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2:05 PM ET, November 7, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Steven Shepard / Politico:
POLITICO's final Election Forecast: Senate up for grabs, GOP on brink of House majority  —  Republicans have a grip on the House majority.  But the Senate is firmly up for grabs.  —  That's the topline of the final updates before Tuesday's vote to POLITICO's Election Forecast …
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Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
The 3 Big Questions I Still Have About Election Day  —  With less than 24 hours to go until we freeze our model,1 we're probably not going to see a lot more changes in the topline forecast.  Republicans have a 54 percent chance of winning the Senate and an 83 percent chance in the House, according to our Deluxe forecast.
The Daily Beast:
Pollsters Have 'No F*cking Idea What's Going to Happen' This Election  —  Pollsters and election handicappers are very worried they could be wrong in decisive ways for the 2022 midterms.  —  If the pollsters and handicappers end up being spectacularly wrong on Election Night …
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Final Ratings for the 2022 Election
Ruby Cramer / Washington Post:   Beto O'Rourke's third campaign in 6 years embodies Democrats' unrealized gains
Wall Street Journal:
GOP Gaining Support Among Black and Latino Voters, WSJ Poll Finds  —  Republicans appear to be in a better position with both groups heading into the midterms than they were in 2020 or 2018.  —  A Seismic Shift: Why Latino Voters Could Decide Key Races in 2022  —  YOU MAY ALSO LIKE
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Ronald Brownstein / The Atlantic:
How a GOP Congress Could Roll Back Freedoms Nationwide  —  If Republicans win control of one or both congressional chambers this week, they will likely begin a project that could reshape the nation's political and legal landscape: imposing on blue states the rollback of civil rights and liberties …
Discussion: Raw Story and Voice of America
Washington Post:
Republicans sue to disqualify thousands of mail ballots in swing states  —  The lawsuits coincide with a systemic effort by GOP leaders to persuade voters to cast ballots in person, not absentee  —  Republican officials and candidates in at least three battleground states are pushing …
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Margot Cleveland / The Federalist:
Democracy Isn't At Risk, Democrats Are  —  A red wave will not be an end to our representative democracy.  It will just be an end to the Democrat representatives.  —  Last week confirmed the “democracy at risk” theme will serve as Democrats' closing argument heading into Tuesday's midterm elections.
Discussion: Washington Post and Twitchy
Jonathan Lemire / Politico:
Biden closes the election with a big roll of the dice
Dov Fischer / The American Spectator:
Who Is the Real Threat to Democracy?
Discussion: The Nation and The Daily Caller
Neil Vigdor / New York Times:
Biden tries to shore up support for Hochul in the homestretch.
Haisten Willis / Washington Examiner:
Biden promises ‘no more drilling’ two days before crucial midterm elections
Associated Press:
'Putin's chef' admits to interfering in U.S. elections  —  Yevgeny Prigozhin, an entrepreneur known as “Putin's chef” because of his catering contracts with the Kremlin, on Monday admitted he had interfered in U.S. elections and said he would continue to do so — for the first time confirming …
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Reuters:
Russia's Prigozhin admits interfering in U.S. elections  —  Russian businessman Yevgeny Prigozhin said on Monday he had interfered in U.S. elections and would continue doing so in future, the first such admission from a figure who has been formally implicated by Washington in efforts to influence American politics.
Mike Allen / Axios:
Scoop: Top Dems warn party is seen as extreme … - “Despite a roster of GOP candidates who are extreme by any standard, voters see Democrats as just as extreme, as well as far less concerned about the issues that most worry them.” … In a brutal bill of particulars, the Third Way memo …
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Victor Davis Hanson / American Greatness:   The Pathetic Democratic Pantheon
Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / The Daily Beast:
Musk Shares a Nazi Meme Then Tells Twitter to Vote Republican  —  MANIC MONDAY  —  Life comes at you fast.  Six months ago, Elon Musk wrote, “For Twitter to deserve public trust, it must be politically neutral, which effectively means upsetting the far right and the far left equally.”
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Nikki McCann Ramirez / Rolling Stone:
Elon Musk Says the Quiet Part Out Loud, Tells His Minions to Vote GOP
Eric Geller / Politico:
6 election security threats to watch for on Election Day  —  The midterms face a bevy of digital threats, from stolen Twitter accounts to hacked election websites, that could spark chaos, confusion and unrest that last long after the polls close.  —  The 2020 presidential election was rife …
Associated Press:
Jackson, in dissent, issues first Supreme Court opinion  —  New Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson has issued her first Supreme Court opinion, a short dissent Monday in support of a death row inmate from Ohio.  Jackson wrote that she would have thrown out lower court rulings in the case of inmate Davel Chinn …
New York Times:
Trump-DeSantis Rift Grows, With Dueling Rallies in Florida  —  The Republican Party's top two stars are campaigning, separately, in the midterms' last days.  —  SUN CITY CENTER, Fla. — Former President Donald J. Trump hasn't endorsed Gov. Ron DeSantis this year because, as he has explained, his fellow Floridian never asked.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Paul Steinhauser / Fox News:
Sen. Tom Cotton: ‘Family was really the only consideration’ in his decision not to run for president in 2024
Rebecca Davis O'Brien / New York Times:
An Ex-Trump Adviser's Acquittal Shows How Politics and Business Intertwine
Washington Post:
CISA is taking a hands-off approach to election lies on Twitter
Discussion: New York Times
United States Courts:
New Database Eases Release of Judges' Finance Reports
Amanda Carpenter / The Bulwark:
Conspiracists Beware: Post-Election Lies Could Land You in Legal Hot Water
Discussion: Raw Story
CBS News:
Industry ethicist: Social media companies amplifying Americans' anger for profit
Discussion: The Post Millennial
 Earlier Items: 
Charlotte Klein / Vanity Fair:
“My Job in This Role Is to Not Guess”: Jen Psaki's TV Career Is Getting Off the Ground
Discussion: Washington Examiner
Colleen Flaherty / Inside Higher Ed:
Divisive Academic Freedom Conference Proceeds
Discussion: Common Sense
Robert P. Baird / Columbia Journalism Review:
‘The Left Edge of the Possible’
Peter Wade / Rolling Stone:
Trump ‘Apologizes’ to Matt Gaetz on Behalf of America. America Rolls Its Eyes
Discussion: Occupy Democrats
Wall Street Journal:
Facebook Parent Meta Is Preparing to Notify Employees of Large-Scale Layoffs This Week
 

 
From Techmeme:

Mark Gurman / Bloomberg:
Sources: Apple is working on a smart doorbell system with advanced facial recognition that can wirelessly connect and unlock third-party smart locks

Lee-Anne Mulholland / The Keyword:
Google files its proposed remedies in the DOJ's search antitrust lawsuit, including letting browser companies have multiple default agreements across platforms

Wall Street Journal:
Gina Raimondo says holding back China in the chips race is a “fool's errand”, and investment, more than export controls, will keep US ahead of Beijing
 
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