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11:00 AM ET, November 5, 2012

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
State and National Polls Come Into Better Alignment  —  It appears that President Obama is likely to go into Election Day with a very modest lead in the average of national polls.  —  As of this writing, on Sunday evening, Mr. Obama led by an average of 1.3 percentage points across 12 national polls …
RELATED:
CNN:
CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney  —  Washington (CNN) - It's all tied up, according to a new national poll released two days before the presidential election.  —  And the CNN/ORC International survey not only indicates a dead heat in the race for the White House …
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Nov. 4: Did Hurricane Sandy Blow Romney Off Course?  —  If President Obama wins re-election on Tuesday, the historical memory of the race might turn on the role played by Hurricane Sandy.  —  Already, some analysts are describing the storm as an “October surprise” that allowed Mr. Obama to regain …
Pew Research Center for the People and the Press:
Obama Gains Edge in Campaign's Final Days
Politico:
If Obama loses...  A defeat for Barack Obama on Tuesday would be no ordinary loss for Democrats.  —  It would be a traumatic experience: the death of the dream of liberal realignment embodied in Obama's insurgent 2008 campaign.  And it would be all the more distressing to Democrats …
RELATED:
Joel B. Pollak / BREITBART.COM:
ROMNEY GAINS 3 TO TIE OBAMA IN CNN'S D+11 POLL  —  The latest CNN national poll of likely voters, which shows a 49%-49% tie between Republican challenger Mitt Romney and incumbent President Barack Obama, is either absurd, or very good news for the GOP—or both.
Politico:
If Romney loses...  For Republicans, the only thing harder …
Associated Press:   Republican Mitt Romney sprinted through battleground states …
MiamiHerald.com:
A voting debacle in Doral causes chaos and confusion  —  Mayor Carlos Gimenez said part of the reason the county elections headquarters temporarily shut down Sunday with a crowd waiting outside to vote was because he had not authorized the additional hours.  —  PMAZZEI@MIAMIHERALD.COM
RELATED:
New York Times:
Obama and Romney Campaigns Begin Skirmish Over Balloting
Discussion: Washington Wire and The Caucus
Judd Legum / ThinkProgress:
South Florida County Extends Early Voting — But Only In One GOP Stronghold
Amanda Terkel / The Huffington Post:
Florida Early Voting Fiasco: Voters Wait For Hours At Polls As Rick Scott Refuses To Budge
Justin Sink / The Hill:
Toomey: 'I think Gov. Romney's going to carry Pennsylvania'  —  Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) predicted Monday that Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney would carry the state of Pennsylvania, pushing back against Obama campaign adviser David Plouffe's suggestion that GOP efforts in the state were a …
Discussion: Politico
RELATED:
Marc Levy / Associated Press:
Election blitz focuses on Philadelphia, suburbs  —  YARDLEY, Pa. - Philadelphia and its heavily populated suburbs were the big focus of candidates' attention on Sunday in Pennsylvania, just two days before voters pull the lever in a state that has emerged as a battleground for control of the White House and the U.S. Senate.
RELATED:
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
Sandy Versus Katrina  —  As Sandy barreled toward New Jersey, there were hopeful mutters on the right to the effect that it might become President Obama's Katrina, with voters blaming him for the damage, and that this might matter on Tuesday.  Sorry, guys: polls show overwhelming approval …
BREITBART.COM:
ROBERT THE BRUCE  —  Today marks the final installment of our weekly feature #WAR.  Combing through footage of Andrew over the past few months is something I have not taken lightly.  And now, on the eve of this historic election, I have been tasked with selecting one more video.
Discussion: Power Line and Fausta's Blog
Larry J. Sabato / Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Projection: Obama Will Likely Win Second Term  —  With a slight, unexpected lift provided by Hurricane Sandy, Mother Nature's October surprise, President Barack Obama appears poised to win his second term tomorrow.  Our final Electoral College projection has the president winning …
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
The Wisdom of Politico  —  From an article just out from Politico ...  As I've written many times before, the second rate product.  If this is a subject that interests you, I'd encourage you to read the piece I linked right there.  —  Or to be more specific, Obama's winning but not with the best votes.
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
This Could Get Weird  —  Listening to a story from a friend this evening.  Guy in a social setting talking to a group of Wall Street heavyweights.  Every single one in the room certain Romney wins.  Has Ohio locked.  Has the whole thing tied up.  No doubt.
Latino Decisions:
Final impreMedia-LD tracking poll: if Latino vote is high, Obama will carry 4 key swing states  —  High Latino voter turnout could deliver swing states of Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, and Florida to the Democrats  —  impreMedia & Latino Decisions today released the last in a series …
Slate:
Slate Votes  —  Obama wins our staff. … Laura Anderson, assistant editor: Barack Obama  —  Full disclosure: There is probably a 0-percent chance I will ever vote for a Republican presidential candidate in my life.  But Romney is particularly unappealing; I'm appalled by his apparent inability …
Discussion: Politico, Hit & Run and Poynter
Daniel Halper / Weekly Standard:
Video: Sandy Victims Beg For Help  —  Here's a video calling attention to how President Obama abandoned those who are recovering from Hurricane Sandy to go back on the campaign trail:  —  “We are hurting down here,” one woman says.  “And we need help.  Immediately.”
Mark Kirk / nbcchicago.com:
Exclusive: Kirk's First Post-Stroke Interview  —  U.S. Senator Mark Kirk hoped to send a message on Sunday when he tackled stairs and his first public appearance since suffering a stroke.  —  “I hope this gives a message to people across Illinois that may face stroke,” …
Discussion: Roll Call and Hotline On Call
Robert Creamer / The Huffington Post:
Why Should You Vote?  Visualize Romney World  —  My wife, Jan Schakowsky, and I are friends with a wonderful woman named Bea.  Bea is now 95 years old.  Bea was born in 1917.  —  She was born in a country where women couldn't vote.  In some areas of the country, just fifty years before, slavery had been legal.
Justin Sink / The Hill:
McCain: Veterans anger over Benghazi will cost Obama at the polls  —  Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) argued in a trio of early show interviews Monday that veterans would punish President Barack Obama at the polls for the administration's handling of the terrorist attack on the U.S. diplomatic mission …
Discussion: CNN
Reid J. Epstein / Politico:
Obama interrupted by heckler  —  CINCINNATI - President Obama was interrupted by a heckler during his appearance here, which prompted a two-minute break in his remarks.  —  The heckler, yelling something incomprehensible about abortion and holding a sign with three photos of fetuses, marked a rare interruption to Obama's stump speech.
Harry Siegel / The Daily Beast:
Heck Of a Job, Bloomberg  —  The mayor has brilliantly stage-managed his handling of the storm, but outside the city's affluent precincts numerous angry residents feel abandoned by his administration as days have passed and help has remained distant, writes Harry Siegel.  —  “Are you from OEM?
 
 
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 More Items: 
Sheldon G. Adelson / Wall Street Journal:
I Didn't Leave the Democrats. They Left Me
Jodi Rudoren / New York Times:
Israeli Report Cites a Thwarted 2010 Move on Iran
Discussion: WorldViews and The Atlantic Online
Matthew Purdy / New York Times:
As Scandal Flared, BBC's Leaders Missed Red Flags
Discussion: Telegraph and New York Magazine
Chris Strauss / USA Today:
Did Cam Newton and the Panthers predict a Romney win?
Discussion: JONATHAN TURLEY and Philly.com
Washington Post:
Video revives debate over Mitt Romney's Mormon faith
Antonio Antenucci / New York Post:
Marathon canceled, but generators and supplies still sit unused in park
Ilyse Hogue / CNN:
GOP's push to suppress vote threatens democracy
Alex Isenstadt / Politico:
Dems' drive to retake House falters
Discussion: Hot Air
 Earlier Items: 
Wall Street Journal:
Health-Care Law Spurs a Shift to Part-Time Workers
Matt Dixon / Florida Times Union:
Mitt Romney has 5-point lead in Florida, Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage poll says
Discussion: Ballot Box and Wake up America
Joe Battenfeld / Boston Herald:
UMass Lowell/Herald poll: Senate race deadlocked
Discussion: Weasel Zippers and Weekly Standard
John Hinderaker / Power Line:
Ryan Rocks Minnesota [Updated]
Discussion: The Gateway Pundit
Washington Examiner:
November surprise: EPA planning major post-election anti-coal regulation
John Aravosis / AMERICAblog:
Romney staff refusing to let frostbitten children leave PA rally
Discussion: Firedoglake
John Hinderaker / Power Line:
MSNBC: Joke Network, Cont'd