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12:30 PM ET, November 2, 2020

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Vicky Prodeline / Monmouth University Polling …:
Biden Holds Lead Despite Trump Gains in Swing Counties  —  Biden trusted more to handle pandemic  —  West Long Branch, NJ - Joe Biden holds a 5-point to 7-point lead over Donald Trump among likely voters in Pennsylvania, according to the Monmouth ("Mon-muth") University Poll.
Andrew Restuccia / Wall Street Journal:
Swing State Poll Finds No Late Shift in Presidential Race  —  In 2016 election, many pollsters missed 11th-hour shift among undecided voters toward Trump  —  WASHINGTON—Support for President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden in a group of battleground states has remained unchanged in recent days …
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
I'm Here To Remind You That Trump Can Still Win  —  A 10 percent chance isn't zero.  And there's a chance of a recount, too.  —  It's tempting to write this story in the form of narrative fiction: “On a frigid early December morning in Washington, the Supreme Court ruled 5-4 …
BBC:
Vladimir Marugov murder: Russian ‘Sausage King’ killed in sauna with a crossbow  —  A Russian oligarch, nicknamed The Sausage King, has been murdered with a crossbow, investigators say.  —  Vladimir Marugov and his partner were in an outdoor sauna when they were attacked, reportedly by two masked assailants.
Discussion: The Moscow Times and Gothamist
New York Times:
How Do Donalds Vote?  Take Our Name Quiz to Find Out  —  We found some unexpected trends when we sorted our polling data by first name.  —  Over the past two months, The New York Times and Siena College have conducted polls in almost every battleground state, creating a large database of likely voters and their preferences.
Discussion: Mediaite, KXAN-TV and National Review
RELATED:
Tim Miller / The Bulwark:
November Surprise: Trump to Fire Fauci After Election  —  Trump ensures the campaign's final news cycle is about his virus trutherism.  —  At the end of a one-day, five-stop coronavirus superspreader tour extending from the Canadian border to the Gulf of Mexico, the president of the United States …
RELATED:
Zeke Miller / Associated Press:
Trump threatens to fire Fauci in rift with disease expert
NBC News:
Biden leads Trump, but it's much closer in battleground states
Discussion: The Week, The Hill and Washington Times
Tim Miller / The Bulwark:
“Law & Order” in Donald Trump's America  —  A sorry study in contrasts.  —  THE WHITE HOUSE IS SEEN BEHIND A LINE OF PARK POLICE OFFICERS WEARING RIOT GEAR AS THEY PUSH BACK DEMONSTRATORS OUTSIDE OF THE WHITE HOUSE, JUNE 1, 2020 IN WASHINGTON D.C., DURING A PROTEST OVER THE DEATH OF GEORGE FLOYD.
Discussion: New York Times, NBC News and COURIER
RELATED:
Tyler Olson / Fox News:
Justice Amy Coney Barrett hearing first Supreme Court oral arguments Monday
Discussion: Washington Examiner
David Wasserman / The Cook Political Report:
Final House Ratings: Democrats Poised to Expand Majority by 10 to 15 Seats  —  After impeachment and a Supreme Court fight (that wasn't much of one) and amid a global pandemic and racial reckoning, many congressional candidates have struggled to control their own destiny.
Paul LeBlanc / CNN:
Federal authorities expected to erect ‘non-scalable’ fence around White House  —  Washington (CNN)Federal authorities are expected to put back into place a “non-scalable” fence around the entire perimeter of the White House on Monday as law enforcement and other agencies prepare …
Benjamin L. Ginsberg / Washington Post:
My party is destroying itself on the altar of Trump  —  Benjamin L. Ginsberg practiced election law for 38 years.  He co-chaired the bipartisan 2013 Presidential Commission on Election Administration.  —  President Trump has failed the test of leadership.  His bid for reelection is foundering.
Sara Fischer / Axios:
Twitter names 7 outlets to call election results  —  Twitter on Monday provided more details about its policies around tweets that declare election results, and named the seven outlets it will lean on to help it determine whether a race is officially called.
Ben Smith / New York Times:
It's the End of an Era for the Media, No Matter Who Wins the Election  —  Trump made the legacy media great again.  Here's what's next for them.  —  There's a media phenomenon the old-time blogger Mickey Kaus calls “overism”: articles in the week before the election whose premise …
Axios:
A decades-long blue wave  —  Young voters, projected to turn out overwhelmingly for Joe Biden, could provide a huge advantage for Democrats not just this for this election, but for decades to come.  —  Driving the news: Pollsters and political scientists have been poring over two new reports …
NBC News:
Trump lashes out after FBI announces investigation of Biden bus incident  —  President Donald Trump on Sunday lashed out at the FBI after the agency said it was investigating reports that a caravan of the president's supporters harassed a bus belonging to Joe Biden's campaign.
RELATED:
Quin Hillyer / Washington Examiner:
Trump wrongly incites violence by supporting highway harassment of Biden bus
Discussion: New York Times
Tim Hrenchir / Topeka Capital-Journal:
Man thought people were stealing Donald Trump signs; three shot  —  Three people were shot late Saturday in North Topeka after a man confronted people he thought had been stealing signs promoting the campaign of Republican Presidential incumbent Donald Trump, a Topeka police supervisor said Sunday.
Discussion: The Hill and Daily Kos
Wall Street Journal:
Doctors Begin to Crack Covid's Mysterious Long-Term Effects  —  Severe fatigue, memory lapses, heart problems affect patients who weren't that badly hit initially; 'It's been so long'  —  Nearly a year into the global coronavirus pandemic, scientists, doctors and patients are beginning …
Discussion: The Daily Caller and Raw Story
The Dworkin Report:
Speaker Pelosi reveals the plan for investigating Trump's abuses of power  —  Scott speaks with Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) about what's next for the House's investigation of Donald Trump over his administration's failed coronavirus response has killed over 235,000 Americans.
Mario Canseco / Research Co.:
Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Set to Flip in U.S. Election  —  Ohio remains too close to call, while there is little danger for the Democrats in Illinois, Minnesota, New Jersey and New York.  —  Democratic nominee Joe Biden holds the upper hand over Republican incumbent Donald Trump …
Discussion: Political Wire
Jon Ralston / The Nevada Independent:
Biden will win Nevada, blue wave should help down ballot  —  Election signs outside of the Washoe County Registrar of Voters Office on Saturday, Oct. 17, 2020.  (Trevor Bexon/The Nevada Independent)  —  It's not impossible for President Donald Trump to win Nevada.
Declan Leary / The American Conservative:
Sacha Baron Cohen, Propagandist  —  CIA contacts, a web of lies, and a robust propaganda operation.  It's time to start asking questions about Borat's methods—and his goals.  —  Ayman Abu Aita is a family man.  For years, he was a grocer by trade, running his shop in Bethlehem while serving …
Marc Caputo / Politico:
The 2 big bets that will decide Florida  —  Democrats outnumber Republicans in Florida.  But Republicans have more high-propensity voters.  —  POLITICO animation  —  MIAMI — The presidential contest in the nation's tightest swing state, and perhaps the entire race for the White House, ultimately comes down to two big bets.
Reed Williams / Richmond Times-Dispatch:
Witnesses describe clash at Lee Circle between caravan of Trump supporters and a crowd of opponents  —  Tempers flared Sunday as a “Trump train” of cars tried to pass Lee Circle along Monument Avenue and clashed with opposing protesters, drawing a police presence that blocked off the area to traffic.
Discussion: Raw Story
Tim Alberta / Politico:
This Place Has Picked Every President Since 1952.  Is Its Streak About to End?  —  Dear Washington,  —  You know what they say: “As Valencia County goes, so goes the nation.”  —  What?  You've never heard that?  You've never even heard of Valencia County?  —  Well, I suppose that's not altogether surprising.
Michael Lee / Washington Examiner:
James Clyburn on polls showing increased black support for Trump: ‘I will have to pray for them’  —  Democratic Rep. James Clyburn said he would “pray” for any black voters who cast a ballot for President Trump in this year's election.  —  During an interview with Fox News's Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum …
Aubrey Wieber / Anchorage Daily News:
Gross campaign, Anti-Defamation League call on Sullivan to remove ad seen as anti-Semitic  —  An ad from Sen. Dan Sullivan's campaign came under fire over the weekend after several organizations called it anti-Semitic.  —  The ad shows Sullivan's challenger, Al Gross, holding a bunch of money, and standing behind a pile of $100 bills.
Discussion: Jewish Insider
CREW:
Sixteen Trump administration officials violated the law to boost Trump campaign in October … During the month of October, at least 16 Trump administration officials have violated the Hatch Act a total of more than 60 times, in an unprecedented and escalating assault on the rule of law and the democratic process.
Emma Colton / Washington Examiner:
Maxine Waters: ‘I will never ever forgive’ black voters who vote for Trump  —  Rep. Maxine Waters said she will “never ever forgive” black voters who vote for President Trump's reelection.  —  “He's a racist.  He does not have any appreciation for black people, and black women, in particular.
Discussion: REVOLT, redstate.com and The Federalist
CNN:
How the exit polls will work in a pandemic  —  How a contested election could play out  —  (CNN)News media and election watchers have long relied on exit polling to tell them who voted and why they support their chosen candidate on election night, and despite the unprecedented challenges …
Discussion: FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Jaffe / American Prospect:
Workers Rally Against Trump's Broken Promises  —  At shuttered plants across America, workers have been activated to speak the truth about the hollowness of the past four years.  —  Workers protested outside General Motors' sprawling Lordstown assembly plant near Youngstown, Ohio, on March 6, 2019, the plant's last day of production.
Ben Geman / Axios:
Trump's Paris agreement endgame is here  —  On Nov. 4, the U.S. will have bailed (pretty sure that's the precise diplomatic term) on the Paris climate agreement, but the date's significance depends almost entirely on what happens a day earlier.  —  Driving the news: Wednesday marks a year since …
Discussion: Associated Press
 
 
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 More Items: 
Peter Wehner / The Atlantic:
Biden May Be Just the Person America Needs
Joseph Menn / Reuters:
QAnon received earlier boost from Russian accounts on Twitter, archives show
New York Times:
What to Expect From Facebook, Twitter and YouTube on Election Day
New York Times:
States Undercount Positive Rapid Tests, Masking the Spread of Disease
Robb Sinn / The Federalist:
Under Trump, Americans Have Seen Their Best Wage Growth In 40 Years
Jeff Stein / Washington Post:
U.S. economy faces severe strains after election with Washington potentially paralyzed
 Earlier Items: 
The Daily Beast:
COVID Is Trump's Undoing. He Truly Thinks He Nailed it.
Discussion: Raw Story
Politico:
POLITICO Playbook: One day more  —  DRIVING THE DAY  —  HAPPY MONDAY and welcome to election week!
Margaret Sullivan / Washington Post:
Election Day will be the media's D-Day. The skill we need most is the one we've never mastered.
Jennifer Jacobs / Bloomberg:
Trump's Dismissal of Covid Risk Paved Way to White House Outbreak
Discussion: Business Insider
James Glanz / New York Times:
Tests Show Genetic Signature of Virus That May Have Infected President Trump
Discussion: Balloon Juice
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Financial Times:
Similarweb: Bluesky app usage in the US and UK grew ~300% to 3.5M DAUs after Nov. 5; Threads now has 1.5x Bluesky's DAUs in the US, down from 5x before Nov. 5

Peter White / Deadline:
Fox and Hulu extend their content partnership, including in-season streaming rights for Fox's programming; sources: the deal is worth $1.5B over four years

Shawn Musgrave / The Intercept:
A US federal court allows The Intercept's claim that the DMCA stops OpenAI from stripping a story's title or byline but dismisses its claims against Microsoft

 
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