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3:40 PM ET, November 2, 2020

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Vicky Prodeline / Monmouth University Polling …:
Biden Holds Lead Despite Trump Gains in Swing Counties  —  Biden trusted more to handle pandemic  —  West Long Branch, NJ - Joe Biden holds a 5-point to 7-point lead over Donald Trump among likely voters in Pennsylvania, according to the Monmouth ("Mon-muth") University Poll.
RELATED:
Mark Murray / NBC News:
Final NBC/Marist state polls show close races in Pennsylvania and Arizona  —  WASHINGTON — Democrat Joe Biden holds a narrow lead over President Donald Trump in the all-important battleground state of Pennsylvania, while the two candidates are tied in Arizona, according to the final NBC News …
Discussion: The Hill and Politico
QU Poll:
Florida And Ohio: Biden Has The Edge Over Trump, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Nationally, Biden Maintains A Strong Lead  —  On the eve of Election Day 2020, former Vice President Joe Biden has narrow leads over President Donald Trump in Florida and Ohio, according to the final Quinnipiac …
Discussion: ABC News and Al Jazeera
Glenn Thrush / New York Times:
2020 Election Live Updates: Early Votes Near 100 Million as Turnout Heads Toward a Record
New York Times:
How Do Donalds Vote?  Take Our Name Quiz to Find Out  —  We found some unexpected trends when we sorted our polling data by first name.  —  Over the past two months, The New York Times and Siena College have conducted polls in almost every battleground state, creating a large database of likely voters and their preferences.
Paul LeBlanc / CNN:
Federal authorities expected to erect ‘non-scalable’ fence around White House  —  Washington (CNN)Federal authorities are expected to put back into place a “non-scalable” fence around the entire perimeter of the White House on Monday as law enforcement and other agencies prepare …
RELATED:
N'dea Yancey-Bragg / USA Today:
‘Non-scalable’ White House fence, military on standby: Police anticipate election protests
Hans Nichols / Axios:
Biden campaign: “Under no scenario” will Trump be declared winner on election night  —  The Biden campaign is preparing for a long election night, and is warning the country — and the media — to ignore any victory declaration from President Trump before all the ballots are counted.
RELATED:
Tim Miller / The Bulwark:
November Surprise: Trump to Fire Fauci After Election  —  Trump ensures the campaign's final news cycle is about his virus trutherism.  —  At the end of a one-day, five-stop coronavirus superspreader tour extending from the Canadian border to the Gulf of Mexico, the president of the United States …
RELATED:
NBC News:
Trump lashes out after FBI announces investigation of Biden bus incident
Brian Beutler / Crooked Media:
Trump Has No Free-and-Fair Path to Re-election  —  At no point since Donald Trump filed his re-election paperwork on inauguration day in 2017 has he or his campaign acted with the purpose of winning the most votes, or even of convincing people that he'd be the popular favorite in 2020.
Greg Sargent / Washington Post:
Trump just revealed his plot to steal the election.  Here's a way to stop him.  —  President Trump has revealed his endgame in all its corrupt glory.  If Trump is on track to losing once all the votes are counted, he will seek to invalidate as many ballots as possible …
Discussion: Axios, Fox News and FiveThirtyEight
New York Times:
As Election Day Arrives, Trump Shifts Between Combativeness and Grievance  —  The president is sounding notes of bravado and exasperation at the end of a divisive campaign.  But he may have severed himself from the political realities of a country in crisis.
Aja Romano / Vox:
The 2020 general election has arrived  —  President Donald Trump talks with reporters outside the White House.  He faces Joe Biden in the presidential election on November 3.  Sarah Silbiger/Getty Images  —  All you need to know for this crucial Election Day.  —  It's finally here.
RELATED:
Barton Gellman / The Atlantic:
How Trump Could Attempt a Coup  —  A wretched presidential campaign has played out at last, but Election Day is not how this story ends.  Unable to overtake his opponent in the polls, Donald Trump decided months ago to run against the election itself.  That race does not conclude when the ballots are counted.
Discussion: Summit News, Vox, The Guardian and Raw Story
New York Times:
Needle Update: What to Expect on Election Night  —  We'll have live estimates for Florida, Georgia and North Carolina.  —  For many Times readers, the memory of election night in 2016 is inseparable from the image of a semicircular chart that has since become known — affectionately or not — as “the needle.”
Discussion: OutKick and Daily Kos
Tucker Higgins / CNBC:
Supreme Court sides with activist DeRay McKesson in lawsuit over officer injured at protest  — The Supreme Court on Monday sided with the prominent Black Lives Matter activist DeRay McKesson, who is fending off a lawsuit from a police officer injured at a protest that McKesson attended.
Discussion: Axios, CNN, Raw Story and USA Today
RELATED:
Murray Waas / New York Magazine:
How Trump and Barr's October Surprise Went Bust  —  On September 10, Nora Dannehy resigned as the deputy to John Durham, the federal prosecutor investigating the government's probe into the Trump campaign and Russia during the 2016 election.  Dannehy left her post and the Justice Department …
Sara Fischer / Axios:
Twitter names 7 outlets to call election results  —  Twitter on Monday provided more details about its policies around tweets that declare election results, and named the seven outlets it will lean on to help it determine whether a race is officially called.
Henry Olsen / Washington Post:
My predictions for the 2020 presidential and congressional races  —  Henry Olsen is a Washington Post columnist and a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center.  —  “These are the times that try men's souls.”  The opening line of Thomas Paine's Revolutionary War pamphlet series …
David Wasserman / The Cook Political Report:
Final House Ratings: Democrats Poised to Expand Majority by 10 to 15 Seats  —  After impeachment and a Supreme Court fight (that wasn't much of one) and amid a global pandemic and racial reckoning, many congressional candidates have struggled to control their own destiny.
Stephen Moore / The Hill:
Donald Trump wins on the economy  —  Is this the single greatest and fastest comeback from a recession in our history?  A strong case could be made that it is with the recent news that national economic output soared to the highest rate in more than seven decades.
Jessica Tarlov / The Hill:
Joe Biden is the right man for the job  —  It remains surprising that in the midst of the most volatile year in recent memory, the presidential race has remained stable.  Joe Biden has consistently led Donald Trump in national polling and in key swing states.
Jake Offenhartz / Gothamist:
Photos: Police Stand By As Caravans Of Trump Supporters Block Bridges, Threaten Counter-Protesters  —  Multiple caravans of Trump-supporting motorists cruised through the streets and highways of New York on Sunday, threatening counter-protesters and blocking traffic on major bridges, just two days ahead of the November 3rd election.
Discussion: Salon, CNN and Washington Examiner
BBC:
Vladimir Marugov murder: Russian ‘Sausage King’ killed in sauna with a crossbow  —  A Russian oligarch, nicknamed The Sausage King, has been murdered with a crossbow, investigators say.  —  Vladimir Marugov and his partner were in an outdoor sauna when they were attacked, reportedly by two masked assailants.
Ben Smith / New York Times:
It's the End of an Era for the Media, No Matter Who Wins the Election  —  Trump made the legacy media great again.  Here's what's next for them.  —  There's a media phenomenon the old-time blogger Mickey Kaus calls “overism”: articles in the week before the election whose premise …
Max Boot / Washington Post:
The work of the Never Trumpers is just beginning  —  What a weird, wild ride it has been — and it's not over yet.  —  When Donald Trump began running for the presidency on June 15, 2015, I never imagined he would win the Republican primaries, much less the general election.
Axios:
A decades-long blue wave  —  Young voters, projected to turn out overwhelmingly for Joe Biden, could provide a huge advantage for Democrats not just this for this election, but for decades to come.  —  Driving the news: Pollsters and political scientists have been poring over two new reports …
Declan Leary / The American Conservative:
Sacha Baron Cohen, Propagandist  —  CIA contacts, a web of lies, and a robust propaganda operation.  It's time to start asking questions about Borat's methods—and his goals.  —  Ayman Abu Aita is a family man.  For years, he was a grocer by trade, running his shop in Bethlehem while serving …
Wall Street Journal:
Doctors Begin to Crack Covid's Mysterious Long-Term Effects  —  Severe fatigue, memory lapses, heart problems affect patients who weren't that badly hit initially; 'It's been so long'  —  Nearly a year into the global coronavirus pandemic, scientists, doctors and patients are beginning …
Oriana Gonzalez / Axios:
Judge blocks Trump campaign's effort to stop mail-in ballot counting in Las Vegas  —  A Nevada judge on Monday rejected a lawsuit from President Trump's re-election campaign that sought to temporarily halt the processing of mail-in ballots in Clark County, which includes Las Vegas.
Aubrey Wieber / Anchorage Daily News:
Gross campaign, Anti-Defamation League call on Sullivan to remove ad seen as anti-Semitic  —  An ad from Sen. Dan Sullivan's campaign came under fire over the weekend after several organizations called it anti-Semitic.  —  The ad shows Sullivan's challenger, Al Gross, holding a bunch of money, and standing behind a pile of $100 bills.
Russell Berman / The Atlantic:
Trump's Risky Bet on Rural America  —  LEVANT, Maine—Hardly anyone knew that President Donald Trump was on his way here.  And among those who did get a whiff of the news in advance, even fewer knew his destination was Treworgy Family Orchard in Levant, a tiny rural town about 10 miles northwest of Bangor.
Discussion: Raw Story
The Dworkin Report:
Speaker Pelosi reveals the plan for investigating Trump's abuses of power  —  Scott speaks with Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) about what's next for the House's investigation of Donald Trump over his administration's failed coronavirus response has killed over 235,000 Americans.
 
 
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 More Items: 
J.K. Dineen / San Francisco Chronicle:
‘Like local terrorism’: Trump caravan roars into Marin City, angering residents
Discussion: The Daily Beast and Breitbart
Marina Villeneuve / Associated Press:
New York set for historic final day in fraught 2020 election
Discussion: Jacobin and abc7NY
Jessica Huseman / ProPublica:
So Far, Trump's “Army” of Poll Watchers Looks More Like a Small Platoon
Erik Larson / Bloomberg:
Former Trump Land-Use Lawyer Ordered to Give Documents to N.Y. AG
Discussion: Raw Story
Laura Barrón-López / Politico:
‘Arizona is clearly in play’ for Biden
Discussion: Raw Story
Inez Feltscher Stepman / The American Mind:
A Former NeverTrumper Casts Her Ballot
 Earlier Items: 
Joseph Menn / Reuters:
QAnon received earlier boost from Russian accounts on Twitter, archives show
Discussion: CANNONFIRE
Mario Canseco / Research Co.:
Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Set to Flip in U.S. Election
Discussion: Vox and Political Wire
Tim Alberta / Politico:
This Place Has Picked Every President Since 1952. Is Its Streak About to End?
Reed Williams / Richmond Times-Dispatch:
Witnesses describe clash at Lee Circle between caravan of Trump supporters and a crowd of opponents
Discussion: Raw Story
Tim Hrenchir / Topeka Capital-Journal:
Man thought people were stealing Donald Trump signs; three shot
Discussion: Daily Kos and The Hill