memeorandum: Nate Silver: “I do not buy that Trump's fate is sealed” (Axios)

12:30 PM ET, July 26, 2020

Top Items:

CNN:

CNN Polls: Biden leads in three key states Trump won in 2016 — (CNN)With 100 days remaining until Election Day, voters in three critical battleground states swing in former Vice President Joe Biden's way, according to new Arizona, Florida and Michigan CNN polls conducted by SSRS.

Discussion: Mother Jones, Marist Poll, Politico and The Hill

Associated Press:

100 Days: Trump faces headwinds as Election Day draws near — WASHINGTON (AP) — With the November election 100 days away, more Americans say the country is heading in the wrong direction than at any previous point in Donald Trump's presidency, putting the incumbent in a perilous position …

Discussion: Politico and Axios

Axios:

Nate Silver: “I do not buy that Trump's fate is sealed” — FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver said on ABC's “This Week” that while President Trump's reelection bid is “clearly in trouble” due to his dismal coronavirus approval ratings and polling in swing states, he does not believe the president's “fate is sealed.”

CBS News:

CBS News Battleground Tracker poll: Trump up one in Ohio as Biden leads Michigan — Some elections are just about “the economy,” but despite the downturn, 2020 is about much more; there's just too much else happening. And while there's no big edge for either President Trump …

Discussion: The Guardian

Mark Murray / NBC News:
Biden leads Trump in battleground Arizona

Discussion: The Hill

Lauren Gambino / The Guardian: Biden holds daunting lead over Trump as US election enters final stretch

Washington Post:

Coronavirus ravaged Florida, as Ron DeSantis sidelined scientists and followed Trump — ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — As Florida became a global epicenter of the coronavirus, Gov. Ron DeSantis held one meeting this month with his top public health official, Scott Rivkees, according to the governor's schedule.

Discussion: Lawyers, Guns & Money, Political Wire and Tampa Bay Times

Politico:

Meadows, Mnuchin push for narrow coronavirus relief bill — Even before Senate Republicans roll out a proposal on the next coronavirus relief package, top Trump administration officials are already pushing a backup plan in case negotiations stall. — During media appearances Sunday …

Discussion: The Hill

Ronn Blitzer / Fox News:
Mnuchin optimistic as GOP set to introduce Senate coronavirus stimulus bill Monday

Discussion: Politico, Reuters, ABC News and The Hill

Washington Post:
Top White House officials say Congress might need to rush narrow relief bill to avoid unemployment aid lapse

Discussion: Lawyers, Guns & Money and The Guardian

Lucian K. Truscott IV / Raw Story: ‘This whole house of cards is gonna collapse’: GOP shutters Senate with US on verge of economic catastrophe

Nicky Robertson / CNN:
McConnell hopes to send next coronavirus relief bill to House within three weeks

Discussion: WKYT-TV and Talking Points Memo

Rachel Hutton / Star Tribune:

Couple flaunt swastika face masks at southwestern Minnesota Walmart — At the request of the Marshall, Minn., store, the two were told they'll face arrest if they return there. — TEXT SIZE — Just before noon Saturday, police officers in Marshall, Minn., were called to the town's Walmart …

Discussion: Towleroad Gay News

Monte Poole / NBCSports.com:

Giants' Sam Coonrod had every right to stand, but his reason fell short — Sam Coonrod stepped into the sightlines of America on Thursday night, when he alone stood during an intended unified peaceful protest. A light followed him around Friday, and might stay with him for a while.

Discussion: Liberty Unyielding and The Daily Caller

Christina Ruffini / CBS News:

Controversial U.S. Ambassador to Iceland wants firearm, security for Reykjavik post — The U.S. Ambassador to Iceland wants to carry a gun. — Despite being assigned to one of the safest countries in the world, Jeffrey Ross Gunter has been “paranoid” about his security since coming to Reykjavik last year …

Discussion: Lawyers, Guns & Money

Jess Bidgood Globe / The Boston Globe:

A bipartisan group secretly gathered to game out a contested Trump-Biden election. It wasn't pretty — WASHINGTON — On the second Friday in June, a group of political operatives, former government and military officials, and academics quietly convened online for what became a disturbing exercise …

Discussion: Raw Story

Michael Wilson / New York Times:

Empty Towers, No Power Lunches: Ghostly Midtown Is Omen for N.Y.C. — 7,500 workers are missing from a famous building. A food cart sells 10 hot dogs a day. The virus's effect on one block could be a vision of the city's future. — Editors and account managers at the Time & Life Building …

New York Times:

Fires and Pepper Spray in Seattle as Police Protests Widen Across U.S. — From Los Angeles to New York, protesters marched in a show of solidarity with demonstrations in Portland, Ore. In Seattle, they smashed windows and set fires. A shooting at a protest in Austin, Texas, left one man dead.

Discussion: Los Angeles Times, Slate, UPI, Oregonian, CBS News, The Daily Caller, KIRO, The Hill, KMTV, Axios, Althouse and Associated Press

Karen Tumulty / Washington Post:

Reagan Foundation to Trump, RNC: Quit raising money off Ronald Reagan's legacy — The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute, which runs the 40th president's library near Los Angeles, has demanded that President Trump and the Republican National Committee (RNC) …

Discussion: Mediaite, Daily Kos and Raw Story

Marina Pitofsky / The Hill:
Reagan Foundation asks Trump campaign, RNC to stop using former president's name to raise money

Discussion: The Inquisitr

Eric Umansky / ProPublica:

We're Publishing Thousands of Police Discipline Records That New York Kept Secret for Decades — ProPublica obtained these police records from New York City's Civilian Complaint Review Board. NYPD unions are suing to halt the city from making the data public.

Fadel Allassan / Axios:

John Lewis carried across Edmund Pettus Bridge for final time — The body of the late Rep. John Lewis was transported Sunday across the famous Edmund Pettus Bridge in Selma, Ala., where the civil rights icon first helped lead a march for voting rights in 1965.

Discussion: NBC News, Fox News, CNN and The Week

Kelly Mena / CNN:
John Lewis to make final journey across Edmund Pettus Bridge in procession

Discussion: Mediaite and Axios

Ariel Edwards-Levy / HuffPost:

Wearing A Mask Is More Popular — And A Little Less Partisan — Than You Might Expect — According to a new HuffPost/YouGov poll, reported levels of mask-wearing are on the rise across political lines. — An increasingly broad majority of Americans are wearing masks in public …

Keith Staskiewicz / EW.com:

‘Gone With the Wind’ star Olivia de Havilland dies at 104 — Olivia de Havilland, classic star of Hollywood and two-time winner of the Academy Award for Best Actress, died peacefully in her sleep at her home in Paris, France on Saturday. She was 104. — De Havilland built her legacy …

Christina Maxouris / CNN:

US tops 1,000 coronavirus deaths 4 days in a row as experts urge the country to shut down — California reports highest number of single-day Covid-19 deaths — (CNN)Coronavirus deaths in the US topped 1,000 four days in a row last week amid ongoing debates on the return of school and mask mandates.

Discussion: Just The News and New Jersey Online

Kelly Mena / CNN:

Rep. Ted Yoho resigns from board of Christian organization following AOC incident — Washington, DC (CNN)Florida GOP Rep. Ted Yoho has resigned from the board of a Christian organization that works to fight hunger following his tense exchange with Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York.

Discussion: Mediaite, The Hill, New York Post and Axios

Colby Itkowitz / Washington Post: Rep. Ted Yoho removed from board of Christian charity over his comments about Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Jamie Goldberg / Oregonian:

Downtown Portland businesses, derailed by pandemic, say protests present a new challenge — Adam Milne, the owner of Old Town Pizza & Brewing, realized he had to shut down his flagship Portland taproom on July 9 after the business closed out the day with just $18.75 in sales.

Allison Quinn / The Daily Beast:

Fox News' Jesse Watters: QAnon Has ‘Uncovered a Lot of Great Stuff’ — BECAUSE OF COURSE — Fox News host Jesse Watters says a pro-Trump, right-wing conspiracy theory movement that was deemed a terror threat by the FBI has actually “uncovered a lot of great stuff.”