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11:20 PM ET, January 6, 2016

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Sam Wang / Princeton Election Consortium:
The predictive value of GOP Presidential polls  —  The New Year is not a bad time for a fresh start.  So please let me acknowledge that back in July, I was too pessimistic about Donald Trump's chances.  Like Harry Enten, I was led astray by his high unfavorables.
RELATED:
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Trump Maintains Lead in NH; Dem Race Close  —  PPP's newest New Hampshire poll finds Donald Trump leading in the state by 14 points.  Trump's position in the state has been steady over the last three months- we found him at 28% in mid-October, 27% in early December, and we find him at 29% …
Daniel Strauss / Politico:
Trump fumes as Cruz steals wall mojo  —  In recent days, Donald Trump has been airing a new complaint: Ted Cruz is getting in on his wall game.  —  “People are picking up all of my ideas, including Ted, who started talking about building a wall two days ago,” Trump told POLITICO on Tuesday.
Alex Griswold / Mediaite:
Donald Trump Has Now Flip-Flopped Twice on Ted Cruz's Eligibility
Discussion: alan.com and Washington Post
Ben Schreckinger / Politico:
Donald Trump's low-energy campaign
Discussion: The Week and Political Wire
Thomas B. Edsall / New York Times:   Purity, Disgust and Donald Trump
New York Times:
White House Disputes North Korea's Claim of Hydrogen Bomb Test  —  SEOUL, South Korea — The White House said Wednesday that initial data from its monitoring stations in Asia were “not consistent” with North Korea's claim that the nuclear test it carried out earlier in the day was its first test …
RELATED:
Margaret Talev / Bloomberg Business:
Republicans Say North Korea Bomb Test Claims are Hillary Clinton's Fault
The New / New York Times:
Did North Korea Detonate a Hydrogen Bomb? Here's What We Know
St. John Barned-Smith / Houston Chronicle:
Grand jury indicts DPS trooper who arrested Sandra Bland  —  A Waller County grand jury has indicted Texas Department of Public Safety Trooper Brian Encinia - the trooper who arrested Sandra Bland - on perjury charges.  —  Darrell Jordan, a special prosecutor, said the charge is a Class A misdemeanor …
RELATED:
David Montgomery / New York Times:
Texas Trooper Who Arrested Sandra Bland Is Indicted on Perjury Charge  —  HEMPSTEAD, Tex. — The state trooper who arrested Sandra Bland, the Chicago-area woman who three days later was found hanged in her cell at the Waller County jail, was indicted on a perjury charge, a special prosecutor said here Wednesday.
Discussion: NPR, Daily Kos and all
Peter Sullivan / The Hill:
House passes ObamaCare repeal, sending measure to president  —  The House on Wednesday passed legislation that would repeal much of ObamaCare and defund Planned Parenthood for one year, sending the measure to President Obama's desk.  —  The bill passed by a vote of 240 to 181.
Discussion: Mother Jones and Yahoo
RELATED:
Mike DeBonis / Washington Post:
Congress sends health care repeal to Obama, setting up certain veto
CNN:
House sends Obamacare repeal bill to White House
Discussion: Washington Post and The Week
Benjamin Siegel / ABC News:
Republicans Start 2016 by Trying to Repeal Obamacare Again
Discussion: Politico and Associated Press
Jesse Byrnes / The Hill:
Rand Paul pokes Rubio over his ‘cute new boots’  —  GOP presidential hopeful Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) may have gotten more than he bargained for after donning a pair of stylish, high-heeled black leather boots on the campaign trail.  —  Sen. Rand Paul (Ky.) stopped by co-host Whoopi Goldberg's …
Discussion: The Week, Bloomberg.com and RedState
RELATED:
Dan Good / New York Daily News:
Ammon Bundy compares Oregon militia's fight to the heroism of Rosa Parks: ‘We are doing the same thing as Rosa Parks did’  —  This might be the most provocative thing he's done.  —  Ammon Bundy, who's leading the armed anti-government group occupying a remote national wildlife preserve in Oregon …
RELATED:
Amelia Templeton OPB / OPB:
Harney County Sheriff: Armed Occupiers Will Face Charges
Cristina Marcos / The Hill:
GOP lawmaker: Oregon armed protests are ‘civil disobedience’
Discussion: Talking Points Memo and Hot Air
RELATED:
WKRG-TV:
Roy Moore: Alabama Same-Sex Marriage Laws Still In Effect
Discussion: Towleroad
Jon Nicosia / Mediaite:
Gun Store Owner Who Gave Trump a Rifle Has Armed Standoff with CNN Hosts  —  If you've ever wondered what it would look like if a First Order stormtrooper did a cable news hit while his armor was at the dry cleaners, today is your lucky day.  Mark Limoges, the New Hampshire gun owner who gifted …
Ana Marie Cox / New York Times:
Debbie Wasserman Schultz Thinks Young Women Are Complacent  —  After the Bernie Sanders campaign improperly accessed voter data, the Democratic National Committee was swift with its punishment, suspending his campaign from having access to the database.  How did you come up with that sanction?
Mark Preston / CNN:
NRA declines to participate in Obama gun town hall  —  CNN's Anderson Cooper will moderate “Guns in America,” a town hall featuring President Barack Obama on Thursday at 8 p.m. ET.  —  Washington (CNN)The nation's largest gun rights organization declined Wednesday to send official representatives …
RELATED:
M.G. Oprea / The Federalist:
How You Pronounce ‘Muslim’ Says A Lot About Your Politics  —  You may have noticed something different in the way some people, including various presidential candidates, talk about Islam depending on whether they are Republicans or Democrats.  No, I'm not referring to the Democrats' refusal to say …
Discussion: alicublog and Instapundit
Alex Kuczynski / Harper's BAZAAR:
Melania Trump's American Dream  —  Donald Trump's first lady talks candidly about her husband's controversial presidential bid, the secrets to their happy marriage, and why she's stayed out of the spotlight—until now.  —  By Alex Kuczynski and Photographs by Douglas Friedman
Katie Pavlich / Townhall.com:
Citizen Asks ATF: Do I Need a Federal Firearms License to Sell Thousands of Guns to Mexican Cartels?  —  The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms has posted a link to their Facebook page clarifying requirements for people selling guns to obtain a Federal Firearms License.
Mzielinska / CBS New York:
Woman Speaks Out On Facebook After Being Slashed By Stranger In Chelsea  —  NEW YORK (CBSNewYork) — A woman took to Facebook to write about her experience Wednesday, after she was slashed in her face while on her way to work in a random attack in Chelsea.  —  The attack happened around 5:50 …
Discussion: New York Post, Daily Mail and Gothamist
Eliza Collins / Politico:
Libertarian Gary Johnson launches presidential bid, lowers expectations  —  Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson has joined the crowded 2016 presidential race.  But he's not making any promises about his ability to defeat the likes of Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Daily Mail:
Teenage victim of Cologne ‘African and Arab’ sex mob reveals how she and her friends were surrounded by 30 men and groped as officials admit the city is a ‘no-go’ area for women  —  An 18-year-old victim of the sex attacks in Cologne has described being surrounded by a group of 30 ‘angry’ men …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Stephanie Ballesteros / WAVY-TV:
Tractor-trailer driver survives plunge over CBBT
Discussion: KXAN-TV and WJTV
Lindsey Ellefson / Mediaite:
Trump Supporters Back Up ‘Birther’ Claims, Accuse Obama of Being Part of ‘New World Order’
Los Angeles Times:
Brown declares state of emergency at Porter Ranch amid massive gas leak
Discussion: Gizmodo and KTLA
Paul Griffiths / New York Times:
Pierre Boulez, Composer and Conductor Who Pushed Modernism's Boundaries, Dies at 90
Bob Cusack / The Hill:
Trump: I didn't try to ‘woo’ Megyn Kelly
Gina Harkins / Marine Corps Times:
Marine Corps boot camp, job titles to be gender neutral by April
Edward-Isaac Dovere / Politico:
Obama plugs State of the Union address in video trailer
Discussion: ABC News
 Earlier Items: 
Tim Carpenter / Topeka Capital-Journal:
KDOT ships engineering jobs to Lawrence to stem departures
Discussion: Associated Press
Andrew Tangel / Wall Street Journal:
Gov. Cuomo to Back a Penn Station Overhaul
Michael Grunwald / Politico:
Everything Is (Even More) Awesome!
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Lauren Fox / Talking Points Memo:
Law Enforcement Confirms Militiamen Are Free To Come and Go From Refuge
Discussion: Oregonian and Balloon Juice
Raphael Poch / Reuters:
Canadian PM: We won't bomb ISIS even if attacked
Discussion: Jihad Watch and Truth Revolt