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7:05 AM ET, November 2, 2020

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Jonathan Swan / Axios:
Scoop: Trump's plan to declare premature victory  —  President Trump has told confidants he'll declare victory on Tuesday night if it looks like he's “ahead,” according to three sources familiar with his private comments.  — That's even if the Electoral College outcome still hinges …
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
I'm Here To Remind You That Trump Can Still Win  —  A 10 percent chance isn't zero.  And there's a chance of a recount, too.  —  It's tempting to write this story in the form of narrative fiction: “On a frigid early December morning in Washington, the Supreme Court ruled 5-4 …
Discussion: The Week, USAPP and Associated Press
Associated Press:
Campaign draws to a close with US facing a crossroads  —  PHILADEPHIA (AP) — President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden have one last chance to make their case to voters in critical battleground states on Monday, the final full day of a campaign that has laid bare …
The Economist:
Joe Biden really is in pole position  —  President Donald Trump will enter election day with much worse odds than he had in 2016  —  IN SOME WAYS, this presidential election has been remarkably dull, at least for a psephologist.  There have been plenty of unpredictable events …
Discussion: New Republic, The Hill and Townhall
Zeynep Tufekci / New York Times:
Why You Can't Rely on Election Forecasts
Discussion: Insight
Benjamin L. Ginsberg / Washington Post:
My party is destroying itself on the altar of Trump  —  Benjamin L. Ginsberg practiced election law for 38 years.  He co-chaired the bipartisan 2013 Presidential Commission on Election Administration.  —  President Trump has failed the test of leadership.  His bid for reelection is foundering.
NBC News:
Trump lashes out after FBI announces investigation of Biden bus incident  —  President Donald Trump on Sunday lashed out at the FBI after the agency said it was investigating reports that a caravan of the president's supporters harassed a bus belonging to Joe Biden's campaign.
RELATED:
Donie O'Sullivan / CNN:
False video of Joe Biden viewed 1 million times on Twitter  —  New York (CNN Business)A deceptively edited video of Joe Biden making it appear the Democratic presidential nominee forgot what state he was in was viewed more than one million times on Twitter over the weekend.
Discussion: LewRockwell
Vicky Prodeline / Monmouth University Polling …:
Biden Holds Lead Despite Trump Gains in Swing Counties  —  Biden trusted more to handle pandemic  —  West Long Branch, NJ - Joe Biden holds a 5-point to 7-point lead over Donald Trump among likely voters in Pennsylvania, according to the Monmouth ("Mon-muth") University Poll.
James Glanz / New York Times:
Tests Show Genetic Signature of Virus That May Have Infected President Trump  —  The White House did not take basic steps to investigate its outbreak.  We worked with geneticists to sequence the virus that infected two journalists exposed during the outbreak, providing clues to how it may have spread.
Discussion: Balloon Juice
RELATED:
Daniel Chaitin / Washington Examiner:
Trump suggests he may fire Fauci after the election
Maria Arias / Axios:
Trump adviser Scott Atlas apologizes for appearing on RT
Tim Hrenchir / Topeka Capital-Journal:
Man thought people were stealing Donald Trump signs; three shot  —  Three people were shot late Saturday in North Topeka after a man confronted people he thought had been stealing signs promoting the campaign of Republican Presidential incumbent Donald Trump, a Topeka police supervisor said Sunday.
Discussion: Business Insider and The Hill
The Dworkin Report:
Speaker Pelosi reveals the plan for investigating Trump's abuses of power  —  Scott speaks with Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) about what's next for the House's investigation of Donald Trump over his administration's failed coronavirus response has killed over 235,000 Americans.
Ben Smith / New York Times:
It's the End of an Era for the Media, No Matter Who Wins the Election  —  Trump made the legacy media great again.  Here's what's next for them.  —  There's a media phenomenon the old-time blogger Mickey Kaus calls “overism”: articles in the week before the election whose premise …
Olivia Nuzzi / New York Magazine:
American Flag Collapses at Trump Rally in North Carolina  —  Donald Trump had only been onstage for a few minutes in Hickory, North Carolina, when there was a loud bang.  The lift holding up an American flag at the back of the venue had blown over and half the flag — the striped portion …
Steve Krakauer / The Hill:
The ‘Anonymous’ saga ended with a dud — a perfect example of the problem of Trump-era media  —  There will be many incidents from the past four years of the Trump era that will erode the public's faith in the press to provide fair, accurate information — all the nonsense from the Russia collusion story …
Discussion: Greenwald, Mediaite and New Yorker
Mark Sherman / Associated Press:
Legal armies ready if cloudy election outcome heads to court  —  Catch up on the developing stories making headlines.  —  WASHINGTON — Signature matches.  Late-arriving absentee votes.  Drop boxes.  Secrecy envelopes.  —  Democratic and Republican lawyers already have gone to court …
RELATED:
The Boston Globe:
Conservative Supreme Court justices are threatening a post-election coup
Discussion: electionlawblog.org
New York Times:
Trump's supporters block traffic on major roadways in New York and New Jersey.  —  Caravans of President Trump's supporters blockaded the Mario M. Cuomo Bridge and the Garden State Parkway on Sunday, snarling traffic on two of the busiest highways in the New York metropolitan area just two days before Election Day.
Discussion: Axios and The Post Millennial
Chuck Lindell / USA Today:
Texas court rejects bid to toss out 127,000 drive-thru votes, but fight isn't over  —  AUSTIN, Texas - The Texas Supreme Court on Sunday rejected, without comment, a bid by three Republican candidates and a GOP activist to toss out almost 127,000 votes cast in drive-thru lanes in the emerging Democratic stronghold of Harris County.
Discussion: Reuters and Off the Kuff
RELATED:
Jolie McCullough / The Texas Tribune:
Texas Supreme Court rejects Republican-led effort to throw out nearly 127,000 Harris County votes
Margaret Sullivan / Washington Post:
Election Day will be the media's D-Day.  The skill we need most is the one we've never mastered.  —  Almost two months before the 2016 presidential election, Dave Wasserman, an editor at the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, wrote a prescient piece.  —  The headline?
Jennifer Jacobs / Bloomberg:
Trump's Dismissal of Covid Risk Paved Way to White House Outbreak  —  From the pandemic's earliest days, President Donald Trump was of two minds on coronavirus.  —  In public he was dismissive and belittling of the virus, and those who feared it.  In private, for all his bravado, he acted like a man who dreaded catching it.
Discussion: Business Insider
Hans Nichols / Axios:
Biden team weighs informal ban on naming Democratic senators to Cabinet  —  Joe Biden's team is considering an informal ban on naming Democratic U.S. senators to the Cabinet if he wins — which would effectively block Elizabeth Warren for Treasury or Bernie Sanders for Labor — people familiar with the discussions tell Axios.
John Ellis / Medium:
Forty-One Percent.  —  I've been covering American politics for a long time and I can't remember a number that so dramatically altered the political community's perception of a presidential campaign as that number did, last night, at 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time.  —  The source of the number …
David Edwards / Raw Story:
Lindsey Graham tells women: 'There's a place for you in America' if you ‘follow traditional family structure’  —  Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) told women over the weekend that they can “follow traditional family structure” if they want to be welcome in America.
Discussion: Business Insider
New York Times:
How There Was No October Surprise for President Trump  —  Trump's hope that an economic recovery, a Covid vaccine or a Biden scandal could shake up the race fades with the last light of October.  —  President Trump began the fall campaign rooting for, and trying to orchestrate …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Kim Ghattas / The Atlantic:
America's Future Might Be Lebanon
JONATHAN TURLEY:
Twitter Blocks Customs and Border Head Days After Democrats Demanded More Censorship
Newt Gingrich / Fox News:
Will Trump win? Yes. I think history will repeat itself - here's why
E.J. Dionne / Washington Post:
Why this is Joe Biden's hour
NBC News:
NBC News Decision Desk: How we call races on election night 2020
Alicia Victoria Lozano / NBC News:
‘2020 is the time’: California voters weigh bringing back affirmative action
Washington Post:
Alleged Michigan plotters attended multiple anti-lockdown protests, photos and videos show
Discussion: The Hill
CNN:
Our biggest Election Day concern
 Earlier Items: 
Elizabeth Neumann / The Bulwark:
Untangling Faith and Love of Country
Alayna Treene / Axios:
Intel committee senators fear constitutional crisis
Discussion: Raw Story
Ruth Marcus / Washington Post:
Trump was way worse than I feared in 2016. Here's how.
Discussion: Raw Story
Jeff Horwitz / Wall Street Journal:
Political Groups Elude Facebook's Election Controls, Repost False Ads
Conor Pope / The Irish Times:
Veteran journalist and author Robert Fisk dies aged 74
Discussion: The Sun and Al Jazeera
Wall Street Journal:
Pentagon Draw-Down at U.S. Embassies Prompts Concern About Ceding Field to Global Rivals
 

 
From Techmeme:

Mark Gurman / Bloomberg:
Thoughts on Apple TV's history and future; sources: Apple postponed a larger-than-usual number of iOS 19 features to spring 2026, when iOS 19.4 is set to debut

Wall Street Journal:
Sources: in the past year, Cantor Fitzgerald agreed to invest as much as $600M in Tether for about a 5% stake; Cantor holds most of Tether's $134B in assets

Aya Wagatsuma / Bloomberg:
Shares of Japan's Fujikura, which specializes in fiber optic cables for data centers, are up 400%+ in 2024 due to the AI boom, leading the Nikkei 225 index

 
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