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4:25 PM ET, October 31, 2012

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Ed Morrissey / Hot Air:
Final CBS/NYT/Q-polls in OH, FL, VA show Obama up ...  We're down to the final week of the election, where we'd normally expect to see pollsters fine-tuning their samples in order to get the most predictive survey results ahead of the election.  It's refreshing, therefore …
RELATED:
Roanoke College:
Roanoke College Poll:Late deciders push Romney to narrow lead over Obama in Va.; Allen overtakes Kaine in Va. Senate race  —  Governor Mitt Romney has overtaken President Barack Obama by a very narrow margin in Virginia (49% - 44%), according to a Roanoke College Poll conducted after the Presidential debates.
Nate Cohn / The New Republic:
Romney's Window In Ohio Is Closing  —  Since early August, Obama's modest but consistent lead in Ohio seemed to defy history, partisanship, and demographics.  The Buckeye State has voted more Republican than the country in all but a handful of presidential elections and Democratic chances hinge …
Discussion: Outside the Beltway
David Weigel / Slate:
Quinnipiac: Obama Leads in Ohio, Pennsylvania Is Obama's
Discussion: Hot Air, The PJ Tatler and GOP 12
Erik Eckholm / New York Times:
Ohio Working Class May Offer Key to Obama's Re-election
Discussion: Washington Wire
BuzzFeed:
The Making Of Romney's Storm Relief Event  —  A scramble to depoliticize a political campaign, and $5,000 in supplies from Wal-Mart.  “Just grab something.”  —  Image by Brian Snyder / Reuters  —  DAYTON, Ohio — The last-minute decision by Romney high command Monday to suspend politics …
Dick Morris / The Hill:
Opinion: Here comes the landslide  —  Voters have figured out that President Obama has no message, no agenda and not even much of an explanation for what he has done over the past four years.  His campaign is based entirely on persuading people that Mitt Romney is a uniquely bad man …
RELATED:
Ed Kilgore / Washington Monthly:
Through the Looking Glass  —  I know, I know: everybody knows Dick Morris is a lying, spin-mad hack, so why would I pay any attention to what he's saying?  Here's why: everybody does not know (or more likely, care) that Morris is full of it, which is why he has a column in a respectable publication …
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Obama leads 50-45 in Ohio
Jeff Poor / The Daily Caller:
Gingrich: Senator told me networks may have White House emails commanding counterterrorism group to stand down on Benghazi rescue  —  On Tuesday night's “On the Record with Greta Van Susteren” on the Fox News Channel, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich said that major news networks might …
RELATED:
David Ignatius / Washington Post:
Lingering questions about Benghazi
William Kristol / Weekly Standard:
Petraeus and Panetta Speak—But Not the President
Discussion: AEIdeas and Hot Air
Jeffrey Goldberg / The Atlantic Online:
Why Exactly Is Chris Christie Subverting Mitt Romney?  —  Chris Christie is love-bombing President Obama — the man he labeled clueless just last week — and Maureen Dowd is asking why: … Here are three theories about Christie:  —  1) The first, most benign theory: Christie, in my experience …
RELATED:
Maureen Dowd / New York Times:
The ‘I’ of the Storm  —  The dramatic homestretch ad for President Obama, running on every network and in all media markets, is a home run, devastating for Mitt Romney.  —  And, best of all, the president didn't have to pay for it, or even say, “I approve this message.”
Amie Parnes / The Hill:
Biden already thinking about 2016  —  Election Day isn't for another six days, but Vice President Biden is already thinking about 2016.  —  Appearing at an eatery in Florida on Wednesday, Biden was chatting by phone with a Republican voter when the vice president half-jokingly …
Discussion: CNN and Taegan Goddard's …
RELATED:
Zeke Miller / BuzzFeed:
Joe Biden: “Are You Indian?” Man: “American!”
Discussion: The PJ Tatler
Daniel Halper / Weekly Standard:
Biden: 'I'm Going to Give You the Whole Load Today'
Discussion: Michelle Malkin
Jennifer Bendery / The Huffington Post:
Joe Biden: Transgender Discrimination Is ‘The Civil Rights Issue Of Our Time’
Steve Friess / Politico:
Anti-Obama texts traced to conservative activist  —  The spate of unsolicited anti-Obama text messages that have hit hundreds of cellphones in recent days appears to be the work of conservative activist Jason Flanary and his Virginia-based communications firm, ccAdvertising.
Discussion: theGrio and The Hinterland Gazette
RELATED:
Brendan Sasso / The Hill:
GoDaddy suspends GOP ad firm's websites for anti-Obama texts
Steve Friess / Politico:
Anti-Obama text ads cause a stir
Discussion: Mediaite and msnbc.com
Sean Trende / Real Clear Politics:
What's Behind the State-National Poll Divergence?  —  The Hurricane Sandy-related lull in tracking polls gives us a good opportunity to look at one of the more interesting aspects of polling to develop this month: the divergence between national and state polls.
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Oct. 30: What State Polls Suggest About the National Popular Vote
RELATED:
Alicia M. Cohn / The Hill:
Bill Clinton: Sandy highlights Obama's ‘practical problem-solving’
Discussion: Politico and Weasel Zippers
Alexander Burns / Politico:
Messina gives up on Arizona  —  Obama strategists have suggested on and off this cycle — and earlier — that the president could make a play to compete in Arizona, a traditionally conservative-leaning state that has become more competitive thanks to a growing Latino population.
RELATED:
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
1 week, 2 versions of reality  —  As if Hurricane Sandy weren't doing enough to muddle the presidential race a week before the election, the two campaigns now seem to be embracing two sharply different versions of political reality.  —  The Mitt Romney narrative: The electoral map is expanding and we are on the march.
Discussion: CNN and ABCNEWS
Christopher Robbins / Gothamist:
Outrage In The Powerless Zone: A Dispatch From Downtown Manhattan  —  Mayor Bloomberg said last night that we've come to “the end of the downside” of Hurricane Sandy—hey, if you can spare $150 and a cab ride, you can join him at the very first Brooklyn Nets game tomorrow.
Mark Memmott / NPR:
Dear Little Girl: Sorry We Made You Cry About ‘Bronco Bamma’ And Mitt Romney … Oh my goodness, do we feel bad now:  —  “A 4-year-old Fort Collins girl expressed her frustration over the seemingly never-ending presidential campaign,” Denver's 9News reports.
Benjy Sarlin / Talking Points Memo:
Romney Camp: Pay No Attention To The Auto Companies Calling Us Liars  —  Two auto companies made a surprise foray into the presidential campaign on Tuesday, bluntly calling out Mitt Romney for his deceptive Ohio ads that suggest they plan to ship local jobs to China.
New York Times:
For Years, Warnings That It Could Happen Here  —  The warnings came, again and again.  —  For nearly a decade, scientists have told city and state officials that New York faces certain peril: rising sea levels, more frequent flooding and extreme weather patterns.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Phil Galewitz / capsules.kaiserhealthnews.org:
Romney Narrows Gap With Obama On Voters' Trust To Manage Medicare
Jonathan Chait / New York Magazine:
The Case Against Romney: At Heart, He's a Delusional One-Percenter
Zack Ford / ThinkProgress:
All Four Anti-Equality State Campaigns Run Misleading ‘Parents’ Rights' Ad
Discussion: Advocate and Daily Kos
Cameron Joseph / Ballot Box:
Pro-Obama group ties Romney to unpopular Florida governor
Discussion: CNN
Elise Foley / The Huffington Post:
Steve King: Hurricane Sandy Aid Must Have Strings Attached To Avoid Waste On ‘Gucci Bags’
Peter Schroeder / The Hill:
Labor Dept: October jobs report ready Friday despite hurricane
Discussion: CNN, Politico and The PJ Tatler
New York Times:
Once-Rare Response Is Now Routine and Overused
Discussion: Hot Air
 Earlier Items: 
Daniel W. Drezner:
Does the international affairs community need some Razzies?
Jeffrey M. Jones / Gallup:
U.S. Voter Turnout Will Likely Fall Short of 2004, 2008
Javier Manjarres / The Shark Tank:
Wasserman Schultz Involved in Police Altercation Outside Voting Precinct
Robert Winnett / Telegraph:
Death knell for wind farms: ‘Enough is Enough’ says minister
Discussion: Spectator and BBC
Benjamin K. Tippett / arXiv.org e-Print archive:
Possible Bubbles of Spacetime Curvature in the South Pacific
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Lachlan Cartwright / The Ankler:
Sources: MSNBC renewed Rachel Maddow's contract early this fall, but with a pay cut; MSNBC bosses' plan to shake up daytime and weekend programming

Caitlin Huston / The Hollywood Reporter:
Internal memo: Hearst Magazines president announces layoffs as part of a decision to “reallocate resources” to “continue our focus on digital innovation”

Jon Brodkin / Ars Technica:
FCC Chairwoman Jessica Rosenworcel announced she will leave the agency on January 20; she was the first woman to be confirmed to lead the agency

 
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