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7:50 PM ET, November 7, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Final Ratings for the 2022 Election  —  KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE  — Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat.  — Our final House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats.  — Our projected gubernatorial picture …
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Washington Post:
Trump spooks GOP with talk of presidential launch on eve of vote  —  Top Republicans spent the day before the election trying to talk Trump out of announcing before the midterms for fear of mobilizing Democrats  —  Former president Donald Trump set off a scramble Monday in the Republican Party …
Wall Street Journal:
GOP Gaining Support Among Black and Latino Voters, WSJ Poll Finds  —  Republicans appear to be in a better position with both groups heading into the midterms than they were in 2020 or 2018.  —  A Seismic Shift: Why Latino Voters Could Decide Key Races in 2022  —  YOU MAY ALSO LIKE
Steven Shepard / Politico:
POLITICO's final Election Forecast: Senate up for grabs, GOP on brink of House majority  —  Republicans have a grip on the House majority.  But the Senate is firmly up for grabs.  —  That's the topline of the final updates before Tuesday's vote to POLITICO's Election Forecast …
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
The 3 Big Questions I Still Have About Election Day  —  With less than 24 hours to go until we freeze our model,1 we're probably not going to see a lot more changes in the topline forecast.  Republicans have a 54 percent chance of winning the Senate and an 83 percent chance in the House, according to our Deluxe forecast.
Margot Cleveland / The Federalist:
Democracy Isn't At Risk, Democrats Are
Discussion: Twitchy and Washington Post
Ruby Cramer / Washington Post:   Beto O'Rourke's third campaign in 6 years embodies Democrats' unrealized gains
Henry Olsen / Washington Post:
Midterm election prediction: The Great Republican Resurgence is coming
Third Way:
Overcoming the Democratic Party Brand
Washington Post:
Republicans sue to disqualify thousands of mail ballots in swing states  —  The lawsuits coincide with a systemic effort by GOP leaders to persuade voters to cast ballots in person, not absentee  —  Republican officials and candidates in at least three battleground states are pushing …
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Lori Rozsa / Washington Post:
Black voters in Florida express fear, confusion as DeSantis election laws kick in  —  HOBE SOUND, Fla. — Geraldine Harriel usually helps her elderly parents vote by taking their mail-in ballots to the elections office for them.  But new voting laws in Florida and Gov. Ron DeSantis's elections police force …
Discussion: Raw Story and NPR
Washington Post:
Election officials fear counting delays will help fuel claims of fraud
Associated Press:
'Putin's chef' admits to interfering in U.S. elections  —  Yevgeny Prigozhin, an entrepreneur known as “Putin's chef” because of his catering contracts with the Kremlin, on Monday admitted he had interfered in U.S. elections and said he would continue to do so — for the first time confirming …
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Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / The Daily Beast:
Musk Shares a Nazi Meme and Then Tells Twitter to Vote Republican  —  The new Twitter boss was having another totally normal one on Monday morning.  —  Breaking News Intern  —  Life comes at you fast.  Six months ago, Elon Musk wrote, “For Twitter to deserve public trust …
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Nikki McCann Ramirez / Rolling Stone:
Elon Musk Says the Quiet Part Out Loud, Tells His Minions to Vote GOP
Eileen Grench / The Daily Beast:
MAGA Candidate Slapped With Cease-and-Desist Over ‘Racist’ TV Spot  —  Saheed Vassell was shot and killed by the NYPD four years ago—and somehow is being used as a symbol of New York's new governor being soft on crime.  —  In 2018, officers from the New York City Police Department shot …
Discussion: Occupy Democrats and Raw Story
Ariane de Vogue / CNN:
Ketanji Brown Jackson issues her first written opinion as a Supreme Court justice — a dissent  —  Ketanji Brown Jackson, in her first written opinion as a Supreme Court justice, said she would have sided with an inmate who argued that Ohio suppressed evidence that might have helped him at trial.
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Greg Sargent / Washington Post:
The Trump-DeSantis feud just got worse.  A hidden factor is driving it.  —  When Donald Trump starts belittling you with a sandbox nickname, you know you're in real trouble — especially if you're a Republican with ambitions for higher office.  —  The Florida governor's allies …
Glenn Kessler / Washington Post:
A Bottomless Pinocchio for Biden — and other recent gaffes  —  President Biden is a self-described “gaffe machine.”  That's no excuse, of course, for a president making false or misleading statements.  Readers have asked for fact checks of a variety of recent Biden statements …
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David Weigel / Semafor:
Republicans hope Michigan is proof-of-concept for an LGBT backlash  —  Despite a tough year, Michigan Democrats are still favored to win the governor's race and pass an amendment codifying abortion rights.  Republicans believe a debate over transgender rights could spark an upset.  —  THE FACTS
Discussion: National Review and The Daily Wire
U.S. Department of Justice:
Justice Department to Monitor Polls in 24 States for Compliance with Federal Voting Rights Laws  —  The Justice Department announced today its plans to monitor compliance with federal voting rights laws in 64 jurisdictions in 24 states for the Nov. 8, 2022 general election.
Clare Foran / CNN:
‘I never thought it would be Paul’: Nancy Pelosi reveals how she first heard her husband had been attacked  —  Exclusive: Pelosi recounts moment she learned that her husband was attacked John King: These midterms are the most complicated of my lifetime Kevin McCarthy asked about impeaching Biden if GOP wins House.
Brad Dress / The Hill:
Nikki Haley says Warnock should be deported at Walker rally  —  Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (R) on Sunday said that Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) should be deported as she rallied for Georgia's Republican Senate nominee, Herschel Walker.  —  “Legal immigrants are more patriotic …
NBC News:
How the NBC News Decision Desk calls races on midterm election night 2022  —  Here's how NBC News calls races on election night, the steps it takes to verify results and the answers to some frequently asked questions.  —  How does NBC News project the outcomes of races?
Jonathan Allen / Reuters:
U.S. judge suspends many of New York's new gun restrictions  —  A federal judge in New York temporarily suspended many parts of the state's new gun restrictions on Monday to allow members of a gun-owners' rights group to continue their lawsuit challenging the new law as unconstitutional.
Discussion: The Hill
 
 
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 More Items: 
OpenSecrets.org:
Most Expensive Races  —  Some Congressional races are seeing more spent by super PACs …
Discussion: Fox News
Wall Street Journal:
Arizona's GOP Senate Candidate Masters is Noncommittal on Supporting McConnell as Leader
Discussion: Insider and Reason
Elena Schneider / Politico:
Specter of midterm wipeout threatens Dem plans to shake up presidential primaries
David Troy / Byline Times:
'Musk's Twitter Buy Makes No Sense - Unless It's Part of Something Bigger'
Discussion: Adweek, The Hill and Variety
Hyung-Jin Kim / Associated Press:
North Korea: Missile tests were practice to attack South, US
Washington Post:
Oath Keepers' leader Rhodes denies conspiracy to enter Capitol on Jan. 6
 Earlier Items: 
Isaac Stanley-Becker / Washington Post:
A meme about blue pens shows 2020 false claims still warp voting in 2022
NBC News:
Timothy Griffin of New York state is killed fighting Russians in Ukraine
Discussion: CNN and Washington Examiner
Rebecca Davis O'Brien / New York Times:
An Ex-Trump Adviser's Acquittal Shows How Politics and Business Intertwine