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4:05 PM ET, November 1, 2021

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
A Last Word on Virginia  —  Dear Readers: Join us Thursday, Nov. 4 from 6:30 p.m. to 8 p.m. for our annual American Democracy Conference.  The virtual event will begin with a presentation by Project Home Fire's Larry Schack and Mick McWilliams on our ongoing polling and data analytics project.
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Bob Barnard / WTTG-TV:
FOX 5 EXCLUSIVE: Youngkin ahead of McAuliffe in FOX 5 exclusive Virginia gubernatorial race poll  —  FOX 5 EXCLUSIVE: Exclusive new poll shows Youngkin ahead of McAuliffe in Virginia's gubernatorial race  —  The results of an exclusive new poll reveal just how close Virginia's gubernatorial …
Jeff Greenfield / Politico:
Virginia Buries an Enduring Political Myth  —  The political universe Tuesday night will look a lot like the start of a NASCAR auto race, with the Virginia governor's election serving as the starting gun for the next year — or two or three — of campaign diagnostics.
Allahpundit / HotAir:
On second thought: This Virginia race isn't about Trump, says McAuliffe
Discussion: Fox News, Townhall and Washington Post
Cleve R. Wootson Jr / Washington Post:
Virginia went big for Biden, but on eve of another pivotal election, many voters say Democrats have not delivered for them
Discussion: Breitbart and CBS News
Politico:
Last-ditch fight for Black votes could swing Virginia
Emily Brooks / Washington Examiner:
Trump urges Virginians to vote for Youngkin while casting doubt on state voting system
Ian Millhiser / Vox:
An unusual alliance appears likely to fracture Texas's abortion ban  —  Most of the justices seem to understand that SB 8 is a direct attack on the Constitution.  —  The abortion providers suing to block SB 8, Texas's aggressive anti-abortion law, came into Monday's Supreme Court argument with four votes on their side.
RELATED:
Adam Liptak / New York Times:
Supreme Court Appears Open to Letting Providers Challenge Texas Abortion Law  —  The Supreme Court heard two challenges on Monday to the law, which bars most abortions in Texas after about six weeks of pregnancy.  The first was brought by abortion providers in Texas, and the second was brought by the Justice Department.
Robert Barnes / Washington Post:
Supreme Court turns down chance to consider whether a Catholic hospital can be sued over transgender rights
Discussion: UPI, National Review and NBC News
Marist Poll:
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist National Poll: Trust in Elections, Threat to Democracy, Biden Approval, November 2021  —  Americans See a Serious Threat to Democracy; Trust Elections Largely on Partisan Basis  —  A majority of Americans (62%) say they will trust the results of the 2024 election …
RELATED:
Domenico Montanaro / NPR:
Most Americans trust elections are fair, but sharp divides exist, a new poll finds
Washington Post:
Manchin calls on Democrats to slow down on $1.75 trillion spending package, putting imminent House vote in jeopardy  —  West Virginia Democrat raised concerns about debt and inflation and demanded that House lawmakers approve a separate infrastructure bill.  —  Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.) …
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Allahpundit / HotAir:
Whoa: Manchin slams the brakes on reconciliation, tells House to stop holding the bipartisan infrastructure bill hostage
Susan Ferrechio / Washington Examiner:
Manchin threatens to scuttle spending deal again, accuses Democrats of playing ‘shell games’
Discussion: Politico and CBS News
Juan Williams / The Hill:
‘Parents’ rights' is code for white race politics  —  After white supremacists spilled blood in defense of keeping up Confederate statues in 2017, the GOP candidate for governor of Virginia, Ed Gillespie, said the monuments should stay up as a matter of heritage and history.
Discussion: Reason, The Daily Caller and Twitchy
RELATED:
Jeremiah Poff / Washington Examiner:
Juan Williams says ‘parents’ rights' is ‘code’ for racism and defends NSBA domestic terrorists letter
Discussion: Fox News
Tim Miller / The Bulwark:
Donald Trump Is Now the Odds-On Favorite to Be President in 2025  —  Be very afraid.  —  So Donald Trump is now the odds-on favorite to be president of the United States in 2025.  —  I know that lede sentence was also the headline, but I wanted you to read it one more time just to let it really settle …
Richard Hanania / Richard Hanania's Newsletter:
Liberals Read, Conservatives Watch TV  —  Explaining why Trump emerged on the right, why only liberals debate filibuster reform, how anti-vax became a partisan issue, how David Shor is half right, “Dems are the real racists” and much else. … How are conservatives and liberals different?
The Atlantic:
What Will Drive China to War?  —  President Xi Jinping declared in July that those who get in the way of China's ascent will have their “heads bashed bloody against a Great Wall of steel.”  The People's Liberation Army Navy is churning out ships at a rate not seen since World War II …
Natasha Khan / Wall Street Journal:
China Locks 30,000 Visitors Inside Shanghai Disneyland After One Guest Got Covid-19  —  Guests are required to take coronavirus test to exit after a positive case shuts down the park  —  HONG KONG—Shanghai Disneyland was temporarily shut down from Sunday after a visitor was found to be Covid-19-positive …
Discussion: CBS News, TheBlaze, NPR and ABC7
Lindsay Ellis / Chronicle of Higher Education:
U. of Florida's Accreditor Will Investigate Denial of Professors' Voting-Rights Testimony  —  The University of Florida's accreditor plans to investigate the flagship campus over the revelation that administrators denied three professors' requests to serve as paid experts in a voting-rights lawsuit.
Discussion: Washington Post, Daily Kos and Reason
Kaitlan Collins / CNN:
Emergency vaccine rule for large employers will be issued ‘in the coming days’  —  Fauci: ‘Very, very few’ religions actually oppose vaccines  —  (CNN)The Federal Register will publish within days the Labor Department's rule requiring private businesses with 100 or more employees to vaccinate …
Discussion: UPI, POLITICUSUSA and The Daily Caller
RELATED:
Spencer Kimball / CNBC:   Biden administration to publish details on Covid vaccine mandate for businesses in coming days
Terry Jones / Issues & Insights:
I&I/TIPP Poll: Just 42% Now Think Biden Is ‘Mentally Sharp’  —  Concerns about President Joe Biden's mental abilities have gone mainstream.  —  Although the press has largely overlooked Biden's gaffes, his disastrous performance at a decidedly friendly CNN townhall prompted the Wall Street Journal …
Jeff Stein / Washington Post:
Treasury Secretary Yellen expresses openness to defusing debt ceiling without GOP votes  —  After some party leaders ruled out approach last month, Yellen says Democrats-only budget process could prove ‘viable’ way to tackle debt limit  —  SOMEWHERE OVER THE ALPS — Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen …
Discussion: Insider, Politico and Political Wire
The Boston Globe:
A CITY ON THE BRINK OF HISTORY  —  These six neighborhoods show Boston at a crossroads of old and new, a tug-of-war soon to be decided with Tuesday's historic mayoral election  —  The 2021 race for mayor of Boston began just over a year ago with a progressive city councilor promising a new vision …
Sara Fischer / Axios:
Big Tech finally reckons with climate denialism  —  Tech companies are cracking down on climate misinformation ahead of this year's United Nations COP26 climate summit, in an effort to get ahead of an expected surge in climate misinformation during the global conference.
Discussion: Twitchy and Protocol
Mark Thompson / CNN:
Barclays CEO Jes Staley quits after investigation into links with Jeffrey Epstein  —  London (CNN Business)The American chief executive of Barclays (BCS), Jes Staley, is stepping down with immediate effect following an investigation by British regulators into his relationship …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Hunter Woodall / Star Tribune:
Leading Minnesota Democrats skip campaigning against policing question
Eli Yokley / Morning Consult:
A Year Ahead of the Midterms, Suburban Erosion Has Driven Biden's State-by-State Decline
George Joseph / Gothamist:
Judge Tosses Staten Island Man's Conviction Following NYPD Drug Planting Allegations
Roger Kimball / Real Clear Politics:
The January 6 Insurrection Hoax
Discussion: Althouse
Virginia Aabram / Washington Examiner:
Sleepy Joe: Biden appears to nod off during climate conference opening remarks
 Earlier Items: 
Hannah Sparks / New York Post:
Bat named ‘Bird of the Year 2021’ in controversial decision
Waitman Wade Beorn / Washington Post:
Can aggressors be ‘victims’? Ideologues on the right think so.
Discussion: Raw Story
Glenn Youngkin / Fox News:
Parents matter in education - Virginia election will decide fate of students, schools
Discussion: Breitbart
Los Angeles Times:
The day Alec Baldwin shot Halyna Hutchins and Joel Souza
Mike Pearl / The Daily Beast:
This Is Where the First Climate Wars Will Break Out
David A. Graham / The Atlantic:
Josh Mandel Might Be Craven Enough to Win
Gary Fineout / Politico:
Florida Democrats anxious as DeSantis seems unbeatable
Discussion: Washington Examiner