memeorandum: Here's some perspective on the current spate of confusing presidential polls (Stuart Rothenberg/Washington Post)

10:45 AM ET, September 20, 2016

Top Items:

Darren Samuelsohn / Politico:

George H.W. Bush to vote for Hillary Clinton — Former President George H.W. Bush is bucking his party's presidential nominee and plans to vote for Hillary Clinton in November, according to a member of another famous political family, the Kennedys. — Bush, 92, had intended to stay silent …

CNN:

George H.W. Bush for Hillary? A spokesman isn't saying — Jeb Bush: Trump's morph on immigration disturbing — Washington (CNN)A daughter of Robert Kennedy, Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, said in a Facebook post that former Republican President George H.W. Bush told her he's voting for — wait for it — Hillary Clinton.

Discussion: Talking Points Memo, Hot Air and FOX2now.com

Gabriel Debenedetti / Politico:
Clinton campaign memo outlines map to victory

Discussion: Booman Tribune and Real Clear Politics

NBC News:

Hillary Clinton Regains Momentum Against Donald Trump: Poll — Clinton, Trump Rehash Stark Differences on ISIS Following Bombings 1:19 — Back on the campaign trail after being diagnosed with pneumonia and a subsequent break from campaigning, Hillary Clinton plugged her leaking lead against Donald Trump …

Discussion: Talking Points Memo, The Daily Beast, Taylor Marsh and Business Insider

Stuart Rothenberg / Washington Post:

Here's some perspective on the current spate of confusing presidential polls — On Election Day 2012, the RealClearPolitics polling average found incumbent President Obama “leading” Republican Mitt Romney by seven-tenths of a point - a statistical dead heat.

Niall Stanage / The Hill:

Trump is doing better with Hispanics than you think — is performing about as well with Hispanic voters as GOP nominee Mitt Romney did in 2012, according to opinion polls — something that unsettles Democrats and surprises even some Republicans. — Skeptics had suggested that Trump …

Discussion: Hot Air

New York Daily News:

KING: Can African-Americans get a little of that Ahmad Khan Rahami treatment? — Police in Linden, New Jersey did something truly amazing today. — I'm not being sarcastic. After Ahmad Khan Rahami was suspected of planting bombs in Manhattan and New Jersey on Saturday …

Discussion: Mediaite and neo-neocon

Fox News:
Bomb suspect Rahami a deadbeat, hated America, says his daughter's mother

Discussion: The Gateway Pundit, The Daily Caller, Scared Monkeys, Talking Points Memo, The Other McCain, PinkNews, THE ASTUTE BLOGGERS, Hot Air, NBC New York, DNAinfo New York and Daily Mail

Brian Feldman / New York Magazine:
New Yorkers Just Received a Terrible Emergency Alert

Discussion: The Verge, VICE News, The Atlantic, The Hill, NPR, FOX2now.com, WWLP-TV, FiveThirtyEight, Business Insider, Boing Boing, Mashable and New York Times

Nate Schweber / New York Times:
Suspect's Family Ran a Restaurant That Aggravated Neighbors

Discussion: New Jersey Online, CNBC, Balloon Juice, Mediaite, The Daily Beast, Guardian, BizPac Review, Gothamist, Vocativ, alan.com, Boston Herald, Walid Shoebat and The Root

The Daily Beast:
Ahmad Khan Rahami, Accused NYC Bomber, Traveled to Pakistan Undetected by U.S.

N. R. Kleinfield / New York Times:
Ahmad Rahami: Fixture in Family's Business and, Lately, a ‘Completely Different Person’

Discussion: Gothamist, Slate, CNN, New York Post, Talking Points Memo, BBC, Freedom Outpost, NY State of Politics, CANNONFIRE, NPR, Independent Journal Review, Pamela Geller, The Daily Beast, Liberty Unyielding, Hot Air, Althouse and Mother Jones

Mike Dorning / Bloomberg:

Obama Throws Himself Into 2016 Race Hellbent on Clinton Victory — Obama will focus on six key battleground states, aides say — Michelle Obama has already cut radio, online and TV ads — Barack Obama is about to launch a presidential campaign blitz for Hillary Clinton unprecedented in the modern era …

Discussion: Political Wire and The Week

Greg Jaffe / Washington Post:
Why the election is taking an urgent and increasingly personal turn for Obama

Discussion: Politico

John Nichols / The Nation:
Bernie Sanders: The ‘Nation’ Interview

Discussion: Washington Times

Katie Bo Williams / The Hill:

House panel looking into Reddit post about Clinton's email server — The House Oversight Committee is reviewing a Reddit post that alleges an IT specialist who worked on Hillary Clinton — 's private server sought advice on how to alter the contents of “VERY VIP” emails, according to Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.).

Discussion: Fox News Insider, The Gateway Pundit and The American Conservative

Steven Nelson / US News:
Computer Specialist Who Deleted Clinton Emails May Have Asked Reddit for Tips

Discussion: Townhall.com, Hot Air, The Gateway Pundit, LawNewz, The Federalist, BizPac Review, The Last Refuge, Patterico's Pontifications and twitchy.com

Philip Bump / Washington Post:

Donald Trump Jr. inadvertently encourages America to scoop up refugees by the handful — This tweet, from Donald Trump's son Donald Jr., makes a good point. Except for the part in blue, which is completely wrong. … If there were a bowl of delicious fruitish-flavored Skittles in front …

Discussion: Mashable, Althouse, Al Jazeera English, Raw Story, The Daily Caller, Eater, AOL, NPR, Guardian, New York's PIX11, BuzzFeed, The Week, Little Green Footballs, The New Civil Rights Movement, New York Magazine and Mediaite

Daniella Diaz / CNN:
Trump Jr. likens Syrian refugees to Skittles

Joe Concha / The Hill:

CNN falsely adds “racial” to Trump vetting comments — CNN added the word “racial” to Donald Trump — 's Monday comments on terrorism and immigration, and is running headlines reporting that the GOP nominee is advocating “racial profiling”. — But a review of the transcript of Trump's comments …

Discussion: Washington Post, CNN, Hot Air, John Hawkins' Right Wing News, Liberty Unyielding and The Daily Caller

Wall Street Journal:

Billionaires Sheldon Adelson, Joe Ricketts Plan Donations to Donald Trump's Campaign — Adelson plans to spend $45 million to boost GOP, including $5 million for Trump; Ricketts to give at least $1 million to Trump group — Two billionaires are planning to open their pocketbooks …

Discussion: Washington Post

Theodore Schleifer / CNN:
First on CNN: Adelson to spend at least $45 million on 2016 races in boost for GOP

Discussion: Washington Post and Guardian

Barack Obama / Pittsburgh Post-Gazette:

Self-driving, yes, but also safe — New technologies and regulations will be explored at a White House conference in Pittsburgh — Uber introduced its self-driving car service in Pittsburgh last week. — Things are a little different today than when I first moved into the White House.

Discussion: The Verge and Business Insider

Cecilia Kang / New York Times:
U.S. Signals Backing for Self-Driving Cars

Discussion: Boing Boing and The Week

Melanie Zanona / The Hill:
Feds set to unveil self-driving car guidelines

Discussion: Politico

Joseph R. Murray / The Hill:

How ‘Birtherism’ became Hillary's Waterloo — had a rough week. From collapsing into a vehicle to her collapsing poll numbers, the Democratic darling is steering her campaign into an iceberg. Put simply, she's losing. — On Friday, Hillary hit rock bottom.

Discussion: Politico

Nate Cohn / New York Times:

We Gave Four Good Pollsters the Same Raw Data. They Reached Very Different Conclusions. — How four pollsters, and The Upshot, interpreted 867 poll responses: … You've heard of the “margin of error” in polling. Just about every article on a new poll dutifully notes that the margin …

David A. Fahrenthold / Washington Post:

Trump used $258,000 from his charity to settle legal problems — Donald Trump spent more than a quarter-million dollars from his charitable foundation to settle lawsuits that involved the billionaire's for-profit businesses, according to interviews and a review of legal documents.

Discussion: Political Wire and The Daily Beast

Benny Avni / New York Post:

Obama led the world downward into chaos — President Obama will surely put his best spin on his legacy Tuesday in his eighth and final speech to the United Nations General Assembly. But even his biggest fans must struggle to ignore the spread of mayhem on his watch, in the Mideast and beyond.

Washington Post:
U.N. suspends aid convoys in Syria after bombing

Discussion: Sputnik International, The Week, The American Conservative and The Daily Caller

Steve LeVine / Quartz:

New York Times editor on Trump: “We will call out lies” — The Huffington Post branded him a serial liar months ago. Now, the most traditional American media outlets have also abandoned journalistic diplomatese in their coverage of Republican candidate Donald Trump, and are reaching for new ways to flag the word “lie.”

Discussion: Talking Points Memo and Wall Street Journal

Alex Swoyer / Breitbart:

Donald Trump Praises Law Enforcement, Slams Obama-Clinton for ‘Not Taking ISIS Seriously’ — Donald Trump is praising law enforcement for its handling of the terrorist attacks in Minnesota, Manhattan and New Jersey over the weekend, while criticizing his rival Hillary Clinton for her record …

Discussion: Business Insider, Washington Post, The Atlantic, New York Times, Power Line and Mediaite