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3:49 PM ET, November 4, 2020

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Associated Press:
2020 Latest: McConnell says it'll take while to count votes  —  Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is discounting President Donald Trump's early claim that he'd already won the election, saying it's going to take a while for states to conduct their vote counts.
RELATED:
Jonathan Chait / New York Magazine:
Joe Biden Is on Track to Win the Electoral College  —  Joe Biden has taken the lead in the Electoral College and is on track to win the 2020 election.  President Trump no longer has any incentive to stop counting the votes, because Biden is currently ahead in enough states to make him president.
Ryan Lizza / Politico:
Biden looks screwed even if he wins  —  This is not the outcome Democrats expected.  —  Despite many bold predictions of a rout in which Democrats gained (or re-gained) Trumpian red territory of 2016, as of early Wednesday only one state — Arizona — had flipped from red to blue.
New York Times:
Can Biden Still Win?  Can Trump Still Win?  Yes.  Here Are the Remaining Paths.  —  The president was able to close off several avenues to an early Biden win, but the former vice president still has a number of options.  —  Joseph R. Biden Jr. started election night with many paths …
Politico:
POLITICO Playbook: What blue wave?
Jordan Williams / The Hill:   Error in Arizona: 86 percent of vote in, not 98 percent
Quint Forgey / Politico:
Trump's premature victory claim prompts quick rebukes
New York Times:
Presidential Election Results
Patrick Marley / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel:
With a tight margin in Wisconsin, attention turns to a potential recount
Discussion: Vox, Washington Post and Breitbart
New York Times:
Michigan Presidential Election Results
Discussion: Washington Post, Raw Story and Forbes
New York Times:
Americans Conclude an Election Like No Other, and It's a Tight One
Kadia Goba / BuzzFeed News:
Donald Trump Is Lying About The Early Election Results  —  Trump could still win the election legitimately, with votes still being counted.  Early Wednesday morning, he tried to steal it.  —  Copy  —  WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump, in a 2:30 a.m. address during …
RELATED:
Albert Hunt / The Hill:
This election is headed to the courts, but Democrats have lawyers too  —  The Democrats won't be ill-prepared or out-lawyered this time, as they were in earlier contested presidential elections, and clearly, what became a tight and dispiriting race for Democrats will be settled by high-powered legal fights.
The Hill:
Trump prematurely declares victory, says he'll go to Supreme Court
Mark Sherman / Associated Press:
Trump seeks to stop voting, but only counting remains
Audrey McNamara / CBS News:
Pennsylvania has counted nearly half of all mail-in ballots, secretary of state says
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
The Remaining Vote in Pennsylvania Appears to Be Overwhelmingly for Biden  —  The president leads by nearly 700,000 votes, but there are 1.4 million absentee votes outstanding.  —  Joe Biden has won absentee ballots counted in Pennsylvania by an overwhelming margin so far, according to data from the Secretary of State early Wednesday.
RELATED:
Dave Boucher / Detroit Free Press:
Roughly 80,000 Michigan ballots still being counted as officials preach patience  —  With roughly 96% of the vote in, Democratic nominee Joe Biden pulled further ahead of President Donald Trump with a 36,000 votes early Wednesday morning, but there were still more than 80,000 ballots that needed …
Politico:
‘Dumpster fire’: House Democrats trade blame after Tuesday's damage  —  House Democrats are asking themselves one question after Tuesday's election stunner: What the hell happened?  —  In the House, bleary-eyed Democrats were still sorting out the wreckage when they awoke Wednesday with dozens …
RELATED:
Stephanie Akin / Roll Call:
House losses all have come on Democratic side so far  —  Wins in 2018 gave GOP more targets, and some fell  —  With more than 50 races still uncalled as of early Wednesday afternoon, House Democrats hoping to grow their majority had failed to defeat a single Republican incumbent …
Politico:
Republicans clinging to Senate majority as Dems under-perform
Sarah Ellison / Washington Post:
Trump campaign was livid when Fox News called Arizona for Biden — and tensions boiled over on-air  —  Fox anchor Bill Hemmer was gearing up to do another review for viewers of a map of the United States that at 11:20 p.m. was looking surprisingly positive for President Trump when he did a double take in the lower left-hand quadrant.
RELATED:
Matt Wilstein / The Daily Beast:
Fox News Legal Experts Warn Trump's False Victory Claims Will Only Hurt Himself  —  Two separate Trump-friendly legal analysts told Fox News that the president's false declarations of victory could end up backfiring in a major way.  —  In the moments after President Donald …
Discussion: Raw Story, Washington Post and Mediaite
David A. Graham / The Atlantic:
The Polling Crisis Is a Catastrophe for American Democracy  —  Even with the results of the presidential contest still out, there's a clear loser in this election: polling.  —  Surveys badly missed the results, predicting an easy win for former Vice President Joe Biden, a Democratic pickup in the Senate …
RELATED:
Sophia Waterfield / Newsweek:
Nate Silver Faces Wrath of Twitter After Election Results Once Again Go Against His Predictions  —  Americans called for FiveThirtyEight founder and editor-in-chief Nate Silver to retire after President Donald Trump won states that were predicted to instead go to Joe Biden.
Discussion: Washington Examiner
Joshua Geltzer / Washington Post:
Trump says he's going to court.  He has absolutely no basis to sue.  —  Courts won't stop vote counting just because the president wants them to  —  Even as President Trump falsely claimed electoral victory early Wednesday morning, he implicitly acknowledged that the election results are not …
Discussion: Axios, Breitbart and Raw Story
RELATED:
David Wasserman / The Cook Political Report:
House Republicans Defy the Polls, Narrow Democrats' Majority  —  District-level polling has rarely led us — or the parties and groups investing in House races — so astray.  Prior to Tuesday, most Republican strategists were privately resigned to the prospect of a double-digit loss of seats.
Discussion: Washington Examiner and KRDO
Aaron Gordon / VICE:
Why the Post Office's Last-Minute Ballot Crisis Isn't as Dire as It Seems  —  The USPS has been intentionally making its own ballot delivery statistics look worse so it can deliver them faster.  —  Aaron Gordon  —  Many Americans have been waiting—perhaps even expecting …
RELATED:
Matthew Chapman / Raw Story:
USPS statistics on mail-in ballots ‘look worse than they actually are’: report
Discussion: VICE, REVOLT and HillReporter.com
Margaret Sullivan / Washington Post:
We still don't know much about this election — except that the media and pollsters blew it again  —  By early morning Wednesday, there was a lot that millions of anxious Americans didn't know.  —  Mainly, they didn't know who the president-elect is.  That, in itself, wasn't unexpected, nor is it terrible.
New York Times:
National Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted  —  The numbers on this page are preliminary estimates from exit polls conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool.  These surveys interviewed voters outside of polling places or early voting sites, or by phone.
Tom LoBianco / Business Insider:
Trump team readies for recount war with White House chief of staff serving as point man and an outside law firm that's home to Reince Priebus … - President Trump's campaign is preparing for a recount legal war with 2020 staffer Justin Clark and White House chief of staff Mark Meadows directing …
Susan B. Glasser / New Yorker:
Biden May Win, But Trump Remains the President of Red America  —  His attacks on “the rigged election” are a worst-case scenario for the country.  —  For months, Joe Biden has been campaigning with endless variations on a simple theme: vote and we can end this.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Fox News:
Susan Collins claims victory in Maine Senate race, Sara Gideon concedes
Nihal Krishan / Washington Examiner:
Major liberal ballot measures fail in California
Discussion: Politico, New York Times and The Hill
Alayna Treene / Axios:
Kevin McCarthy gears up to run for Speaker in 2022
Discussion: Politico
 Earlier Items: 
Jan Cienski / Politico:
Poland's government backed into a corner over abortion
Discussion: Balkan Insight and Jacobin
April Siese / CBS News:
Mississippi votes in favor of adopting new flag
Discussion: The Clarion-Ledger
Ben Brasch / Atlanta Journal-Constitution:
Fulton, Gwinnett counties struggle to count absentee ballots
Discussion: Vox, UPI, Politico and Florida Phoenix
 

 
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