Santorum Surge in Precinct Numbers Exceeds Poll Projections  —  UPDATE 8:55 p.m. CT: The latest with 31% of precincts:  —  Mitt Romney ...... 7,844 (23%)  —  Rick Santorum .... 7,726 (23%)  —  Ron Paul ............. 7,655 (23%)  —  Newt Gingrich ..... 4,440 (13%)  —  Rick Perry ........... 3,433 (10%)

The Greatness of Ron Paul  —  By introducing moral imagination to the foreign-policy conversation, the Republican candidate is doing the nation an important service.  —  A dispute has broken out among fans of Ron Paul's non-interventionist foreign policy about whether he's a strategic liability.

The Messenger  —  They too needed emancipation.  —Ulysses S. Grant  —  As I often do on this blog, I'd like journey back to the Crack era—the late 80's and early 90's —when the general sense was that the black youth of America had lost their minds.  All across our cities, young black men were bleeding in the streets.

“We have nearly reached the Rubicon when the ‘not Romney’ crowd is pining for Jon Huntsman”  —  So says Erick Erickson.  Is he right? … Can he atone for that flipping of the bird before next Tuesday?  Ninety-five percent of you will say “NO” in the comments, but let's …

Romney Wins Iowa Caucus by 8 Votes  —  “Onto New Hampshire, let's get that job done!”  Mitt Romney told supporters before being declared the winner.  More Photos »  —  DES MOINES — Mitt Romney's quest to swiftly lock down the Republican presidential nomination with a commanding finish …

Why I'd Bet on Santorum (and Against My Model)  —  The official version of FiveThirtyEight's polling-based forecasts project Rick Santorum to receive about 19 percent of the vote in the Iowa caucuses on Tuesday night.  It translates this to an 18 percent chance of Mr. Santorum's overcoming …