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1:20 PM ET, December 19, 2011

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Paul leads in Iowa  —  Newt Gingrich's campaign is rapidly imploding, and Ron Paul has now taken the lead in Iowa.  He's at 23% to 20% for Mitt Romney, 14% for Gingrich, 10% each for Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, and Rick Perry, 4% for Jon Huntsman, and 2% for Gary Johnson.
RELATED:
Jeb Bush / Wall Street Journal:
Capitalism and the Right to Rise  —  In freedom lies the risk of failure.  But in statism lies the certainty of stagnation.  —  Congressman Paul Ryan recently coined a smart phrase to describe the core concept of economic freedom: “The right to rise.”  —  Think about it.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Paul Moves Into Lead in Iowa Forecast  —  Our Iowa forecasts, which are designed to be quite aggressive, have had a big reaction to the new Public Policy Polling survey published late Sunday evening.  The poll showed Newt Gingrich's support slipping badly in Iowa and Ron Paul moving into the lead.
Discussion: Indecision Forever and Daily Kos
Washington Examiner:
GOP will take off the gloves if Ron Paul wins Iowa  —  The Republican presidential primary has become a bit feisty, but it will get downright ugly if Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses.  —  The principled, antiwar, Constitution-obeying, Fed-hating, libertarian Republican congressman …
Gschwarzcnn / CNN:
CNN Poll: Gingrich lead gone, dead even with Romney  —  Washington (CNN) - Newt Gingrich's lead in the race for the GOP presidential nomination has evaporated, according to a new national survey.  —  A CNN/ORC International Poll released Monday indicates that 28% of Republicans and independents …
Discussion: GOP 12 and Outside the Beltway
Justin Sink / The Hill:
Gingrich wins Tea Party Patriots straw poll
Discussion: The Politico
Neil Stevens / Unlikely Voter:
Debunking PPP in Iowa
Discussion: Iowa Caucuses and RedState
Julie Hirschfeld Davis / Bloomberg:   Paul's Raw Milk Freedom Pitch Reflects Offbeat Campaign on Rise
Jason Horowitz / Washington Post:
Evangelicals divided on whom to support in GOP presidential race
Associated Press:
North Korean Leader Kim Jong Il, 69, Has Died  —  SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — Kim Jong Il, North Korea's mercurial and enigmatic leader, has died.  He was 69.  —  Kim's death was announced Monday by state television from the North Korean capital, Pyongyang.
RELATED:
New York Times:
Kim Jong-il, North Korean Dictator, Dies Suddenly
Mike Allen / The Politico:
Playbook: Granite State
Discussion: ABCNEWS, CNN, Campaign 2012 and Firedoglake
Jonathan Easley / The Hill:
NY lawmaker: GOP taking ‘principled’ stance on payroll tax bill  —  Rep. Nan Hayworth (R-N.Y.) responded to criticism that House Republicans were playing politics with the payroll tax cut, saying the GOP was “principled,” trying to “do what's right,” and suggesting that her party's stance …
Discussion: The Politico and CNN
RELATED:
Alicia M. Cohn / The Hill:
Dems, White House blame Tea Party, say GOP shifted on tax cut
Discussion: Weasel Zippers
Joseph Curl / Washington Times:
One president, please, with a side of Rice
Discussion: GOP 12 and LewRockwell.com Blog
Felicia Sonmez / Washington Post:
Payroll tax cut extension in doubt amid House Republican uproar
Discussion: Hot Air, msnbc.com and New York Times
Igor Volsky / ThinkProgress:
14-Year-Old Challenges Perry's Anti-Gay Views  —  A 14-year-old bisexual high school student challenged Rick Perry on his support for reinstating Don't Ask, Don't Tell during an event in Decorah, Iowa, asking the Texas governor why he is “so opposed to gays serving openly in the military …
RELATED:
ABCNEWS:   Rick Perry Confronted by Teenager Over Gays Serving Openly in Military
Michael Stone / Examiner:
California politician advocates assassination of Obama and family  —  Like this?  Subscribe to get instant updates.  —  Facebook faux pas: California libertarian and Tea Party darling Jules Manson is caught calling for the assassination of President Barack Obama and his children.
New York Times:
Retirement Deal Keeps Bain Money Flowing to Romney  —  Almost 13 years ago, Mitt Romney left Bain Capital, the successful private equity firm he had helped start, and moved to Utah to rescue the Salt Lake City Olympic Games and begin a second career in public life.
Robert J. Samuelson / Washington Post:
Bye-bye, Keynes?  —  “Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist.”  —  The eclipse of Keynesian economics proceeds.  When Keynes wrote “The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money” …
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
Will China Break?  —  Consider the following picture: Recent growth has relied on a huge construction boom fueled by surging real estate prices, and exhibiting all the classic signs of a bubble.  There was rapid growth in credit — with much of that growth taking place not through traditional banking …
Reuters:
Exclusive: Secret U.S., Taliban talks reach turning point  —  (Reuters) - After 10 months of secret dialogue with Afghanistan's Taliban insurgents, senior U.S. officials say the talks have reached a critical juncture and they will soon know whether a breakthrough is possible …
Derek Thompson / The Atlantic Online:
Texas Cities Won the Recession, and They're Winning the Recovery  —  Lone Star metros have dominated every phase of the Great Recession, but there's trouble on the horizon for some of Texas' strongest cities  —  Welcome to the third phase of the Great Recession.
CNN:
TRENDING: Bachmann pauses in Iowa tour to talk ‘myth’ of Kinsey Report  —  Clarion, Iowa (CNN) - Republican presidential contender Michele Bachmann continued her super-charged bus tour across Iowa Sunday, attending several more events to shake hands and sign autographs.
Brian Stelter / New York Times:
For Election Year, MTV Drops ‘Choose or Lose’ Slogan  —  After nearly 20 years of “Choose or Lose,” MTV is changing the name of its election season campaign.  —  The youth cable channel's coverage will be labeled “Power of 12,” a nod to both the election year and the notion that 18 …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Katha Pollitt / thenation.com/blogs/164:
Regarding Christopher  —  Christopher Hitchens, my colleague …
Discussion: Hullabaloo
Paul Singer / Roll Call:
Pelosi's Expert Was Also Business Partner
Discussion: Hot Air and National Review
Jamie Weinstein / The Daily Caller:
Tucker Carlson wins online auction for dinner with Bill Ayers
New York Times:
Don't Tax the Rich. Tax Inequality Itself.
Ta-Nehisi Coates / The Atlantic Online:
Hitchens And The War
Rasmussen Reports:
New High: 50% Worry Government Won't Do Enough To Counter Bad Economy
Richard Pérez-Peña / New York Times:
After Yearlong Competition, Mayor Is Said to Pick Cornell for Science School
Discussion: Gothamist and A Blog For All
 Earlier Items: 
Wall Street Journal:
Gingrich's Worthy Brain Pulse
Julian Pecquet / The Hill:
Year ahead: Health law under attack on all fronts
Discussion: ThinkProgress
John Bresnahanand Jake Sherman / The Politico:
Darrell Issa: Four lawmakers got VIP loans
Discussion: Hot Air and Mediaite
Reuters:
Callista Gingrich: A force behind the scenes for Newt
Chris Edwards / Townhall.com:
Unemployment Insurance is an Expensive Free Lunch
Discussion: American Spectator