memeorandum: Warren beats Brown for Senate seat in Massachusetts (Ted Barrett/CNN)

11:10 PM ET, November 6, 2012

Top Items:

Liveblog: Presidential Election Night — After two years of stump speeches, gaffes, attack ads, and discretionary spending graphs, the presidential election is finally here. The Atlantic Wire will be liveblogging election night. Watch this space for news, plus photos and GIFs of President …

Discussion: Althouse, Lawyers, Guns & Money, The Impolitic and CBS Chicago

Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:

Live Blog: The 2012 Presidential Election — The probability that President Obama receives a given number of Electoral College votes. — Tipping Point States — The probability that a state provides the decisive electoral vote. — Return on Investment Index

Discussion: the-reaction.blogspot.ca, The Reality-Based Community and naked capitalism

ThinkProgress:

The ThinkProgress Election Night Live Blog … Early Indiana numbers — Early Indiana results are showing Richard Mourdock (R) running behind Romney. The Libertarian candiate is getting over 5% of the vote, potentially swinging the election to Rep. Joe Donnelly (D). — 6:33 pm

Discussion: Washington Monthly, The Daily Beast and Business Insider

Nate Cohn / The New Republic:
Electionate's Election Night Live Blog

Discussion: Washington Monthly and The Daily Dish

Zachary Roth / msnbc.com:

Machine turns vote for Obama into one for Romney — A Pennsylvania electronic voting machine was taken out of service after being captured on video changing a vote for President Obama into one for Mitt Romney, NBC News has confirmed. Republicans have also said machines have turned Romney votes into Obama ones.

Max Read / Gawker:
An Expert Weighs in on That Viral Reddit ‘Voter Fraud’ Video

Discussion: Mediaite, BuzzFeed, Towleroad News #gay, Election 2012, The Daily Dish and The Awl

Dana Liebelson / Mother Jones:
Romney-Loving Voting Machine “Recalibrated” and Back Online

Discussion: New York Times, Business Insider, The Daily Caller, Plunderbund, AMERICAblog, Addicting Info, Colorlines and Towleroad News #gay

Emily Schultheis / Politico:

Exit polls 2012: Voters blame George W. Bush — Early exit polls released on Tuesday evening show that about half of voters still blame President George W. Bush more than President Barack Obama for the country's economic problems and most cite the economy as their top issue in the election.

Joe Von Kanel / CNN:
Exit polls: Top issues for voters

Discussion: Reuters, Politico and Sky Dancing

Justin Sink / Ballot Box:
Exit poll show voters lean toward GOP compared to 2008

Discussion: Politico

Emily Friedman / ABCNEWS:

'That's When You Know You're Gonna Win' — PITTSBURGH - Mitt Romney's campaign always makes his arrivals in various cities known to the local media, and in turn the public, but never before has a crowd of this size shown up to greet him. Upon landing here in Pittsburgh …

Discussion: Weasel Zippers, No More Mister Nice Blog, The Gateway Pundit and ABCNEWS

CNN:

Romney: I've only written a victory speech — (CNN) - Hours before the polls closed Tuesday, GOP nominee Mitt Romney told reporters on his plane that he's so confident in a win he's only prepared a victory speech. — “I've only written one speech at this point,” Romney said, adding the text of that address was 1,118 words long.

Discussion: Ballot Box, Weasel Zippers and The Greenroom

Marc Tracy / The New Republic:

Nate Silver Is a One-Man Traffic Machine for the Times — “FiveThirtyEight is drawing huge traffic,” New York Times executive editor Jill Abramson told me yesterday. She added, “What's interesting is a lot of the traffic is coming just for Nate.” — There has been plenty of controversy …

Discussion: The Atlantic Online, AllThingsD, Outside the Beltway, Mediaite, Mashable!, The Reaction, Business Insider, Mother Jones and Guardian, more at Mediagazer »

Sam Adams / Third Base Politics:

Guess what, the ODP is blowing it in Cuyahoga County. Again. — You likely won't remember, but in 2010 this blog reported about the underwhelming turnout in Cuyahoga County and its effect on the Ohio governor's race. — Well, it's happening again. — Not too long ago …

Discussion: National Review

Craig Timberg / Election 2012:
More than half of registered voters in Cuyahoga County have voted

Discussion: The Columbus Dispatch, Washington Monthly, The Hinterland Gazette and The Reality-Based Community

Darrel Rowland / dispatchpolitics.dispatch.com:
True the Vote observers barred from Franklin County polling places

Discussion: The Other McCain, Addicting Info, News Desk, The Raw Story, The BRAD BLOG, Sky Dancing, Hullabaloo and Plunderbund

Noah Rothman / Mediaite:

NBC's Chuck Todd: Sources On Both Sides Expect Romney To Win Florida By Under 100k — NBC News' Chief White House Correspondent Chuck Todd examined the state of Florida as returns from the Sunshine State pour in. He said that experts on both sides have told him that they expect Mitt Romney to win the state, but by a slim margin.

Discussion: Power Line

Ted Barrett / CNN:

Warren beats Brown for Senate seat in Massachusetts — (CNN) - In a key pick-up of a Republican Senate seat, Massachusetts Democrat Elizabeth Warren defeated GOP Sen. Scott Brown Tuesday, according to a CNN projection. With 37 percent of the estimated vote counted, Warren led Brown 52 percent to 48 percent.

Discussion: Sky Dancing

Alexandra Jaffe / Ballot Box: Elizabeth Warren elected to Senate

Fox News:

Judge issuing order to reinstate booted Philadelphia election officials, Republicans say — A Pennsylvania judge is issuing an order to reinstate Republican election officials across Philadelphia who allegedly were ejected or refused entry by on-site Democratic voting chief judges, GOP officials tell Fox News.

Discussion: CBS Philly, PAGOP.org, Washington Examiner, Weasel Zippers, The PJ Tatler, Election 2012, The Jawa Report, The Heritage Foundation, Moonbattery, Wake up America, The Mahablog and Fox News Insider

John Hinderaker / Power Line:
Are the Democrats Trying to Steal Pennsylvania? [Updated]

Discussion: Twitchy, BREITBART.COM, msnbc.com, Taylor Marsh, Wonkette, TBogg, No More Mister Nice Blog, The Mental Recession, JOSHUAPUNDIT, SEIU.org and The Greenroom

Boca News Now:

Woman Wearing MIT Shirt Banned From Voting In Boca Raton — A woman wearing an MIT shirt in Boca Raton was initially denied entrance to a polling place. — BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) — A woman attempting to vote in West Boca Raton this morning was initially prohibited from entering …

Discussion: Weekly Standard and Business Insider

Michelle Malkin:

A reminder about Obama's Election Day Chicago basketball buddy — Alexi Giannoulias was thrilled to join President Obama in Chicago for an Election Day basketball game. He bragged on Twitter about teaming up with the player-in-chief and Chicago Bulls legend Scottie Pippen. — Who's Giannoulias?

Discussion: Politicker and The Gateway Pundit

Matt Higgins / CBS DC:
Obama: I Have A Concession Speech Ready

Discussion: The Gateway Pundit

Seung Min Kim / Politico:

Joe Donnelly upsets Richard Mourdock in Indiana — Democratic Rep. Joe Donnelly pulled off a stunning upset over Republican Richard Mourdock in the Indiana Senate race — a battle that the GOP thought was a sure win until the final days of the campaign. — With more than 60 percent …

Discussion: CNN

David Catanese / Politico:
Dems notch early Senate wins

Discussion: CNN

John Heilemann / New York Magazine:

After an Emotional Finale, Team Obama Fears a Split Decision — The final day of Barack Obama's career as a campaigner began around 10 a.m. Monday in Madison, Wisconsin, where Bruce Springsteen spoke for all of us when he remarked that it was hard to get fired up so early in the morning.

Discussion: The Moderate Voice and The Daily Beast

Kevin Robillard / Reuters:

Dan Rather's gut: ‘Good day’ for Mitt — Longtime television journalist Dan Rather said on Tuesday that reporters shouldn't predict elections based on their gut — but added that his tells him Mitt Romney will have a good day. — “Something in my gut tells me that it's going to be a good day for Romney …

Discussion: The Gateway Pundit, The PJ Tatler and Washington Monthly

detroitnews.com:

Southfield Twp. voter appears to die, then asks ‘Did I vote?’ — Southfield Township — Sometimes dead men really do get to vote. — Ty Houston, 48, a home care registered nurse, was toiling on his absentee ballot Monday afternoon when things got strange at township offices on 13 Mile.

Discussion: Business Insider, Gawker, The Raw Story, The Hill and The Mental Recession

Laurie Ure / CNN:

The Kennedys are back in Congress — (CNN) - After a two-year absence, the famed Kennedy family once again has an elected representative in national politics. — Joe Kennedy III will serve Massachusetts' 4th Congressional District, having handily defeated GOP opponent Sean Bielat, according to a CNN projection.

Discussion: Michelle Malkin and The Greenroom

Josh Rogin / Foreign Policy:

Foreign election officials amazed by trust-based U.S. voting system — For the head of Libya's national election commission, the method by which Americans vote is startling in that it depends so much on trust and the good faith of election officials and voters alike.

Discussion: Hit & Run, Weasel Zippers, The PJ Tatler and BuzzFeed

Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:

Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds — Mitt Romney has always had difficulty drawing a winning Electoral College hand. Even during his best period of polling, in the week or two after the first presidential debate in Denver, he never quite pulled ahead …

Discussion: The Huffington Post, Investor's Business Daily, The New Republic, New York Magazine, Hit & Run, Mediaite, The Raw Story, The Moderate Voice, Sky Dancing, Prairie Weather, Washington Monthly, Macleans.ca, The Fix, Little Green Footballs and PJ Media, more at Mediagazer »

Sasha Belenky / The Huffington Post:

Chris Christie Slams ‘Know-Nothing, Disgruntled’ Mitt Romney Staffers … REACT: — FOLLOW: — Elections 2012, Chris Christie, Elections 2012, Elections 2012, Video, 2012 Presidential Election 2012, Presidential Election, Chris Christie Mitt Romney, Election 2012, Mitt Romney Chris Christie, Politics News

Discussion: The Moderate Voice, Washington Wire, Le·gal In·sur·rec· tion, Politico, Daily Kos, The Daily Caller, Roll Call, Sky Dancing, Outside the Beltway, Lippmann's Ghost, New York Magazine and Wonkette

Alexandra Jaffe / Ballot Box:

Independent King wins Maine Senate race — Independent former Gov. Angus King has won the race for Senate in Maine, according to projections from multiple news sources. — His victory gives the Democrats a pickup as he is expected to caucus with them. — King has long been the favorite …

Discussion: CNN and Politico

Michael Van Sickler / Tampa Bay Times:

Hundreds of Pinellas voters get robocall from supervisor of elections saying Election Day is Wednesday — ST. PETERSBURG — An hour after polls opened Tuesday morning, the Pinellas County Supervisor of Elections Office mistakenly placed hundreds — possibly thousands …

Discussion: Los Angeles Times, Politico, The BRAD BLOG, Balloon Juice, Daily Kos, msnbc.com, The Buzz Florida Politics Feed, Orlando Sentinel, The Raw Story and The Daily Caller

Kevin Cirilli / Politico:

Matthews: Early-vote laws ‘3rd World’ — MSNBC's Chris Matthews said during Tuesday's Election Day coverage that America has begun to act “like a Third World country” with regards to early voting laws in swing states like Florida. — “You have people who are so highly partisan and yet …

Fox News:

New Black Panthers back at Philly voting site — Jerry Jackson was back at the same North Philadelphia polling site where he was accused in 2008 of voter intimidation. — A member of the New Black Panther Party who was charged with voter intimidation in the 2008 election for standing outside …

Discussion: Mother Jones, Slate, Outside the Beltway, Rush Limbaugh, The Daily Caller, Moonbattery and Election 2012

John Dodge / CBS Chicago:

Woman In Labor Votes First, Then Heads To Hospital — CHICAGO (CBS) - The labor vote literally has been cast this morning in the south suburbs. — At 21, Galicia Malone of Dolton is eligible to vote for the first time in a presidential election. — As WBBM Newsradio's Regine Schlesinger reports …

Discussion: ABCNEWS, Addicting Info, Mediaite, Wonkette, Feministing and Gawker

Stephanie Liu / The Daily Princetonian:

99 percent of donors from Princeton give to Obama — The majority of University faculty and staff members who have donated to the 2012 presidential candidates have donated to President Barack Obama's campaign, according to numbers tracked by the Center for Responsive Politics in Washington, D.C.

Discussion: National Review, The Daily Caller and Booman Tribune