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1:05 AM ET, November 3, 2012

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Michael Barone / Washington Examiner:
Going out on a limb: Romney beats Obama, handily … Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections.  That's bad news for Barack Obama.  True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president.
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Molly Ball / The Atlantic Online:
Who's Really Winning Early Voting?  —  With both parties spinning early-vote totals, here's the bottom line: Republicans are significantly improving on 2008 in several big early-voting states.  —  Reuters  —  If you're following the presidential election closely, you know that Election …
Michael Cooper / New York Times:
Hurricane Sandy Threatens to Disrupt Voting on Election Day  —  Some New Jersey voters may find their hurricane-damaged polling sites replaced by military trucks, with — in the words of the state's lieutenant governor, Kim Guadagno — “a well-situated national guardsman and a big sign saying …
RELATED:
Ken Belson / New York Times:
New York City Marathon Will Not Be Held Sunday
Discussion: Outside the Beltway
New York Post:
This is no way to get us up & running
Byron Tau / Politico:   White House: NYC marathon a local issue (Updated)
New York Times:
Hardship Strains Emotions in New York
U.S. News:
New York Marathon canceled, Bloomberg says
Benjy Sarlin / Talking Points Memo:
Romney: Elect Me Or House GOP Will Wreck The Economy  —  In what his campaign billed as his “closing argument,” Mitt Romney warned Americans that a second term for President Obama would have apocalyptic consequences for the economy in part because his own party would force a debt ceiling disaster.
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Brian Beutler / Talking Points Memo:
Reid: ‘Laughable’ For Romney To Say Dems Will Help Him Pass His Agenda
Discussion: Mediaite and Shakesville
Paul Steinhauser / CNN:
CNN Poll: Obama 50% - Romney 47% in Ohio  —  (CNN) - With four days to go until the presidential election, a new poll indicates the race for arguably the most important battleground state remains very close.  —  According to a CNN/ORC International survey released Friday …
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Gabriella Schwarz / CNN:
TRENDING: Axelrod: Obama closing argument ‘from his loins’  —  Lima, Ohio (CNN) - David Axelrod described the message coming from President Barack Obama days before Election Day as “coming from his loins.”  —  “I've never seen him more exhilarated than he is right now.  He believes in what he's doing.
Justin Sink / Ballot Box:
Romney surrogates fan out across US  —  Mitt Romney used a star-studded rally Friday night in West Chester, Ohio, to launch his final push before Election Day.  The event featured nearly every one of the Republican presidential candidate's top surrogates in an attempt to rally support in the crucial battleground state.
Discussion: ABCNEWS
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Politico:
Romney holds all-star Ohio rally  —  WEST CHESTER, Ohio — Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan fired up the Republican base here Friday night with the biggest rally yet of their campaign as they headed into the final weekend before Election Day.  —  On a frigid fall night — you could see your breath in the air …
Discussion: CNN
Nigel Jaquiss / Willamette Week:
Department of Justice Investigating Alleged Ballot Fraud At Clackamas County Elections  —  A Clackamas County elections worker is under criminal investigation for tampering with ballots, WW has learned.  —  The underlying allegation is that the woman, whose name has not been released …
The Fix:
The Obama defectors  —  Barring some kind of last-minute surge, President Obama is going to fall well shy of the 52.9 percent he won in the 2008 election.  It might still be good enough to win, but it won't be resounding.  —  But just who exactly has deserted Obama over the last four years?
RELATED:
Emily Schultheis / Politico:
Mitt Romney's Pennsylvania gamble
Discussion: Morning Call, Hot Air and Taylor Marsh
CNN:
Clinton to head to PA in battleground state swing
Max Boot / Commentary Magazine:
Why Did We Abandon Benghazi Compound?  —  Yet more amazing revelations continue to emerge about the Benghazi attack.  —  Foreign Policy magazine has a story on its website by two Dubai-based Arabic TV reporters who visited the site of the former U.S. consulate on Oct. 26 …
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John Nolte / BREITBART.COM:
OBAMA: VOTING ‘BEST REVENGE’ AGAINST ROMNEY  —  As is often the case when he goes off-teleprompter, at a campaign stop in Ohio today, Obama revealed a side of himself we haven't seen since Hurricane Sandy gave him the opportunity to play The American President for a few days.
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John McCormack / Weekly Standard:   From “Hope and Change” to “Revenge”
Paul Krugman:
Karl Rove's Mission Accomplished  —  The estimable Rick Perlstein has a fascinating essay about the seamless continuum from direct-mail marketing scams to direct-mail right-wing fundraising, and from there to the whole character of modern movement conservatism.  Go read.
Marc Caputo / Naked Politics:
Miami Herald FL Poll: Romney 51%-Obama 45%  —  Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points.  —  Romney's strengths: independent voters and more crossover support …
John Hinderaker / Power Line:
Oceans of Red Ink  —  I feel a sort of kinship with Michael Ramirez: if I were a genius and could draw really, really, well, I would be just like him.  His latest will appear in newspapers tomorrow; it blends old themes (Obama's pretensions and the federal debt) with new ones :
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Nov. 1: The Simple Case for Saying Obama Is the Favorite  —  If you are following some of the same people that I do on Twitter, you may have noticed some pushback about our contention that Barack Obama is a favorite (and certainly not a lock) to be re-elected.
Aaron Blake / Washington Post:
House Republicans may actually add to their majority on Election Day  —  The Fix now projects that the 2012 race for the House is likely to be close to a draw, and there is even a fair chance that Republicans will add to their biggest majority in six decades on Tuesday.
Discussion: Power Line and The Greenroom
The Fix:
WaPo-ABC tracking poll: Most see U.S. on ‘wrong track’.  So can Obama win?  —  Most likely voters see the country as seriously offtrack; barely half say the president is doing a good job; and the challenger's supporters rival the incumbent's when it comes to being “fired up,” …
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 More Items: 
John Ingold / Denver Post:
Poll: Obama, Romney still essentially tied in Colorado
BuzzFeed:
Exclusive: Lady Gaga Cuts Video For Marriage Equality Vote
Discussion: Advocate
PR Newswire:
Kimball Political Consulting poll: Scott Brown 49, Elizabeth Warren 47
Reid J. Epstein / Politico:
Obama brings back tea party rhetoric
Discussion: Weasel Zippers
 Earlier Items: 
Noah Shachtman / Wired:
How Victoria's Secret Saved the National Guard During Hurricane Sandy
Discussion: Hit & Run and The Agonist
Daniel Halper / Weekly Standard:
Biden: 'There's Never Been A Day In The Last Four Years I've Been Proud To Be His Vice President'
Radley Balko / The Huffington Post:
Supreme Court Considers Two Drug Dog Cases
ProPublica:
Obama Has Granted Clemency More Rarely Than Any Modern President
Discussion: Business Insider and Hit & Run
Ellie Krupnick / The Huffington Post:
Obama's Leather Bomber Jacket Is One Pair Of Aviators Away From ‘Top Gun’ (PHOTOS)
Discussion: protein wisdom
Jay Cost / Weekly Standard:
Morning Jay: Why Romney Is Likely to Win