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12:45 PM ET, December 14, 2015

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nomiki Konst / The Hill:
Ted Cruz isn't just surging — he's winning  —  Every show has an end.  Just like “The Apprentice” — gripping the first few few seasons, tired and contrived in the last — Donald Trump's campaign is aging toward death, one reckless outburst at at time.  Although the casual political junkie …
RELATED:
Carrie Dann / NBC News:
NBC Poll: Clinton Would Trounce Trump But Lose to Rubio, Carson  —  Hillary Clinton would defeat Ted Cruz and trounce Donald Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head general election matchup, but she would lose to Marco Rubio or Ben Carson, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds.
Nick Gass / Politico:
Trump hits a new high in national poll  —  Donald Trump just got a little more vault in his ceiling.  Nationwide, the polling-obsessed Manhattan multi-billionaire and leading Republican presidential candidate broke into the 40s on Monday.  —  According to the results of the latest Monmouth …
Joshua Green / Bloomberg Business:
Cruz Poised to Steal Even More Trump Supporters in Iowa  —  The crosstabs of the latest Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll reveal some encouraging findings for the Texas senator.  —  JoshuaGreen  —  Ted Cruz shot to a 10-point lead over Donald Trump in the latest Bloomberg …
Tom Hamburger / Washington Post:
Cruz campaign credits psychological data and analytics for its rising success  —  URBANDALE, Iowa — As Cecil Stinemetz walked up to a gray clapboard house in suburban Des Moines last week wearing his “Cruz 2016” cap, a program on his iPhone was determining what kind of person would answer the door.
Discussion: The Daily Caller, The Week and Althouse
Tony Leys / Des Moines Register:
Clinton builds lead over Sanders, new Iowa Poll shows
Eli Stokols / Politico:   GOP contenders prep for loud, ugly holiday season
Janet Hook / Wall Street Journal:
Trump, Cruz Lead GOP Field; Support for Carson Plummets, Poll Finds
Discussion: Common Dreams, Vox and Spectator
RELATED:
David Remnick / New Yorker:
Negotiating the Whirlwind  —  John Kerry, the sixty-eighth Secretary of State of the United States, was born to a temperament of wintry rectitude.  He is descended from the Winthrops, who helped found the Massachusetts Bay Colony, and the Forbeses, a Brahmin clan that made its money in railways …
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Mike Allen / Politico:
POLITICO Playbook, presented by Qualcomm …
S.L. Price / SI.com:
2015 Sportsperson of the Year: Serena Williams  —  Real life?  For Serena Williams that's the easy part now.  That's how it works when you zoom—beyond tennis, beyond $74 million in prize money, beyond one of the greatest late-career runs in sports history—into celebrity hyperspace.
Daniel Strauss / Politico:
Santorum super PAC ad warns ‘WWIII is upon us’  —  The super PAC supporting Rick Santorum has a warning: “World War III is upon us.”  —  That message comes in the form of a radio ad from the pro-Santorum Working Again PAC, which is beginning to air the spot statewide in Iowa this week.
Discussion: Talking Points Memo and SoundCloud
Elizabeth Kolbert / New Yorker:
The Siege of Miami  —  The city of Miami Beach floods on such a predictable basis that if, out of curiosity or sheer perversity, a person wants to she can plan a visit to coincide with an inundation.  Knowing the tides would be high around the time of the “super blood moon,” in late September …
Discussion: Taylor Marsh
Amber Jamieson / New York Post:
Plumber's old truck spotted in ISIS video  —  A Texas plumber who was flooded with threats after his old truck — still emblazoned with his company's name — was seen driven by ISIS thugs in Syria has armed himself and is suing a Ford dealer.  —  Mark Oberholtzer of Mark-1 Plumbing …
Discussion: BizPac Review and Fox News Insider
Kenneth P. Vogel / Politico:
The Kochs' war on poverty  —  The political operation created by the billionaire conservative mega-donors Charles and David Koch is quietly investing millions of dollars in programs to win over an unlikely demographic target for their brand of small-government conservatism ― poor people.
Josh Zumbrun / Wall Street Journal:
The Mystery of Missing Inflation Weighs on Fed Rate Move  —  U.S. near full employment, but inflation hasn't risen as predicted; Fed officials can't figure out why  —  Federal Reserve officials this week are expected to raise interest rates for the first time in nine years on the expectation …
Discussion: Power Line
Joby Warrick / Washington Post:
How one word nearly killed the climate deal  —  PARIS — The proposed accord was just hours from a final vote when the glitch was spotted.  Someone had changed a single word in the draft text — from a “should” to a “shall” — and suddenly the entire climate deal appeared at risk of faltering.
Rebecca Riffkin / Gallup:
Americans Name Terrorism as No. 1 U.S. Problem  —  WASHINGTON, D.C. — After the deadly terrorist attacks in Paris and San Bernardino, California, Americans are now more likely to name terrorism as the top issue facing the U.S. than to name any other issue — including those that have typically topped …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Gabrielle Giffords / USA Today:
After Sandy Hook and San Bernardino, optimism can still change gun politics: Gabby Giffords
Discussion: Mediaite and ACS Blog
Gabriel Sherman / New York Magazine:
Republican Billionaires Just Can't Seem to Buy This Election
Paul Walsh / Star Tribune:
Minn. man charged in firebombing of Somali restaurant in Grand Forks
Discussion: Talking Points Memo and Raw Story
New York Post:
ACLU leader resigns after threatening to shoot Trump supporters
Discussion: Truth Revolt and SOOPERMEXICAN
Jethro Mullen / CNN:
More than 700,000 evacuated as Typhoon Melor batters Philippines
Discussion: WAVY-TV
 Earlier Items: 
Michael Safi / Guardian:
Sydney woman found cash ‘meant for Islamic State’ in son's shorts
Discussion: ABC and abc13.com
Rebecca Leber / New Republic:
The Paris talks have given us a long-shot chance to save the planet.
Discussion: New York Times
Sylvan Lane / The Hill:
Rubio is still insured under Obamacare: report
Paul Mirengoff / Power Line:
Diversity: Seven notes
Travis Gettys / Raw Story:
'Libtard'-hating ex-police chief accused of pointing gun at woman who passed his Hummer
Discussion: alan.com
Evan Hoopfer / timesfreepress.com:
Police ask community for video footage of man killed by officer after endangering child, officer
Discussion: Guardian