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6:00 AM ET, November 6, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
A Key Polling Warning Sign Has Dimmed Since September  —  The emergence of Republican-leaning pollsters has reduced the risk that polling averages will overestimate Democrats.  —  Way back in September, we noticed a warning sign in the polls: Democrats were showing strength in exactly …
RELATED:
Washington Post:
Post-ABC poll: House vote nearly split, GOP has edge on economy and turnout  —  Republicans need to win a net of five seats to take control of the House.  Democrats face overwhelming odds to prevent that from happening.  —  Republicans hold significant advantages on the bread-and-butter issues …
Discussion: ABC News
Maureen Dowd / New York Times:
The Marjorie Taylor Greene-ing of America
Discussion: CNN, Axios and WHNT-TV
Reuters:
Biden, Trump push Pennsylvania U.S. Senate candidates ahead of midterms
Nate Cohn / New York Times:   Polling Averages Can Be Useful, but What's Underneath Has Changed
Washington Post:
U.S. privately asks Ukraine to show it's open to negotiate with Russia  —  The encouragement is aimed not at pushing Ukraine to the negotiating table, but ensuring it maintains a moral high ground in the eyes of its international backers  —  The Biden administration is privately encouraging Ukraine's leaders …
Des Moines Register:
Iowa Poll: Chuck Grassley widens lead over Mike Franken in US Senate race  —  Brianne Pfannenstiel Stephen Gruber-MillerDes Moines Register  —  Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley has gained a double-digit lead over Democrat Mike Franken in the closing days of Iowa's U.S. Senate race, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
Discussion: Fox News and Vox
Paul Farhi / Washington Post:
NBC retracts erroneous Paul Pelosi story that fueled conspiracy theories  —  People at the network said the ‘Today’ show report was based on ‘unreliable’ information from a source who was unnamed in the story.  —  NBC News reporter Miguel Almaguer had what seemed like a scoop on Friday …
TMZ.com:
Aaron Carter Dead at 34  —  EXCLUSIVE  — 205.5K … UPDATE  —  4:53 PM PT — Aaron's fiancé, Melanie Martin, tells TMZ ... “My fiancé Aaron Carter has passed away.  I love Aaron with all my heart and it's going to be a journey to raise a son without a father.
Savannah Kuchar / USA Today:
Protectors of democracy: Why these 27 races may be the most critical in midterm elections  —  Candidates who have often been overlooked by voters in past elections have an outsized presence in these midterm elections.  —  Ahead of Election Day, Republicans and Democrats running for secretary …
Charles / PollsAndVotes:
Pre-election polling trends  —  Here is my look at the pre-election polling, as of Nov. 5, 2022.  —  The raw polling data is from FiveThirtyEight.com, who generously allow download of their polling database.  The trends are my estimates and not those of FiveThirtyEight or anyone else.
New York Times:
How Republicans Fed a Misinformation Loop About the Pelosi Attack  —  Suggested Mr. Pelosi knew his attacker. Suggested the attack involved male prostitution. Repeated a false report that the attacker was in his underwear. Suggested Mr. Pelosi knew his attacker. Suggested the attack involved male prostitution. Repeated a false report
Jack Nicas / New York Times:
What Can US Democracy Learn From Brazil?  —  Both nations had presidents who attacked their elections.  But their responses — and the aftermaths — were much different.  —  BRASÍLIA — The run-ups to the most recent presidential elections in the Western Hemisphere's two largest democracies were remarkably similar.
Hannah Sampson / Washington Post:
Ron DeSantis, who denounced Disney, actually got married there  —  The Florida governor passed a law in April to revoke Disney's special taxing status  —  Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) has been on the offense against the Walt Disney Co. for months, criticizing the entertainment giant …
Adam Sabes / Fox News:
Rep. Maloney recalls ‘eating Chef Boyardee’ as kid during inflation talk, says it's ‘what families have to do’  —  Maloney was discussing inflation during an interview when he made the comments  —  Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chairman Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, D-N.Y. …
Discussion: New York Post and Breitbart
Alex Gangitano / The Hill:
Obama says 'we'd have a very different Supreme Court' if Dems had kept the Senate in 2014  —  Former President Obama on Saturday said that the makeup of the Supreme Court would be very different if Democrats had held onto the Senate in the 2014 midterms, laying out the importance of this midterm cycle …
Discussion: Washington Post and Political Wire
Nico Grant / New York Times:
YouTube May Have Misinformation Blind Spots, Researchers Say  —  The video platform said it had limited the spread of misinformation ahead of Election Day, but new research showed that false narratives continued to slip through.  —  No, China has not worked with Democrats to steal the midterm elections …
Politico:
Manchin-Biden coal clash highlights Democratic divisions at a perilous moment  —  Joe Manchin clashed Saturday with President Joe Biden over the politics of coal — a poorly timed breach between a pair of Democratic heavyweights just three days before voters head to the polls.
RELATED:
Alex Gangitano / The Hill:
Biden on people calling him a socialist: ‘Give me a break, what idiots’
 
 
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 More Items: 
Dell Cameron / Gizmodo:
Homeland Security Admits It Tried to Manufacture Fake Terrorists for Trump
Austin Dahmer / The National Interest:
Strategic Scarcity: Allocating Arms and Attention in Washington
Brenda Gazzar / The Wrap:
David Letterman Netflix Show Cut Out Kanye ‘Ye’ West Comments on ‘Nazis’ and Rihanna Payback (Exclusive)
Discussion: The Daily Beast
Daniel Dale / CNN:
Fact check: Biden's midterms message includes false and misleading claims
Discussion: Twitchy
Wall Street Journal:
‘The Big One Is Coming’ and the U.S. Military Isn't Ready
Discussion: Washington Examiner
The White House:
Remarks by President Biden on the CHIPS and Science Act
Discussion: The Hill and NewsNation
Hayley Dixon / Telegraph:
Trans criminals can use ‘loophole’ to hide previous convictions when applying for jobs
Jazmine Ulloa / New York Times:
In Arizona, Kari Lake Worked in Local TV News. Now, She Calls Reporters ‘Monsters.’
 Earlier Items: 
Piper French / Bolts:
In San Francisco, “No Intention to Seek Justice”
Rosie Gray / New York Times:
The Unruly Heirs of Sarah Palin
Discussion: Althouse
Jon Levine / New York Post:
Insiders say Eric Adams wouldn't be upset with Zeldin win
Miami Herald:
Assailant encouraged GOP canvasser to ‘do your job’ — raising questions about Rubio's account
Discussion: Raw Story
Patrick Marley / Washington Post:
Lawsuit seeks to block counting of military ballots in Wisconsin
Discussion: The Hill and Raw Story
Jerry Dunleavy / Washington Examiner:
Elon Musk embraces Twitter official who censored Hunter Biden laptop stories