memeorandum: What Nate Silver Gets Wrong (The New Yorker/Page-Turner)

2:05 PM ET, January 26, 2013

Top Items:

Russell Berman / The Hill:

Boehner full of regret over ‘fiscal-cliff’ moves — Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) is sharing his regrets about his “fiscal-cliff” strategy, less than a month after the House bitterly swallowed a last-minute deal hatched in the Senate. — In a private speech to the Ripon Society on Tuesday …

Discussion: The PJ Tatler

Jonathan Easley / The Hill:

Rep. Ryan: Republicans can't play the ‘villain’ in Obama's ‘morality play’ — Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) on Saturday warned that President Obama was working to delegitimize the Republican Party, and urged conservatives not to fall into the president's trap by playing the villain.

Discussion: The Reaction

Jeremy Herb / The Hill:
Thune: Democrats must pass a budget

Discussion: CNN

Peggy Noonan / Wall Street Journal:
Noonan: Lessons Conservatives Need to Learn

Discussion: The Mahablog, Daily Kos, Hot Air and No More Mister Nice Blog

Thomas Beaumont / bigstory.ap.org:

AP NEWSBREAK: HARKIN WON'T SEEK 6TH SENATE TERM — You are here — Home » United States Congress » AP NewsBreak: Harkin won't seek 6th Senate term — CUMMING, Iowa (AP) — U.S. Sen. Tom Harkin will not seek re-election in 2014, the Iowa Democrat said Saturday.

Discussion: Washington Monthly, Washington Post, Alan Colmes' Liberaland, Hot Air, Washington Free Beacon, Roll Call, Washington Times, The Raw Story, Weekly Standard and Ballot Box

James Hohmann / Politico:

Tom Harkin won't seek sixth Senate term — Democratic Iowa Sen. Tom Harkin announced Saturday he will not seek re-election in 2014, giving Republicans a shot at picking up his seat. — “It'll be wide-open as far as both parties,” Republican state chairman A.J. Spiker said. “Iowa is so purple.

Discussion: Outside the Beltway

Jeremy Herb / Ballot Box:

Harkin won't seek another term in Senate — Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa) will retire at the end of 2014, he told the Associated Press Saturday. — Harkin's said his decision not to seek a sixth term was based in part because he wanted to give a new generation of Iowa Democrats the chance to run for higher office.

Discussion: CNN

Jennifer Jacobs / USA Today:

Iowa Sen. Harkin will not seek re-election — Harkin said the move would allow a new generation of Democrats to seek higher office. … Tom Harkin, Iowa's powerful Democratic U.S. senator, won't seek re-election in two years, he told The Des Moines Register Saturday morning.

Discussion: Michelle Malkin and Daily Kos

Donovan Slack / Politico:

Obama wants country to appreciate Hillary — President Barack Obama said Friday that he wanted to do a joint interview with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton because he wants the country to appreciate the extraordinary role she has played in his administration.

Scott Conroy / Real Clear Politics:

Sarah Palin Parts Ways With FOX News — After a three-year run as a paid contributor to the nation's highest-rated cable news channel, Sarah Palin and FOX News have cut ties, according to a source close to the former Alaska governor. — “It's my understanding that Gov. Palin was offered a contract by FOX …

Brian Stelter / Media Decoder:
Fox Says Its 3-Year Relationship With Palin Is Over

Discussion: BuzzFeed, New York Magazine, From Inside the Box, Taylor Marsh and The Raw Story, more at Mediagazer »

Noah Rothman / Mediaite: Sarah Palin Out At Fox News Channel

The New Yorker / Page-Turner:

What Nate Silver Gets Wrong — Can Nate Silver do no wrong? Between elections and baseball statistics, Silver has become America's secular god of predictions. And now he has a best-seller, “The Signal and the Noise,” in which he discusses the challenges and science of prediction …

Discussion: Brad DeLong

Joanna Stern / ABCNEWS:

Starting Today, It's Illegal to Unlock Your Cellphone — You likely have a cellphone that you bought from a carrier, like AT&T, Verizon or Sprint, and that phone only works on that carrier's cellular and data network — unless you “unlock” it. — That is a software process that allows …

Scott Keyes / ThinkProgress:

Republicans' Effort To Rig Electoral College Gets National Backing — Former Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell (R), who was the chief elections officer when the state experienced massive voting problems in 2004, is planning to lead a national effort to rig the electoral college in favor …

Discussion: Alan Colmes' Liberaland and Addicting Info

Gary Heinlein / detroitnews.com:
Michigan legislators weigh changes to Electoral College rules

Discussion: New York Times, No More Mister Nice Blog, Mother Jones, Naked Politics, FiveThirtyEight, The Maddow Blog and Business Insider

Abby Livingston / Roll Call:

Five Races in Which the Gun Debate Matters — In the aftermath of the Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting in Newtown, Conn., the politics of gun control turned upside down — or so the proponents of increased firearms regulations would like to believe. The reality, however …

Discussion: Booman Tribune

MaryAnn Murtha / Washington Post:
Mark the date, not the town

Discussion: Althouse

NLRB:

Statement by Chairman Pearce on recess appointment ruling — Today, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit issued a decision finding that the Jan. 4, 2012 recess appointments of three members to the National Labor Relations Board were invalid. In response, Chairman Mark Gaston Pearce issued the following statement: