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6:30 PM ET, October 19, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Upset Alert  —  Where to look out for surprising results; rating changes in Senate, House, and gubernatorial races  —  KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE  — As we approach Election Day, the basic fundamentals of this midterm may be reasserting themselves, to the benefit of Republicans.
RELATED:
Greg Sargent / Washington Post:
They were elected to stop Trump.  Now they're fighting for their lives.  —  As we hurtle into the final stretch of the midterm elections, many of the Democrats who were elected in the exhilarating 2018 wave election are now staring into the abyss of defeat.  And at the core of their plight sits an unnerving paradox.
Politico:
POLITICO Playbook: Breaking down the GOP's midterm momentum
Steven Shepard / Politico:
A slate of races now lean Republican in our latest forecast update
Discussion: RedState, Bloomberg and MLive.com
Politico:
Judge: Trump signed court document that knowingly included false voter fraud stats  —  Former President Donald Trump signed legal documents describing evidence of election fraud that he knew were false, a federal judge indicated on Wednesday.  —  U.S. District Court Judge David Carter wrote …
RELATED:
RELATED:
The Guardian:
Suella Braverman departs as UK home secretary
Bloomberg:
Truss's Government on the Brink as Tories Agitate for Her to Go
Maggie Haberman / New York Times:
In 2021 Video, Trump Asks, ‘Is This a Good Jewish Character Right Here?’  —  Donald Trump made bigoted remarks about Jews and Persians at an event in 2021, in a new video provided by a British documentary filmmaker.  —  Former President Donald J. Trump inquired whether a documentary filmmaker recording …
Jane Mayer / New Yorker:
The Conservative Stalwart Challenging the Far-Right Legal Theory That Could Subvert American Democracy  —  J. Michael Luttig is opposing Republican groups in one of the most momentous cases that the Supreme Court is considering this term.  —  A powerful new litigant has joined …
Discussion: Raw Story
Stephen Gutowski / The Reload:
Why I'm Joining CNN as an Analyst  —  I have signed a contract to be a contributor with CNN.  —  I'm excited about the opportunity to work with many solid reporters and reach a new audience.  I've long criticized how major media outlets have reported on firearms.
Washington Post:
Whites now more likely to die from covid than Blacks: Why the pandemic shifted  —  SOMERVILLE, Tenn. — Skill Wilson had amassed more than three decades of knowledge as a paramedic, first in Memphis and then in Fayette County.  Two places that felt like night and day.
Discussion: Balloon Juice
New York Times:
‘The World According to Fox’: A C.E.O.'s Vision Gets Tested in Court  —  Suzanne Scott remade Fox News Media into a lucrative consumer brand.  But a $1.6 billion defamation suit against the company is testing her strategy and leadership.  —  Before the committee investigating …
Heather Knight / San Francisco Chronicle:
S.F. is spending $1.7 million on one public toilet: ‘What are they making it out of — gold?’  —  San Francisco politicians will gather at the Noe Valley Town Square Wednesday afternoon to congratulate themselves for securing state money for a long-desired toilet in the northeast corner of the charming plaza.
Sebastian Murdock / HuffPost:
Arizona GOP Candidate Arrested For Allegedly Masturbating In Truck Near Preschool  —  Maricopa County officials say it's too late to remove Randy Kaufman from the ballot in the race for a college district board.  —  A GOP candidate running for an Arizona college district's governing board …
Eric Levitz / New York Magazine:
How the Diploma Divide Is Remaking American Politics  —  Education is at the heart of this country's many divisions.  —  Blue America is an increasingly wealthy and well-educated place.  —  Throughout the second half of the 20th century, Americans without college degrees were more likely than university graduates to vote Democratic.
Discussion: New Republic
RELATED:
Tyler Cowen / Marginal REVOLUTION:   Classical liberalism vs. The New Right
Kara Scannell / CNN:
Trump scheduled to appear Wednesday for deposition in E. Jean Carroll lawsuit  —  Former President Donald Trump is set to answer questions under oath Wednesday as part of the defamation lawsuit brought by former magazine columnist E. Jean Carroll.  —  Last week, a federal judge cleared …
Poppy Noor / The Guardian:
What a pregnancy actually looks like before 10 weeks - in pictures  —  In 13 US states, abortion is banned even in the earliest stages of pregnancy.  But we rarely see what such tissue really looks like  —  bortion is now banned or severely restricted in 14 states in the US …
Chris Strohm / Bloomberg:
Trump Prosecutors See Evidence for Obstruction Charges  —  A group of Justice Department prosecutors believe there is sufficient evidence to charge Donald Trump with obstruction of justice, but the path to an actual indictment is far from clear.  —  The team that's part of the classified records probe …
U.S. Department of Justice:
Justice Department Announces Charges and Arrests in Two Cases Involving Export Violation Schemes to Aid Russian Military  —  In Two Separate Cases, Charges Filed Against Two Companies and Half a Dozen Individuals Arrested for Alleged Illegal Sale and Export of Powerful Dual-Use Technologies
Tessa Weinberg / Missouri Independent:
‘Attempted intimidation’: Missouri AG sent five requests for MSU emails, records  —  The requests to Missouri State University came months ahead of two highly criticized open records requests Attorney General Eric Schmitt's office sent to the University of Missouri (Madeline Carter/Missouri Independent).
Bill Lueders / The Bulwark:
Attack Ads Are Darkening the Skin Tone of Black Candidates  —  While those responsible claim innocent technical problems, the larger pattern is consistent.  So is the effect: heightened white racial anxieties.  —  It's working.  Once ahead in the polls, Democrat Mandela Barnes …
Discussion: Talking Points Memo and The Hill
Jacqui Palumbo / CNN:
Groundbreaking movie star Anna May Wong to be first Asian American featured on US currency  —  Early movie star Anna May Wong, who broke into Hollywood during the silent film era, will become the first Asian American to appear on US currency, a century after she landed her first leading role.
Danielle Campoamor / TODAY.com:
Texas schools send parents DNA kits to identify their kids' bodies in emergencies  —  The state of Texas is sending public school students home with DNA kits designed to help their parents identify their children “in case of an emergency.”  —  In 2021, the Texas state legislature passed Senate Bill …
Nick Corasaniti / New York Times:
A Democratic Group Pours $20 Million Into State Legislative Races  —  With a Supreme Court case that could give state legislative bodies nearly absolute power over federal elections, these normally overlooked races are drawing attention.  —  With the battle for state legislatures taking …
Dan Merica / CNN:
Walker as recently as August indicated he opposed exceptions to abortion, contrary to debate claim  —  Georgia Republican Senate nominee Herschel Walker said as recently as August that he opposes any exceptions to a ban on abortion, despite stating the opposite during his first and only debate …
New York Times:
Bernie Sanders, Fearing Weak Democratic Turnout, Plans Midterms Blitz  —  Mr. Sanders said he thought the Democratic Party was “doing rather poorly” at selling itself to working-class voters.  —  Senator Bernie Sanders is planning an eight-state blitz with at least 19 events over the final …
Charles R. Davis / Insider:
GOP gubernatorial nominee Doug Mastriano's new ad uses same stock footage as Russian propaganda  — An ad posted by the Doug Mastriano campaign uses footage previously featured in Russian propaganda.  — The stock footage of two young girls appears to have come from a videographer in Belarus.
Discussion: Political Wire
New York Times:
Where Have All the Men in Moscow Gone?  —  Across the capital, there are noticeably fewer men at restaurants, stores and social gatherings.  Many have been called up to fight in Ukraine.  Others have fled to avoid being drafted.  —  MOSCOW — Friday afternoons at the Chop-Chop Barbershop …
Noah Wyhof-Rudnick / Cygnal:
Cygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Ohio Statewide - 10/19/22  —  A large majority - 70% of voters - believe the United States is heading in the wrong direction, with 48% saying the U.S. is definitely heading in the wrong direction.  Inflation and the cost of living is the top concern for 34% of voters …
Discussion: The Hill, CBS News and Breitbart
Reuters:
Japan rushes to rearm with eye on 2027 - and China's Taiwan ambitions  —  Between China's 20th Communist Party Congress, that began Sunday, and the next one in 2027, Japan will undertake its biggest arms buildup since World War Two in a race to deter Beijing from war in East Asia …
Discussion: Washington Examiner
Russell Contreras / Axios:
GOP candidate and immigration hardliner had a grandmother who faced deportation  —  Nevada's Republican senatorial nominee, Adam Laxalt, has taken a hard-line stance against DREAMers and illegal immigration — despite his late father, Sen. Pete Domenici of New Mexico, once saying Laxalt's grandmother was undocumented.
Discussion: National Review
Jordan Fischer / wusa9.com:
Trial begins for Capitol Police officer accused of warning rioter to take down incriminating info  —  Prosecutors say USCP Officer Michael Angelo Riley obstructed a grand jury when he advised a Capitol rioter to delete information from a Facebook post.  —  WASHINGTON — The trial …
Discussion: NBC News
Wall Street Journal:
As Covid Hit, Washington Officials Traded Stocks With Exquisite Timing  —  Some sold in January 2020 when the government began mobilizing against the threat.  Others bought shares as a market-rescue plan was taking shape.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Lindsay Weber / Morning Call:
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Lisa Scheller, Susan Wild in ‘dead heat’ for Lehigh Valley's seat in Congress
Reuters:
Pro-Trump conspiracy theorists hound election officials out of office
Discussion: FiveThirtyEight
Ameillia Wedward / Wisconsin Institute for Law …:
WILL Asks SCOTUS to Stop the Biden Student Loan Forgiveness Plan
Nicholas Fandos / New York Times:
Zeldin Built His Profile Defending Trump. Will New Yorkers Mind?
Discussion: Mid Hudson News and New York Post
Alice Speri / The Intercept:
Inside the Aggressive Legal War to Shield the Founder of Russia's Wagner Group
Zachary Petrizzo / The Daily Beast:
Marjorie Taylor Greene Tries to Take a Stand for ‘Confederate Soldiers’ Using Monument to Union Troops
Discussion: Occupy Democrats and Raw Story
 Earlier Items: 
Alana Goodman / Washington Free Beacon:
Barnes Praises Khamenei, Hopes to Be ‘Dennis Rodman’ of the Assad Regime
Discussion: National Review and Twitchy
Julia Terruso / The Philadelphia Inquirer:
John Fetterman is in good health, his doctor says in a new medical report
Isaac Schorr / National Review:
Stacey Abrams Floats Abortion as an Inflation Fix: 'Having Children Is Why You're Worried' about Rising Prices
Liz Alderman / New York Times:
Bread Prices Skyrocket as Inflation Grips Europe
Ed Pilkington / The Guardian:
Inside Steve Bannon's ‘disturbing’ quest to radically rewrite the US constitution
Discussion: Raw Story
Washington Post:
Ukraine live briefing: Putin declares martial law in four illegally annexed regions of Ukraine