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6:30 PM ET, November 4, 2020

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Ryan Lizza / Politico:
Biden looks screwed even if he wins  —  This is not the outcome Democrats expected.  —  Despite many bold predictions of a rout in which Democrats gained (or re-gained) Trumpian red territory of 2016, as of early Wednesday only one state — Arizona — had flipped from red to blue.
RELATED:
Associated Press:
2020 Latest: McConnell says it'll take while to count votes  —  Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is discounting President Donald Trump's early claim that he'd already won the election, saying it's going to take a while for states to conduct their vote counts.
Jonathan Chait / New York Magazine:
Joe Biden Is on Track to Win the Electoral College  —  Joe Biden has taken the lead in the Electoral College and is on track to win the 2020 election.  President Trump no longer has any incentive to stop counting the votes, because Biden is currently ahead in enough states to make him president.
Vaughn Hillyard / NBC News:
Arizona's Maricopa County has 605,000 uncounted ballots, some results released tonight  —  Data from Arizona's Maricopa County shows that there are still about 605,000 uncounted ballots, and results for a bulk of them are expected to come out in two batches starting around 9 p.m. ET, which is 7 p.m. local time.
Discussion: Reuters and The Daily Caller
Mark Sherman / Associated Press:
Trump seeks to stop voting, but only counting remains  —  WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump says he'll take the presidential election to the Supreme Court, but it's unclear what he means in a country in which vote tabulations routinely continue beyond Election Day, and states largely set the rules for when the count has to end.
Dan Pfeiffer / The Message Box:
Biden is Winning, Act Like It  —  Democrats need to push past our 2016 emotional trauma and project confidence.  —  4 hr  —  Last night went exactly like we thought it would for most of the last six months.  Like many others, I desperately hoped for a quick Biden victory with wins in Florida and North Carolina.
Brett Samuels / The Hill:
Trump campaign sues to halt vote counting in Michigan  —  President Trump's reelection campaign on Wednesday said it was filing a lawsuit to halt the counting of votes in Michigan until it is given access to observe the tabulation process.  —  Campaign manager Bill Stepien alleged that it had not been given …
Jordan Williams / The Hill:
Error in Arizona: 86 percent of vote in, not 98 percent  —  An error was found in Edison Research data for the results of Arizona's presidential contest, according to New York Times editor Patrick LaForge.  —  As of early Wednesday, only 86 percent of the state's votes have been counted, versus 98 percent.
Brian Slodysko / Associated Press:
EXPLAINER: States still in play and what makes them that way
Discussion: CBS News
Quint Forgey / Politico:
Trump's premature victory claim prompts quick rebukes
Ian MacDougall / ProPublica:
If Trump Tries to Sue His Way to Election Victory, Here's What Happens  —  It's easy enough for the Trump campaign to file a lawsuit claiming improprieties, but a lot harder to provide evidence of wrongdoing or a convincing legal argument.  Here's what you need to know as the election lawsuits start to mount.
RELATED:
CBS News:
Watch Live: Trump campaign hosts press conference in Philadelphia
Discussion: Washington Examiner and Fox News
Albert Hunt / The Hill:
This election is headed to the courts, but Democrats have lawyers too
Discussion: Washington Post and POLITICUSUSA
CBS News:
2020 Election Live Updates: Pivotal states too close to call as race hangs in the balance
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
The Remaining Vote in Pennsylvania Appears to Be Overwhelmingly for Biden  —  The president leads by nearly 700,000 votes, but there are 1.4 million absentee votes outstanding.  —  Joe Biden has won absentee ballots counted in Pennsylvania by an overwhelming margin so far, according to data from the Secretary of State early Wednesday.
RELATED:
New York Times:
Can Biden Still Win? Can Trump Still Win? Yes. Here Are the Remaining Paths.
Politico:
‘Dumpster fire’: House Democrats trade blame after Tuesday's damage  —  House Democrats are asking themselves one question after Tuesday's election stunner: What the hell happened?  —  In the House, bleary-eyed Democrats were still sorting out the wreckage when they awoke Wednesday with dozens …
RELATED:
The Hill:
Centrist Democrats talk leadership changes after negative election results
Discussion: Breitbart and Sean Hannity
Sarah Ellison / Washington Post:
Trump campaign was livid when Fox News called Arizona for Biden — and tensions boiled over on-air  —  Fox anchor Bill Hemmer was gearing up to do another review for viewers of a map of the United States that at 11:20 p.m. was looking surprisingly positive for President Trump when he did a double take in the lower left-hand quadrant.
RELATED:
Greg Haas / KLAS:
Nevada: Secretary of State's office will release more election results later today due to interest in Nevada  —  LAS VEGAS (KLAS) — Although Nevada officials said early Wednesday that no new election results would be released until 9 a.m. on Nov. 5, the Secretary of State's office is now saying …
RELATED:
David Wasserman / The Cook Political Report:
House Republicans Defy the Polls, Narrow Democrats' Majority  —  District-level polling has rarely led us — or the parties and groups investing in House races — so astray.  Prior to Tuesday, most Republican strategists were privately resigned to the prospect of a double-digit loss of seats.
Discussion: Washington Examiner and USA Today
RELATED:
Stephanie Akin / Roll Call:
House losses all have come on Democratic side so far
Discussion: New York Times
Axios:
A safe, sane way to navigate the vote count
Andy Sullivan / Reuters:
If he wins White House, Biden's ambitions likely blocked by Republican Senate  —  WASHINGTON (Reuters) - If Democrat Joe Biden wins the U.S. presidency, a divided Congress may prevent him from enacting major priorities like expanding healthcare, fighting climate change and providing aid …
RELATED:
BBC:
US markets soar despite election uncertainty
Sophia Waterfield / Newsweek:
Nate Silver Faces Wrath of Twitter After Election Results Once Again Go Against His Predictions  —  Americans called for FiveThirtyEight founder and editor-in-chief Nate Silver to retire after President Donald Trump won states that were predicted to instead go to Joe Biden.
Discussion: Washington Examiner
RELATED:
Washington Post:
Coronavirus updates: United States tops 100,000 new coronavirus cases in a day for first time  —  BREAKING NEWS: The United States has for the first time surpassed 100,000 new coronavirus infections in a single day, as a steadily rising number of hospitalizations threatens to again overwhelm some health systems.
Discussion: CNN and hotair.com
Detroit News:
New poll challengers barred by police at Detroit vote counting center … The GOP challengers also had a verbal altercation with an unidentified elections worker as they were told they couldn't replace existing monitors from their party.  City police officers briefly locked the doors following the altercation.
George Packer / The Atlantic:
Face the Bitter Truth  —  We don't yet know the outcome of the election, but its meaning is already clear.  We are two countries, and neither of them is going to be conquered or disappear anytime soon.  The outcome of the 2016 election was not a historical fluke or result of foreign subversion …
New York Times:
National Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted  —  The numbers on this page are preliminary estimates from exit polls conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool.  These surveys interviewed voters outside of polling places or early voting sites, or by phone.
Jennifer Elias / CNBC:
YouTube refuses to remove video that appears to violate its policies  — Google-owned YouTube refused to take down a video that falsely claims Trump won the Presidential election and democrats committed voter fraud.  — The company would not provide a response as to why the video doesn't violate YouTube policies.
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 More Items: 
Julio Rosas / Townhall:
Joe Biden Wins Wisconsin as the Trump Campaign Calls for a Recount
Jessica Gresko / Associated Press:
A more conservative court hears same-sex foster parent case
Discussion: Washington Post, Reuters and Bloomberg
The Philadelphia Inquirer:
Biden says he ‘feels very good about Pennsylvania’ as votes are still being counted
Arizona Republic:
About 600K ballots left to count in Arizona, The Republic estimates as of 11 a.m. Wednesday
 Earlier Items: 
Tom LoBianco / Business Insider:
Trump team readies for recount war with White House chief of staff serving as point man and an outside law firm that's home to Reince Priebus
Nihal Krishan / Washington Examiner:
Major liberal ballot measures fail in California
N'dea Yancey-Bragg / USA Today:
Black Lives Matter activist Cori Bush becomes Missouri's first Black congresswoman
 

 
From Techmeme:

Mark Gurman / Bloomberg:
Thoughts on Apple TV's history and future; sources: a larger-than-usual number of features scheduled for iOS 19 have been postponed to iOS 19.4 in spring 2026

Financial Times:
Similarweb: Bluesky app usage in the US and UK grew ~300% to 3.5M DAUs after Nov. 5; Threads now has 1.5x Bluesky's DAUs in the US, down from 5x before Nov. 5

Wall Street Journal:
Sources: TikTok CEO Shou Chew, who has known Elon Musk for several years, has sought Musk's counsel in recent weeks on the incoming Trump administration
 
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