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7:20 PM ET, November 7, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Final Ratings for the 2022 Election  —  KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE  — Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat.  — Our final House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats.  — Our projected gubernatorial picture …
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Washington Post:
Trump spooks GOP with talk of presidential launch on eve of vote  —  Top Republicans spent the day before the election trying to talk Trump out of announcing before the midterms for fear of mobilizing Democrats  —  Former president Donald Trump set off a scramble Monday in the Republican Party …
Wall Street Journal:
GOP Gaining Support Among Black and Latino Voters, WSJ Poll Finds  —  Republicans appear to be in a better position with both groups heading into the midterms than they were in 2020 or 2018.  —  A Seismic Shift: Why Latino Voters Could Decide Key Races in 2022  —  YOU MAY ALSO LIKE
Steven Shepard / Politico:
POLITICO's final Election Forecast: Senate up for grabs, GOP on brink of House majority  —  Republicans have a grip on the House majority.  But the Senate is firmly up for grabs.  —  That's the topline of the final updates before Tuesday's vote to POLITICO's Election Forecast …
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
The 3 Big Questions I Still Have About Election Day  —  With less than 24 hours to go until we freeze our model,1 we're probably not going to see a lot more changes in the topline forecast.  Republicans have a 54 percent chance of winning the Senate and an 83 percent chance in the House, according to our Deluxe forecast.
Shelby Talcott / Semafor:
Trump is considering moving up his presidential announcement (again)  —  Shelby is a Political Reporter for Semafor, joining us from the Daily Caller.  Morgan is a Political and National Security Reporter for Semafor, joining us from The Hill.  Sign up for the daily Principals newsletter to get our insider's guide to American power.
Margot Cleveland / The Federalist:
Democracy Isn't At Risk, Democrats Are
Discussion: Twitchy and Washington Post
Ruby Cramer / Washington Post:   Beto O'Rourke's third campaign in 6 years embodies Democrats' unrealized gains
Third Way:
Overcoming the Democratic Party Brand
Henry Olsen / Washington Post:
Midterm election prediction: The Great Republican Resurgence is coming
Washington Post:
Republicans sue to disqualify thousands of mail ballots in swing states  —  The lawsuits coincide with a systemic effort by GOP leaders to persuade voters to cast ballots in person, not absentee  —  Republican officials and candidates in at least three battleground states are pushing …
RELATED:
Lori Rozsa / Washington Post:
Black voters in Florida express fear, confusion as DeSantis election laws kick in  —  HOBE SOUND, Fla. — Geraldine Harriel usually helps her elderly parents vote by taking their mail-in ballots to the elections office for them.  But new voting laws in Florida and Gov. Ron DeSantis's elections police force …
Discussion: Raw Story and NPR
Associated Press:
'Putin's chef' admits to interfering in U.S. elections  —  Yevgeny Prigozhin, an entrepreneur known as “Putin's chef” because of his catering contracts with the Kremlin, on Monday admitted he had interfered in U.S. elections and said he would continue to do so — for the first time confirming …
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Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / The Daily Beast:
Musk Shares a Nazi Meme and Then Tells Twitter to Vote Republican  —  The new Twitter boss was having another totally normal one on Monday morning.  —  Breaking News Intern  —  Life comes at you fast.  Six months ago, Elon Musk wrote, “For Twitter to deserve public trust …
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Nikki McCann Ramirez / Rolling Stone:
Elon Musk Says the Quiet Part Out Loud, Tells His Minions to Vote GOP  —  Twitter's new owner has been indulging conservative commentators all year  —  IN A TWEET that shocked absolutely no one, Elon Musk instructed his sycophants to vote Republican in the midterm elections.
U.S. Department of Justice:
Justice Department to Monitor Polls in 24 States for Compliance with Federal Voting Rights Laws  —  The Justice Department announced today its plans to monitor compliance with federal voting rights laws in 64 jurisdictions in 24 states for the Nov. 8, 2022 general election.
Eric Geller / Politico:
6 election security threats to watch for on Election Day  —  The midterms face a bevy of digital threats, from stolen Twitter accounts to hacked election websites, that could spark chaos, confusion and unrest that last long after the polls close.  —  The 2020 presidential election was rife …
RELATED:
Isaac Stanley-Becker / Washington Post:   A meme about blue pens shows 2020 false claims still warp voting in 2022
Washington Post:
Election officials fear counting delays will help fuel claims of fraud
Nancy Cook / Bloomberg:
Inflation-Focused Voters Defy Biden's Bid to Change the Subject  —  After months of talk about reproductive rights, threats to democracy, climate change, immigration and crime, the US midterm elections are coming down to the way Americans feel about the overall state of the economy and, in particular, inflation.
RELATED:
Glenn Kessler / Washington Post:
A Bottomless Pinocchio for Biden — and other recent gaffes
Jim Geraghty / National Review:
A Few More Biden Lies about the Debt Before Election Day
Discussion: Fox News
Associated Press:
Jackson, in dissent, issues first Supreme Court opinion  —  New Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson has issued her first Supreme Court opinion, a short dissent Monday in support of a death row inmate from Ohio.  Jackson wrote that she would have thrown out lower court rulings in the case of inmate Davel Chinn …
RELATED:
Greg Sargent / Washington Post:
The Trump-DeSantis feud just got worse.  A hidden factor is driving it.  —  When Donald Trump starts belittling you with a sandbox nickname, you know you're in real trouble — especially if you're a Republican with ambitions for higher office.  —  The Florida governor's allies …
Brad Dress / The Hill:
Nikki Haley says Warnock should be deported at Walker rally  —  Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (R) on Sunday said that Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) should be deported as she rallied for Georgia's Republican Senate nominee, Herschel Walker.  —  “Legal immigrants are more patriotic …
David Troy / Byline Times:
'Musk's Twitter Buy Makes No Sense - Unless It's Part of Something Bigger'  —  Brexit and Trump were initially seen as jokes, but the new owner of the social media giant could pose a serious threat to democracy - and a boon for Vladimir Putin, writes David Troy
Discussion: Adweek, The Hill and Variety
Clare Foran / CNN:
‘I never thought it would be Paul’: Nancy Pelosi reveals how she first heard her husband had been attacked  —  Exclusive: Pelosi recounts moment she learned that her husband was attacked John King: These midterms are the most complicated of my lifetime Kevin McCarthy asked about impeaching Biden if GOP wins House.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Eileen Grench / The Daily Beast:
MAGA Candidate Slapped With Cease-and-Desist Over ‘Racist’ TV Spot
Discussion: Occupy Democrats and Raw Story
David Weigel / Semafor:
Republicans hope Michigan is proof-of-concept for an LGBT backlash
Discussion: National Review and The Daily Wire
Elena Schneider / Politico:
Specter of midterm wipeout threatens Dem plans to shake up presidential primaries
Hyung-Jin Kim / Associated Press:
North Korea: Missile tests were practice to attack South, US
Washington Post:
Oath Keepers' leader Rhodes denies conspiracy to enter Capitol on Jan. 6
 Earlier Items: 
NBC News:
Timothy Griffin of New York state is killed fighting Russians in Ukraine
Discussion: CNN and Washington Examiner
Rebecca Davis O'Brien / New York Times:
An Ex-Trump Adviser's Acquittal Shows How Politics and Business Intertwine
Colleen Flaherty / Inside Higher Ed:
Divisive Academic Freedom Conference Proceeds
Discussion: Common Sense
Robert P. Baird / Columbia Journalism Review:
‘The Left Edge of the Possible’