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12:35 AM ET, November 9, 2016

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
New York Times:
Live Presidential Forecast  —  Heads-up: Forecasts may be volatile early in the night.  These numbers will become more trustworthy once more votes have been counted.  Hello there!  These dials will spring to life around 7:15 PM ET.  —  Our best guess right now is that is on track to win.
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Final Election Update: There's A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton  —  Throughout the election, our forecast models have consistently come to two conclusions.  First, that Hillary Clinton was more likely than not to become the next president.
FiveThirtyEight:
2016 Election Night  —  Live coverage and results of the 2016 …
Discussion: Power Line, Mashable and Mediaite
ABC News:
2016 Election Results: DC, MA, MD, MS, NJ, OK
Discussion: Vox
Veronica Rocha / Los Angeles Times:
1 dead, multiple people shot near Azusa polling station; active shooter heavily armed, officials said  —  Police are responding to an active shooting in Azusa.  (KTLA-TV Channel 5)  —  One person was killed and at least three others were wounded Tuesday in an active shooting near a polling place in Azusa.
RELATED:
Erin Dooley / ABC News:
Election 2016 Battleground State Exit Poll Results and Analysis  —  It's Election Day in America, and citizens in all 50 states and Washington, D.C., are heading to the polls to choose the nation's 45th president.  —  Exit polls from 28 key states will give us a glimpse of who's voting and what's motivating their choices.
Discussion: Politico, abc11.com and ThinkProgress
RELATED:
Steven Shepard / Politico:
Early exit poll: Clinton winning ground game  —  More voters say they were contacted by Hillary Clinton's campaign than by Donald Trump's, according to new, preliminary results from a Morning Consult/POLITICO Exit Poll that appear to confirm Clinton's organizational advantage in the presidential race.
Discussion: Hot Air and RedState
Meghan Keneally / ABC News:
Trump Projected to Win Florida and Iowa
Paul Blake / ABC News:
Election 2016 National Exit Poll Results and Analysis
Danny Vinik / Politico:
Exit polls reveal deeply divided country
Discussion: Vox, NBC News and Los Angeles Times
Steven Shepard / Politico:
Early exit polls: Voters say they want a ‘strong leader’
Patrick Svitek / The Texas Tribune:
George W. Bush didn't cast a ballot for president  —  George W. Bush and Laura Bush did not vote for either major-party presidential nominee this year.  Instead, they did not make a selection at the top of the ticket and voted for Republicans down ballot.  —  *Editor's note: This story has been updated throughout.
RELATED:
Grace Curley / Howie Carr Show:
Howie Talks to Trump on Election Day
Rudy Takala / Washington Examiner:
Limbaugh: George W. Bush voted for Clinton
Discussion: The Daily Caller, Hot Air and RedState
Patti Domm / CNBC:
Dow futures down 300 as election looks tighter than expected  —  Stock futures plunged as traders watched for the outcome in a presidential race that continued to be extremely tight.  —  Investors moved into bonds and stock futures fell as traders questioned whether Democrat Hillary Clinton could win the race, as expected.
CBS Pittsburgh:
Voting Issues: Some Trump Voters Reporting Ballots Switching To Clinton  —  CLINTON TOWNSHIP (KDKA/AP) - Today is Election Day and for the most part, voting has been smooth.  —  Many areas are already seeing long lines with some officials saying they wouldn't be surprised if voter turnout topped 80 percent.
RELATED:
Amber Phillips / Washington Post:
The Trump campaign just basically got laughed out of a Nevada courtroom  —  The first rule of Las Vegas is, the house always wins.  Donald Trump's campaign made the case Tuesday that the presidential election in Sin City's home county might be rigged.  —  The court didn't agree.
Discussion: Politicus USA and The Root
RELATED:
Chrissie.Thompsonfink / Cincinnati.com:
Never Trumper John Kasich plans Thursday speech  —  John Kasich, a possible 2020 candidate, plans to give a speech less than 48 hours after polls close in this election, casting his vision for the future of the Republican Party after his vocal opposition to current GOP nominee Donald Trump.
Atlanta Journal-Constitution:
Georgia mayor creates firestorm with Election Day post  —  A metro Atlanta mayor got a quick lesson in social media exposure Tuesday.  —  As voters across Georgia went to the polls, Jefferson Riley posted this on his personal Facebook page, which identifies him as the mayor of the Newton County city of Mansfield:
Ari Berman / The Nation:
This 99-Year-Old Man Rode His Bike to the Polls.  Wisconsin Republicans Turned Him Away.  —  Scott Walker's voter-ID law is disenfranchising the greatest generation.  —  By ,  —  Madison, WI— Fred Leidel was born in 1916, before women got the right to vote.
Ylan Q. Mui / Washington Post:
Markets plunge worldwide as Trump shows surprising strength  —  Global financial markets plummeted Tuesday night as early voting results showed Donald Trump unexpectedly ahead in the race for the White House.  —  On Wall Street, all three major stock index futures sank more than 3 percent.
Discussion: RedState and TheBlaze
Alexandra Jaffe / NBC News:
ELECTION NIGHT  —  Happy Election Day!  Today, Americans head to the polls to decide who will be the next president of the United States, Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton. … Rubio Wins Reelection, Outrunning Trump in Florida  —  Republican Marco Rubio will be reelected …
Nolan D. McCaskill / Politico:
Tom Brady's wife says the QB isn't backing Trump  —  Gisele Bündchen — wife of NFL superstar Tom Brady — flatly rejected Donald Trump's assertion that her husband had voted for the GOP nominee.  —  “NO!” the Brazilian model told an Instagram user who asked if it were true that she and Brady were backing the brash billionaire.
RELATED:
Alice Miranda Ollstein / ThinkProgress:
BREAKING: Sheriff Joe Arpaio goes down  —  “It's going to be a new day for Arizona.”  —  PHOENIX, ARIZONA—A scream rose from the crowd gathered at Grant Park on the south side of Phoenix when the Associated Press announced that Joe Arpaio's 23-year tenure as Maricopa County Sheriff had come to an end.
Discussion: KPNX and KNXV
New York Daily News:
Bare-chested anti-Trump protesters removed from GOP candidate's Midtown Manhattan polling place  —  Two topless women stormed Donald Trump's Midtown Manhattan polling place on Tuesday in protest of the Republican candidate.  —  The women, in their mid-20s, arrived to the P.S. 59 polling site …
Discussion: TheBlaze, Daily Wire, The Hill and alan.com
Joe Perticone / Independent Journal Review:
Omarosa: Republicans Who Vote Against Donald Trump Will Be Put On “A List”  —  NEW YORK — Omarosa Manigault, a surrogate of Donald Trump and former contestant on the reality television show “The Apprentice,” said the GOP presidential nominee will keep a list of Republicans who vote against him.
Julian Assange / WikiLeaks:
Assange Statement on the US Election  —  In recent months, WikiLeaks and I personally have come under enormous pressure to stop publishing what the Clinton campaign says about itself to itself.  That pressure has come from the campaign's allies, including the Obama administration …
Patrick McGreevy / Los Angeles Times:
Californians vote to legalize recreational use of marijuana in the state  —  Voters on Tuesday approved Proposition 64, which would make California the most populous state in the nation to legalize the recreational use of marijuana.  —  The approval of the ballot measure, which led in recent polls …
Discussion: alan.com, KTLA and The Week
 
 
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 More Items: 
Ovetta Wiggins / Washington Post:
Maryland governor writes in his vote — for his father
Discussion: Politico
Lisa Hagen / The Hill:
Charlie Crist wins Florida House seat
Discussion: RedState
Chris Kahn / Reuters:
U.S. voters want leader to end advantage of rich and powerful: Reuters/Ipsos
Discussion: Taylor Marsh and LifeNews.com
Mconnolly / Washington Monthly:
The Political Animal Election Liveblog
Ryan J. Reilly / The Huffington Post:
Trump Team Claims A Poll Watcher Was Threatened With A Belt In Philly. Here's What Really Happened.
 Earlier Items: 
Joe Concha / The Hill:
Carl Bernstein: Trump wins if ‘alternate universe’ of Drudge is right
Discussion: alan.com
Charles C. W. Cooke / National Review:
Last Night Was the High-Point of the Democratic Party's Cool
Discussion: Lawyers, Guns & Money
Mark Hensch / The Hill:
Ex-'Apprentice' contestant won't release ‘potentially damaging’ Trump tape
Alex Leininger / CNN:
Hundreds flock to Susan B. Anthony's grave on Election Day