender / Boston Globe:
Results may shrink president's agenda  —  WASHINGTON — President Obama will reduce the scope of his legislative ambitions if Republicans seize control of the House today as is widely predicted, jettisoning proposals to control greenhouse gases and overhaul immigration laws in favor …
RELATED:
Paul Wiseman / Associated Press:
Post-election inaction in D.C. probably won't bode well for the economy  —  WASHINGTON — Political gridlock is supposed to be good for business.  If bickering lawmakers can't agree on anything, the thinking goes, they can't pass laws and regulations that make the economy worse.  —  More must-see stories
Discussion: JammieWearingFool and msnbc.com
Washington Post:
Companies may have to make amends after midterm elections  —  Republicans have a message for the businesses that worked closely with the Obama administration over the past two years on key controversial issues: We won't forget.  —  Take the case of Wal-Mart, the behemoth big-box retailer that liberals have long loved to hate.
Urban Cowgirl / texasobserver.org:
The Battle of Harris County  —  A firsthand look at early voting in Houston  —  Voting signs outside a polling station in Harris County.  —  On Friday, Oct. 29, the last day of early voting in Houston, the walkway into Moody Park's polling station in Houston looked like a gauntlet.
RELATED:
Janet Adamy / Wall Street Journal:
Health Benefits Appear On Rise  —  The number of small businesses offering health insurance to workers is projected to increase sharply this year, recent data show, a shift that researchers attribute to a tax credit in the health law.  Many small businesses, however, remain opposed to the law.
Michael O'Brien / The Hill:
Top Democrat says party faces ‘bloodbath’ on Election Day  —  Democrats could be facing a political “bloodbath” tomorrow if the polling is accurate, the third-ranking House Democrat said Monday.  —  House Majority Whip James Clyburn (D-S.C.) said Democrats must show up in full force on Nov. 2 …
Discussion: ABCNEWS and The Politico
RELATED:
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
Jim Geraghty and Jay Cost: How does a 70+ seat pick-up tomorrow sound?
Dorothy Rabinowitz / Wall Street Journal:
Why Obama Is No Roosevelt  —  Roosevelt: ‘Your government has unmistakable confidence in your ability to hear the worst without flinching and losing heart.’ Obama: We don't 'always think clearly when we're scared.'  —  Whatever the outcome of today's election, this much is clear …
Sara Kugler Frazier / Associated Press:
NYC mayor says independent president a good idea  —  NEW YORK — Mayor Michael Bloomberg, an independent who has considered running for president, declared Monday that an independent has a better chance at succeeding in the White House than a Republican or a Democrat.
Kevin Drum / Mother Jones:
Liberal Overreach  —  The expected Republican victory tomorrow, according to Jeb Bush, isn't so much an endorsement of the Republican Party as it is a “repudiation of the massive overreach” engineered by Barack Obama over the past two years.  Is he right?  —  There's something to this …
Aharding / CNN:
Morgan Freeman in middle of campaign ad controversy  —  (CNN) - North Carolina Republican congressional candidate B.J. Lawson's campaign said it was “tricked” by a production company after it was revealed that actor Morgan Freeman was not the narrator in Lawson's latest ad, as the campaign had previously claimed.
Discussion: Washington Post
RELATED:
PR Newswire:
Lawson for Congress Confirms Morgan Freeman Narration in Latest TV and Radio Ad
J.P. Freire / Beltway Confidential:
Crazed Democrats in Virginia attack opponents, throw signs  —  If you thought negative campaign ads were a problem in this election, perhaps you haven't spent enough time in Virginia's 5th district.  This video depicts two men unleashing a string of racial epithets at members of Americans for Prosperity, who took the video.
Discussion: Michelle Malkin and Instapundit
Ray Rahman / Mediaite:
Bill Maher Stands By Mohammed Remarks: 'I Don't Need To Apologize For Being A Proud Westerner'  —  Bill Maher showed up on CNN to talk about comments he made on Real Time regarding the ‘alarming’ number of ‘baby Mohammeds’ in England.  Maher told Wolf Blitzer that he felt no need to …
Mike Allen / The Politico:
Barack Obama preempts John Boehner's salvo  —  Hours before a scheduled scolding by House Republican Leader John Boehner in Ohio, President Barack Obama said Monday that he should have used the word ‘opponents’ instead of 'enemies'" in a Univision radio interview.
WNDU-TV:
Memorial Hospital cites Obama Health Care Reform on hospital layoffs  —  South Bend, Ind. … With St. Joseph County's unemployment rate still sitting above ten percent, things could be getting worse thanks to cuts at Memorial Hospital.  Those cuts began back in June and hospital leaders say there's no end in sight.
Discussion: Beltway Confidential
Curtis Sittenfeld / Slate:
Am I the last person in America who still adores President Obama?  —  Just before Halloween 2008, while out for a walk, I noticed that on the front porch of a nearby house sat a row of five pumpkins, each carved with one letter of Barack Obama's last name.  The election was, at that point …
Jonathan Strong / The Daily Caller:
Palin pounds ‘puppy-kicking’ Politico for heavy use of anonymous sources  —  On Monday, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin mocked her media detractors - Politico, specifically — as “puppy-kicking, chain-smoking porn producers” for their heavy use of anonymous sources in a quote as memorable as Spiro Agnew's …
Larry O'Connor / Breitbart.tv:
MSNBC's Matthews: ‘Elitist’ Obama Not Like ‘Patriotic’ and ‘Inclusive’ Candidate  —  The knives are already coming out and it's not even election day.  MSNBC hosts will be spending a lot of time tomorrow explaining what happened to their dream-doll of a President.  Chris Matthews had a head-start today.
Discussion: Mediaite and Newsalert
elections.gmu.edu:
2010 Turnout Rate and Early Voting Rate Forecasts  —  I have constructed pre-election turnout rate and early voting rate forecasts based on the early voting to date in the 2010 election and early voting and turnout rates for comparable past elections.  The turnout rate is the number of votes divided by the voting-eligible population.
John Sides / The Monkey Cage:
Seat Losses Everywhere  —  The above graph is courtesy of John Coleman.  He writes via email:
Discussion: Yglesias and Ezra Klein
 
 
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 More Items: 
E.J. Dionne / PostPartisan:
Who will vote on Tuesday? It's more important than usual.
Michael O'Brien / The Hill:
Rep. Bachus: Obama might ‘force’ GOP to shut down government
David Ingram / The BLT:
Election Lawyers Get Ready for the Day After
Discussion: Above the Law and Law Blog
Matt Bai / New York Times:
Winners Tuesday May Benefit From Economic Cycle
Discussion: Prairie Weather
BREITBART.COM:
US faces first scrutiny by UN rights council
Daniel W. Drezner:
Lessons learned from the ‘low toner’ terrorist attack
Ramya / CitizenTube:
The 2010 election on YouTube: By the numbers
Discussion: The Atlantic Online
 Earlier Items: 
ABCNEWS:
U.S. Feared Parcel Bomb Plot Was Coming; Saw September ‘Dry Run’
Discussion: Gawker, The Daily Beast and Salon
Eric Shawn / Fox News:
Stopping Voter Fraud
Michael Luo / New York Times:
Democrats Outspend G.O.P. in TV Ads in House Races
Discussion: Hot Air
Star-Telegram / PoliTex:
Proceeds from Perry's book going to think tank (Updated)
Abel Harding / Florida Times Union:
Corrine Brown campaign offers free meals for early voters
Discussion: Election Law Center