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3:40 PM ET, October 19, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Upset Alert  —  Where to look out for surprising results; rating changes in Senate, House, and gubernatorial races  —  KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE  — As we approach Election Day, the basic fundamentals of this midterm may be reasserting themselves, to the benefit of Republicans.
RELATED:
Greg Sargent / Washington Post:
They were elected to stop Trump.  Now they're fighting for their lives.  —  As we hurtle into the final stretch of the midterm elections, many of the Democrats who were elected in the exhilarating 2018 wave election are now staring into the abyss of defeat.  And at the core of their plight sits an unnerving paradox.
Steven Shepard / Politico:
A slate of races now lean Republican in our latest forecast update
Discussion: RedState, Bloomberg and MLive.com
Jordain Carney / Politico:
Jim Jordan plots ‘big moments’ for GOP influence in the majority
Discussion: TheBlaze
Stephen Gutowski / The Reload:
Why I'm Joining CNN as an Analyst  —  I have signed a contract to be a contributor with CNN.  —  I'm excited about the opportunity to work with many solid reporters and reach a new audience.  I've long criticized how major media outlets have reported on firearms.
Maggie Haberman / New York Times:
In 2021 Video, Trump Asks, ‘Is This a Good Jewish Character Right Here?’  —  Donald Trump made bigoted remarks about Jews and Persians at an event in 2021, in a new video provided by a British documentary filmmaker.  —  Former President Donald J. Trump inquired whether a documentary filmmaker recording …
Julia Terruso / The Philadelphia Inquirer:
John Fetterman is in good health, his doctor says in a new medical report  —  John Fetterman's primary care physician said he continues to recover well from his stroke after an examination Friday, saying the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate “has no work restrictions and can work full duty in public office.”
RELATED:
Chuck Ross / Washington Free Beacon:
Bad Medicine: Doctor Granting Fetterman Clean Bill of Health Is a Campaign Donor
Kara Scannell / CNN:
Trump scheduled to appear Wednesday for deposition in E. Jean Carroll lawsuit  —  Former President Donald Trump is set to answer questions under oath Wednesday as part of the defamation lawsuit brought by former magazine columnist E. Jean Carroll.  —  Last week, a federal judge cleared …
Sebastian Murdock / HuffPost:
Arizona GOP Candidate Arrested For Allegedly Masturbating In Truck Near Preschool  —  Maricopa County officials say it's too late to remove Randy Kaufman from the ballot in the race for a college district board.  —  A GOP candidate running for an Arizona college district's governing board …
Discussion: Arizona Republic and Rolling Stone
Danielle Campoamor / TODAY.com:
Texas schools send parents DNA kits to identify their kids' bodies in emergencies  —  The state of Texas is sending public school students home with DNA kits designed to help their parents identify their children “in case of an emergency.”  —  In 2021, the Texas state legislature passed Senate Bill …
RELATED:
New York Times:
Bernie Sanders, Fearing Weak Democratic Turnout, Plans Midterms Blitz  —  Mr. Sanders said he thought the Democratic Party was “doing rather poorly” at selling itself to working-class voters.  —  Senator Bernie Sanders is planning an eight-state blitz with at least 19 events over the final …
Claudia Allen / BBC:
Braverman rebukes Truss in blistering resignation letter  —  Play video Watch: BBC News live coverage  —  Summary  — Suella Braverman resigns as home secretary in a face-to-face meeting with the prime minister  — It's unclear exactly why but the BBC has been told PM Liz Truss …
Washington Post:
Whites now more likely to die from covid than Blacks: Why the pandemic shifted  —  SOMERVILLE, Tenn. — Skill Wilson had amassed more than three decades of knowledge as a paramedic, first in Memphis and then in Fayette County.  Two places that felt like night and day.
Discussion: Balloon Juice
Dan Merica / CNN:
Walker as recently as August indicated he opposed exceptions to abortion, contrary to debate claim  —  Georgia Republican Senate nominee Herschel Walker said as recently as August that he opposes any exceptions to a ban on abortion, despite stating the opposite during his first and only debate …
Discussion: Fox News, Raw Story and IJR
New York Times:
‘The World According to Fox’: A C.E.O.'s Vision Gets Tested in Court  —  Suzanne Scott remade Fox News Media into a lucrative consumer brand.  But a $1.6 billion defamation suit against the company is testing her strategy and leadership.  —  Before the committee investigating …
Poppy Noor / The Guardian:
What a pregnancy actually looks like before 10 weeks - in pictures  —  In 13 US states, abortion is banned even in the earliest stages of pregnancy.  But we rarely see what such tissue really looks like  —  bortion is now banned or severely restricted in 14 states in the US …
Discussion: The Daily Caller and Althouse
Bill Lueders / The Bulwark:
Attack Ads Are Darkening the Skin Tone of Black Candidates  —  While those responsible claim innocent technical problems, the larger pattern is consistent.  So is the effect: heightened white racial anxieties.  —  It's working.  Once ahead in the polls, Democrat Mandela Barnes …
Discussion: The Hill
Zachary Petrizzo / The Daily Beast:
Marjorie Taylor Greene Tries to Take a Stand for ‘Confederate Soldiers’ Using Monument to Union Troops  —  'OUR NATION'S HISTORY!'  —  Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene tried to make a show of herself standing up for Confederate soldiers and “our nation's history” on Tuesday night but failed spectacularly …
Discussion: Occupy Democrats and Raw Story
Tatiana Siegel / Rolling Stone:
FBI Raids Star ABC News Producer's Home  —  Emmy-winning producer James Gordon Meek had his home raided by the FBI.  His colleagues say they haven't seen him since.  —  AT A MINUTE before 5 a.m. on April 27, ABC News' James Gordon Meek fired off a tweet with a single word: “FACTS.”
Tessa Weinberg / Missouri Independent:
‘Attempted intimidation’: Missouri AG sent five requests for MSU emails, records  —  The requests to Missouri State University came months ahead of two highly criticized open records requests Attorney General Eric Schmitt's office sent to the University of Missouri (Madeline Carter/Missouri Independent).
Wall Street Journal:
As Covid Hit, Washington Officials Traded Stocks With Exquisite Timing  —  Some sold in January 2020 when the government began mobilizing against the threat.  Others bought shares as a market-rescue plan was taking shape.
Chris Strohm / Bloomberg:
Trump Prosecutors See Evidence for Obstruction Charges  —  A group of Justice Department prosecutors believe there is sufficient evidence to charge Donald Trump with obstruction of justice, but the path to an actual indictment is far from clear.  —  The team that's part of the classified records probe …
Discussion: Washington Examiner and Raw Story
Nicholas Fandos / New York Times:
Zeldin Built His Profile Defending Trump.  Will New Yorkers Mind?  —  Lee Zeldin, a Republican congressman from Long Island, voted to overturn 2020 election results and blamed Democrats for Jan. 6 violence.  Now, he wants to lead New York State.  —  On the day the U.S. Capitol was ransacked …
Discussion: New York Post
The Guardian:
Suella Braverman departs as UK home secretary  —  Exclusive: Prime minister Liz Truss met Braverman in the House of Commons  —  Suella Braverman is understood to have departed as UK home secretary after Liz Truss cleared her diary and called off a planned visit amid desperate attempts to save …
Discussion: CNBC, UPI and Political Wire
Ed Pilkington / The Guardian:
Inside Steve Bannon's ‘disturbing’ quest to radically rewrite the US constitution  —  By taking over state legislatures, Republicans hope to pass conservative amendments that cannot be electorally challenged  —  teve Bannon, the former chief strategist in the Trump White House who is at the forefront …
Discussion: Raw Story
New York Times:
Where Have All the Men in Moscow Gone?  —  Across the capital, there are noticeably fewer men at restaurants, stores and social gatherings.  Many have been called up to fight in Ukraine.  Others have fled to avoid being drafted.  —  MOSCOW — Friday afternoons at the Chop-Chop Barbershop …
Eric Levitz / New York Magazine:
How the Diploma Divide Is Remaking American Politics  —  Education is at the heart of this country's many divisions.  —  Blue America is an increasingly wealthy and well-educated place.  —  Throughout the second half of the 20th century, Americans without college degrees were more likely than university graduates to vote Democratic.
Discussion: New Republic
Noah Wyhof-Rudnick / Cygnal:
Cygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Ohio Statewide - 10/19/22  —  A large majority - 70% of voters - believe the United States is heading in the wrong direction, with 48% saying the U.S. is definitely heading in the wrong direction.  Inflation and the cost of living is the top concern for 34% of voters …
Discussion: CBS News and Breitbart
Reuters:
Japan rushes to rearm with eye on 2027 - and China's Taiwan ambitions  —  Between China's 20th Communist Party Congress, that began Sunday, and the next one in 2027, Japan will undertake its biggest arms buildup since World War Two in a race to deter Beijing from war in East Asia …
Discussion: Washington Examiner
Jordan Fischer / wusa9.com:
Trial begins for Capitol Police officer accused of warning rioter to take down incriminating info  —  Prosecutors say USCP Officer Michael Angelo Riley obstructed a grand jury when he advised a Capitol rioter to delete information from a Facebook post.  —  WASHINGTON — The trial …
Discussion: NBC News and Insider
Henry Rodgers / The Daily Caller:
EXCLUSIVE: Congressional Black Caucus Backs White Democrat Frank Mrvan Over Black Republican Jennifer-Ruth Green  —  The Congressional Black Caucus (CBC) is throwing their support behind a white Democrat, despite the fact that he is being challenged by a black Republican, the Daily Caller has learned.
Discussion: Twitchy and Instapundit
Washington Free Beacon:
Biden Plans To Drain 15 Million Barrels From Depleted Oil Reserve  —  President Joe Biden said Wednesday the United States will sell 15 million barrels from the nation's Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the year's end and detailed a strategy to refill the stockpile when prices drop.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Alice Speri / The Intercept:
Inside the Aggressive Legal War to Shield the Founder of Russia's Wagner Group
Tim Pearce / The Daily Wire:
EXCLUSIVE POLL: Kari Lake In Lead For Arizona Gov, Masters Trails Kelly By One Point For Senate
Alana Goodman / Washington Free Beacon:
Barnes Praises Khamenei, Hopes to Be ‘Dennis Rodman’ of the Assad Regime
Discussion: National Review and Twitchy
David Gilbert / VICE:
Trump Is Already Boosting Election Conspiracies Ahead of the Midterms
Discussion: Raw Story and The Gateway Pundit
Barak Ravid / Axios:
Scoop: Ukraine officially asks Israel for Iron Dome, other defense systems
Emily Peck / Axios:
Remote work may have fueled a baby boom among U.S. women
Discussion: Political Wire
 Earlier Items: 
Isaac Schorr / National Review:
Stacey Abrams Floats Abortion as an Inflation Fix: 'Having Children Is Why You're Worried' about Rising Prices
Liz Alderman / New York Times:
Bread Prices Skyrocket as Inflation Grips Europe
Associated Press:
Val Demings goes on attack against Marco Rubio in Florida Senate debate
Washington Post:
Ukraine live briefing: Putin declares martial law in four illegally annexed regions of Ukraine
Hallie Jackson / MSNBC:
Record breaking early voter turnout could be wake up call for Republicans