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3:45 PM ET, November 1, 2020

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
New York Times:
Election at Hand, Biden Leads Trump in Four Key States, Poll Shows  —  Joseph R. Biden Jr. leads President Trump in Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and, by a wide margin, in Wisconsin, according to a Times/Siena College poll.  —  Joseph R. Biden Jr. holds a clear advantage over President Trump across four …
RELATED:
Fadel Allassan / Axios:
Nate Silver: “Without Pennsylvania, Biden becomes an underdog”  —  Joe Biden will become “an underdog” if he fails to win Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver said on ABC's “This Week” Sunday.  —  Why it matters: Trump won the battleground by less …
Siena College Research Institute:
The New York Times / Siena College Battleground Polls: Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
Scott Rasmussen / Political IQ:
Florida Final Poll: Biden 51% Trump 47%
Discussion: Washington Post and The Guardian
Jonathan Swan / Axios:
Scoop: Trump's plan to declare premature victory  —  President Trump has told confidants he'll declare victory on Tuesday night if it looks like he's “ahead,” according to three sources familiar with his private comments.  — That's even if the Electoral College outcome still hinges …
Pittsburgh Post-Gazette:
The man and the record  —  “He's unpresidential.”  —  “He's crude and unkind.”  —  “He's just not a good man.”  —  These things, and much worse, are commonly said of President Donald Trump.  His personality totally eclipses his record.  —  So we, seemingly, have him on the dunk tank, ready for a very cold bath.
Jolie McCullough / The Texas Tribune:
Texas Supreme Court rejects Republican-led effort to throw out nearly 127,000 Harris County votes  —  A handful of GOP activists and candidates had asked the state's highest civil court to rule Harris County's drive-thru voting locations illegal, and invalidate votes that have already been cast.
RELATED:
Mark Murray / NBC News:
Biden leads Trump by 10 points in final pre-election NBC News/WSJ poll  —  WASHINGTON — Democrat Joe Biden maintains his double-digit national lead over Republican President Donald Trump in the final national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll before the 2020 presidential election …
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Jane Mayer / New Yorker:
Why Trump Can't Afford to Lose  —  The President has survived one impeachment, twenty-six accusations of sexual misconduct, and an estimated four thousand lawsuits.  That run of good luck may well end, perhaps brutally, if Joe Biden wins.  —  The President was despondent.
Kate McGee / The Texas Tribune:
Biden camp cancels multiple Texas events after a “Trump Train” surrounded a campaign bus  —  The highway skirmish came as Democrats close ground in a state that is polling competitively in the race for president.  Recent polls indicate the presidential race in Texas between President Donald Trump …
RELATED:
Peter Baker / New York Times:
Dishonesty Has Defined the Trump Presidency.  The Consequences Could Be Lasting.  —  Whether President Trump wins or loses on Nov. 3, the very concept of public trust in an established set of facts necessary for the operation of a democratic society has been eroded.
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
David Maddox / Daily Express:
Poll: Donald Trump set to win US presidency by electoral college landslide  —  DONALD TRUMP is on course to win four more years in the White House with a one point lead in the popular win, the final Democracy Institute poll for the Sunday Express has found.  —  Sign up for FREE now and never miss the top politics stories again.
Discussion: redstate.com, Power Line and Breitbart
RELATED:
ABC News:
Election 2020 updates: Obama, Biden finish day of campaigning in Detroit
John Ellis / Medium:
Forty-One Percent.  —  I've been covering American politics for a long time and I can't remember a number that so dramatically altered the political community's perception of a presidential campaign as that number did, last night, at 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time.  —  The source of the number …
RELATED:
Ryan J. Foley / Associated Press:
Trump, GOP will need big Election Day margins to win in Iowa
USA Today:
Lincoln Project: We're fighting for a better America.  A Biden era would be a good start.  —  The party we once called home is a political Chernobyl, radioactive and dangerous but with a still unknown half-life.  We must brace for a long struggle.  —  Last December, we launched …
RELATED:
Hunter Walker / Yahoo News:
Lincoln Project targets 3 deep red states with million-dollar ad buy as election map ‘turning against’ Trump
Discussion: Raw Story
Politico:
‘They All Got Careless’: How Falwell Kept His Grip on Liberty Amid Sexual ‘Games,’ Self-Dealing  —  When Jerry Falwell Jr. and his wife Becki strolled around the Lynchburg, Va., campus of Liberty University, the evangelical school which Falwell led as president, they would play a secret game called “Would you rather.”
Lois Beckett / The Guardian:
Scholars warn of collapse of democracy as Trump v Biden election looms … Dozens of historians of fascism and authoritarianism have signed a letter warning that democracy “is either withering or in full-scale collapse globally”, and urging ordinary people to take action.
Nancy Cook / Politico:
White House plots possible second-term Cabinet purge  —  A second-term Trump administration is considering expelling Cabinet members who have crossed the president, refused to mount investigations he has demanded or contradicted him on coronavirus.  —  White House advisers say Trump is likely …
Natasha Bertrand / Politico:
The son of Lev Parnas offers one more Trump tell-all  —  As Rudy Giuliani searched for damaging information on the Bidens in Ukraine, waged shadow diplomatic campaigns in Venezuela and Turkey, and spoke regularly to President Donald Trump about all of it, a 19-year-old law student was quietly watching and soaking it all in.
Discussion: Raw Story
CBS News:
Biden leads, Trump needs Election Day surge to win — CBS News Battleground Tracker  —  Joe Biden heads into Election Day preferred by voters who have already cast their ballots early.  President Trump has a lead among those who plan to show up on November 3.  So will Biden's lead hold up?
Maria Cardona / The Hill:
The coronavirus election  —  The final days of the 2020 election are finally upon us.  President Trump and former Vice President Biden are making their closing arguments in a historic election that will determine who will lead the country amid a global pandemic that has killed …
Discussion: Reuters, Fox News and Climate Depot
Washington Post:
Trump allies, largely unconstrained by Facebook's rules against repeated falsehoods, cement pre-election dominance  —  From a pro-Trump super PAC to the president's eldest son, conservatives have blown past Facebook's fact-checking guardrails, with few consequences.
Discussion: The Verge
Maggie Astor / New York Times:
We Have Never Had Final Results on Election Day  —  President Trump has been trying to pre-emptively delegitimize ballots counted after Nov. 3.  But states have always counted past election night.  —  For weeks, President Trump and his allies have been laying groundwork to challenge the results of the election if he loses.
David Rothkopf / Haaretz:
Netanyahu's Complicity With Traitor Trump Has Tainted Israel-U.S. Ties  —  Of all the world's leaders, its right-wing populists and ethno-nationalists, no one embraced America's betrayer as fully and as short-sightedly as Netanyahu.  The years ahead will reveal the deep-seated damage that has caused
 
 
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 More Items: 
Will Bunch / The Philadelphia Inquirer:
Rising tide of violence, propaganda reveal Tuesday's stakes for America: freedom or fascism?
Discussion: redstate.com
Matthew Brown / Associated Press:
Trump noticeably absent from key US Senate race in Montana
Geoffrey Kabaservice / Washington Post:
What's driving so many Republicans to support Joe Biden?
WRAL-TV:
Police use pepper spray on crowd who blocked roadway during march to the polls in Alamance County
CBS News:
Transcript: Scott Gottlieb discusses coronavirus on “Face the Nation,” November 1, 2020
Discussion: Axios
American Greatness:
A Momentous Choice Faces Us Today as in 1776
Ari Berman / Mother Jones:
If Biden Wins Wisconsin, These New Black Community Groups Will Be a Major Reason Why
 Earlier Items: 
Lara Jakes / New York Times:
U.S. Diplomat Coughs Online, and European Allies Wonder if They Were Exposed
Jim VandeHei / Axios:
A safe, sane way to navigate election night — and beyond
Discussion: New York Times
Larry D. Croom / Villages-News:
Villages sees spike in COVID-19 cases as state tops 800,000 positive results
Molly Jong-Fast / The Daily Beast:
That Sound You Hear Is Trumpworld Panicking
Lawfare:
Newly Released FBI Documents Show Troubling Double Standard on Political Speech
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Todd Spangler / Variety:
Apple reports Q4 revenue from Services, which includes the App Store, Apple TV+, and Apple Music, up 12% YoY to $24.97B, a new quarterly record, but below est.

Jennifer Maas / Variety:
Amazon reports Q3 ad revenue up 19% YoY to $14.33B, vs. $14.25B est., amid its push to insert ads into Prime Video, and subscription sales up 11% YoY to $11.3B

Shirin Ghaffary / Bloomberg:
OpenAI unveils ChatGPT Search to let users search for timely information using GPT-4o, after testing the feature in July 2024, a direct challenge to Google

 
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