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10:25 PM ET, October 29, 2012

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Dylan Byers / Politico:
Nate Silver: One-term celebrity?  —  Nate Silver could be a one-term celebrity.  —  The New York Times's resident political predictor says President Barack Obama currently has a 74.6 percent chance of winning reelection.  It's a prediction that liberals, whose heart rates continue to fluctuate …
RELATED:
The Atlantic Wire:
People Who Can't Do Math Are So Mad At Nate Silver  —  The New York Times' Nate Silver has created a model to predict the outcome of the presidential election that's watched by just about every pundit, and yet Silver's model refuses to perfectly reflect the conventional wisdom spouted by just about every pundit.
Samuel Popkin / American Prospect:   Nate Silver, Artist of Uncertainty
Eric Morath / Real Time Economics:
Labor Department ‘Working Hard’ to Ensure Jobs Report Released on Time  —  UPDATE: The U.S. Labor Department on Monday said it is “working hard to ensure the timely release” of the October jobs report, saying it intends to released the report on schedule Friday despite Hurricane Sandy.
RELATED:
Rebecca Leber / ThinkProgress:
GOP Senator Alleges Obama May Delay Friday's Jobs Numbers To Boost Re-election Prospects  —  When last month's jobs report showed a dramatic drop in unemployment, some conservatives invented a new conspiracy that the Labor Department numbers were politically motivated.
Discussion: The Raw Story
John Nolte / BREITBART.COM:
OUTRAGEOUS: LABOR DEPARTMENT MAY DELAY JOBS REPORT
Grace Wyler / Business Insider:
Mitt Romney Has Been Telling A Huge Whopper About The Auto Industry, And His Campaign Is Finally Paying For It  —  Mitt Romney is facing intense pushback today over a new Ohio campaign ad that appears to suggest — falsely — that Chrysler is moving U.S. jobs to China.
RELATED:
Brian Beutler / Talking Points Memo:
Misleading Romney Auto Ad Backfires With Media  —  Mitt Romney's final attempt to swing Ohio polls in his direction is a bit too much for a number of political reporters, and is now facing an aggressive response from the Obama campaign.  —  In news articles, tweets, and other media …
Keith Laing / Ballot Box:
New Obama ad fires back at Romney over Jeep claims
Discussion: Politico and The Raw Story
John Aravosis / AMERICAblog:
GOP strategist: Romney is right, close FEMA, nobody cares about it  —  As Hurricane Sandy bears down on the east coast, GOP strategist Ron Bonjean just said on CNN that Mitt Romney is right, FEMA should be closed. … As background, we'd reported last night that there's video of Romney during …
RELATED:
Andrew Restuccia / Politico:
Team Mitt: He wouldn't cut FEMA
Wonkblog:
FEMA loses nearly $900 million if sequester cuts hit
Lymari Morales / Gallup.Com:
Gallup Polling During Hurricane Sandy  —  This is a statement from Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport regarding Gallup polling and Gallup Daily tracking during Hurricane Sandy: … Look for future updates here.
RELATED:
Adam Frank / NPR:
Frankenstorm: Has Climate Change Created A Monster?  —  It was not a good year for people, weather and climate.  The winter was strangely warm in many places and the summer ridiculously hot.  As a large fraction of the country suffered through extreme or even extraordinary drought …
RELATED:
Rush Limbaugh:
Weather Gods Interfere in the Campaign — and the Left Prays the Storm Helps Obama
Discussion: Politico
Gregory J. Krieg / ABCNEWS:
Sandy Takes Toll on Presidential Campaigns
Discussion: Politico, ABCNEWS and Reuters
JohnMcTernan / John McTernan's Insights:
URGENT: Prayer Tonight  —  The Solemn Assembly  —  Joel 1:14 Sanctify ye a fast, call a solemn assembly, gather the elders and all the inhabitants of the land into the house of the LORD your God, and cry unto the LORD,  —  Commentary  —  The hurricane that is going to hit 21 years to the day from the Perfect Storm
RELATED:
Joe Morgan / Gay Star News:
Christian preacher blames gays for Hurricane Sandy
Discussion: Feministing
Jessica McWilliams / CBS Philly:
Sandy Makes Landfall At The Jersey Shore  —  PHILADELPHIA (CBS) — Sandy made landfall along the coast of South Jersey on Monday evening at about 6 p.m. with 90 MPH winds.  —  “This storm is HISTORIC,” said CBS 3 meteorologist Katie Fehlinger on her Twitter page.
RELATED:
Justin Sink / The Hill:
Romney campaign bus to deliver supplies to storm-relief centers
RELATED:
Zack Ford / ThinkProgress:
Video Surfaces Of Romney Defending Birth Certificate Discrimination Against Same-Sex Couples
Discussion: The Daily Beast
Rebel Pundit / BREITBART.COM:
EXODUS: INNER CITY BLACKS FLEEING OBAMA, DEMOCRATS  —  After his meteoric ascent to the top of the American political arena in the country's history, we are now in the midst of witnessing one of the most stunning collapses of any man ever to hold the office of President of the United States.
Noah Bierman / The Boston Globe:
Senate race in dead heat, new Globe poll shows  —  A new Boston Globe poll shows the race between Senator Scott Brown and Elizabeth Warren in a dead heat, with ample opportunity for both candidates to win the nation's most expensive Senate race eight days from now.
RELATED:
Alexandra Jaffe / Ballot Box:
Brown drops out of Mass. Senate debate, citing storm
Discussion: CNN, The Hill and The Hill
Pew Research Center for the People and the Press:
Presidential Race Dead Even; Romney Maintains Turnout Edge  —  Obama 47%-Romney 47%  —  OVERVIEW  —  As the presidential campaign enters its final week, Barack Obama has failed to regain much of the support he lost in the days following the first presidential debate and the race …
Steve Kornacki / Salon:
Voted least popular?  —  Obama could win in a split vote.  But to the GOP, any Democratic victory is illegitimate, whatever the details are  —  We all remember that George W. Bush became president 12 years ago despite receiving 543,816 fewer votes than Al Gore.
RELATED:
Politico:
4 possible freak election outcomes
Discussion: Addicting Info and CNN
Laura / Democracy Corps:
Cell phones: why we think Obama will win the popular vote, too  —  We will poll this week - awaiting the unfolding storm on the East Coast - but we want to share why we think the national tracking averages likely underrepresent Obama's vote.  The main issue is cell phones and the changing America that most are under-representing.
Discussion: Mother Jones and The Reaction
John Sides / The Monkey Cage:
The Track Record of Pre-Election Polls (in 2 Graphs)  —  How trustworthy are this year's presidential polls?  On Monday, November 5, will they be able to tell us who is likely to win the election?  We'll know soon enough, but in the meantime the historical record provides some important context.
Discussion: Wonkblog
Josh Israel / ThinkProgress:
Ann Romney: We Need To ‘Throw Out’ The Public Education System  —  Ann Romney told Good Housekeeping magazine that the campaign issue closest to her heart is taking on teachers unions and dismantling public education as we know it.  In an interview, she told the publication:
Discussion: Addicting Info and Balloon Juice
James S. Robbins / Washington Times:
TRR: Is a General losing his job over Benghazi?  —  See also the update that General Ham is retiring from the force.  —  (Updated 10/29) Is an American General losing his job for trying to save the Americans besieged in Benghazi?  This is the latest potential wrinkle in the growing scandal surrounding …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Matthew Boyle / The Daily Caller:
Report: Fast and Furious a product of DOJ ‘deliberate strategy’ laid out by Eric Holder, other senior Obama officials
Discussion: Weasel Zippers
Alexandra Jaffe / Ballot Box:
Sen. McCaskill's mother dies
Discussion: Associated Press, Politico and CNN
BuzzFeed:
Romney Endorses Candidate Who's Had His Own 47% Moment
Daniel Halper / Weekly Standard:
Clinton: Obama's Feelings Most Hurt Over Jeep Ad
Discussion: iOwnTheWorld.com and Hot Air
David Martosko / The Daily Caller:
Former SEIU organizer: I was ‘required’ to do ‘political work’
Chris Geidner / BuzzFeed:
Same-Sex Couples' Supreme Court Fate Set For Nov. 20
Discussion: Outside the Beltway
Skschust / CBS New York:
Top Of Crane Dangles From Luxury High Rise 75 Stories Above 57th Street
Discussion: Associated Press and Gothamist
 Earlier Items: 
Peter Schroeder / The Hill:
Obama floats plan for a ‘secretary of Business’ if he wins second term