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1:15 PM ET, November 8, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Sahil Kapur / NBC News:
Early bellwethers: Key races to watch once polls close on election night  —  Georgia, Ohio, Pennsylvania and other key races to watch on Election Day  —  The 2022 midterms are shaping up to culminate in an unpredictable election night, with recent surveys showing close fights in a host …
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Final Election Update: The Forecast Is More Or Less Back Where It Started  —  Republicans are favored in the House.  The Senate is more competitive.  —  By Nate Silver  —  Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM  —  When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance …
Amy Walter / Cook Political Report:
Three Most Likely Scenarios for Tuesday  —  When it comes to possible outcomes on Tuesday night, I see three potential scenarios.  —  1. The Classic “Tsunami” Election  —  We can put the 1994/2006/2010 midterms into this category.  In this scenario, the bottom drops out for the party in the White House.
Spencer Abraham / Washington Free Beacon:
On Election Day, Here's What the Polls Really Say
Discussion: HotAir and Daily Kos
CNN:
Biden readies for ‘a horrible two years’ if GOP takes control of Congress  —  These investigations will take center stage in a Republican-led House  —  CNN political director explains how election calls are made  —  Pelosi describes her experience following husband's attack that was intended for her
RELATED:
Zeke Miller / Associated Press:
Biden's next 2 years: changes afoot whatever midterms bring
Jennifer Rubin / Washington Post:
Trump is losing steam.  That's reason for Biden to bow out in 2024.  —  Donald Trump is losing steam.  Even his nicknames have gotten weaker.  —  Over the weekend, right-wing commentators were irate at the former president for taking a jab at Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, whom he referred to as “Ron DeSanctimonious.”
RELATED:
Politico:
POLITICO Playbook: Bidenworld makes peace with the midterms  —  Presented by With help from Eli Okun and Garrett Ross  —  DRIVING THE DAY  —  Every ad has been cut.  Every speech has been delivered.  Every poll has been taken.  And now we wait for the voters to decide.  —  Needless to say, the stakes are high.
Kimberly Wehle / The Bulwark:
Case After Case After Case: The GOP Keeps Suing to Toss Out Midterm Ballots  —  “While it is easy to hurl accusations of violations of law and corruption, it is another matter to come forward and produce the evidence.”  —  The midterms have sparked debate as to whether this election is a referendum on the future of American democracy.
RELATED:
The Philadelphia Inquirer:
John Fetterman's Pa. Senate campaign is suing to have undated and misdated ballots counted  —  Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's campaign for U.S. Senate has joined the legal fight over whether mail ballots with no date or the incorrect date should be counted in Tuesday's election …
Wall Street Journal:
Ukraine's Zelensky Sets Conditions for ‘Genuine’ Peace Talks With Russia  —  President says he is open to negotiations that guarantee Ukraine's territorial integrity  —  Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said he was open to negotiations with Russia if they are focused …
RELATED:
Washington Post:
Russia's heavy casualties in Ukraine spark outcry and rare official response
Discussion: Washington Examiner and The Hill
Washington Post:
In one Ukrainian village, occupation ended — and the feud began
Discussion: New York Times
Tim Miller / The Triad:
The Empress of Trollistan: Kari Lake Is Having the Time of Her Life  —  The party that's having fun usually wins.  —  Hey fam: JVL here.  Tim has taken over the Triad this morning with a report from on the ground in Arizona.  Instead of guessing about what's going to happen today …
Lawrence Norden / Brennan Center for Justice:
Why Does It Take So Long to Count Mail Ballots in Key States?  Blame Legislatures … The slow count of mail ballots has been used to cast doubt on election results, but these delays are a deliberate choice by lawmakers in battleground states.  —  Lawrence Norden Photo  —  Derek Tisler Photo
Washington Post:
Photos from Election Day: Across the U.S., voters head to the polls  —  Voters across the U.S. head to the polls in the 2022 midterm elections.  Democrats and Republicans are locked in a fierce fight for control of the Senate, with a handful of races that could tip control of the chamber.
Discussion: USA Today and Iowa Starting Line
Sam Roberts / New York Times:
Ernie Lazar, Who Trawled for Secret Government Documents, Dies at 77  —  By pursuing his “unusual hobby” of filing as many as 10,000 Freedom of Information requests about extremist groups, he proved invaluable to historians and journalists.  —  Ernie Lazar, an unheralded hero of researchers …
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
Are the Polls Still Missing ‘Hidden’ Republicans?  Here's What We're Doing to Find Out.  —  There was no breakthrough in our experiment, but the differences were intriguing.  —  It won't be long until we learn the results of the 2022 midterm elections — and how the polls fared.
Julia Davis / The Daily Beast:
Putin Insiders Pray for ‘Frightening’ GOP Election Sweep  —  Kremlin cheerleaders are hoping for Republicans to win big in the midterms to unleash “poisonous American spiders, tearing each other up” on Capitol Hill.  —  Russian state media is following the midterm elections in the United States …
Discussion: Raw Story
David Gilbert / VICE:
Meet the ‘Black Robe Regiment’ of Extremist Pastors Spreading Christian Nationalism  —  “There is a very serious spiritual battle we have and we don't have any problem with saying we are fighting things we can't see.”  —  David Gilbert  —  TO  —  PHOENIX — Days before the midterm elections …
Bloomberg:
The US Northeast Is Hurtling Toward a Winter Heating Crisis  —  In the most densely populated corner of the US, temperatures are about to drop after a stretch of unusually warm weather.  And the signs of a winter crisis are already multiplying.  —  Heating oil delivered to New York is the priciest ever.
Washington Post:
DeSantis official says Justice Dept. can't send monitors to 3 Florida counties  —  The DeSantis administration is attempting to block Department of Justice election monitors from gaining access to polling places in South Florida, saying in a letter that the federal government's involvement would be …
Eli Lake / Commentary Magazine:
Can the FBI Be Saved from Itself—And Can We Be Saved from the FBI?  —  For the last half century, Americans have told themselves a pleasant story about the Federal Bureau of Investigation.  It goes like this: Yes, there were abuses during the long tenure of FBI Director J. Edgar Hoover.
Wall Street Journal:
China's Xi Jinping Plans Visit to Saudi Arabia Amid Global Reshuffling  —  Riyadh's expanded ties with Washington's rivals have helped deepen Chinese influence in the Middle East, where the U.S. once reigned supreme  —  Chinese leader Xi Jinping is planning to visit Saudi Arabia before the end of the year …
Discussion: Sputnik News
 
 
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 More Items: 
Rolling Stone:
Trump Keeps Musing About Journalists Being Raped in Prison — He's Not Joking
Karen Townsend / HotAir:
Political violence? Watch Senator Ted Cruz get hit with a can during Astros victory parade
Howard Kurtz / Fox News:
Media keep up hurling oppo at DeSantis, Lake and Walker, but here's why it may not matter
Discussion: Politics and History
Charlie Mahtesian / Politico:
The looming election disaster
Alexander Bolton / The Hill:
Chatter grows over potential Rick Scott GOP leadership challenge to Mitch McConnell
Reuters:
Exclusive: China cancelled EU leader's video address at opening of major trade expo
Discussion: The Guardian, Euractiv and Politico
 Earlier Items: 
Kalley Huang / New York Times:
What Is Mastodon and Why Are People Leaving Twitter for It?
Simon Rosenberg / NDN:
On This 2022 Election Eve Would Rather Be Us Than Them
Discussion: Raw Story and Washington Post
Anna Merlan / VICE:
Quack COVID Group America's Frontline Doctors Is Suing Its ‘Rogue Founder’ Simone Gold
Casey Newton / Platformer:
Musk discusses putting all of Twitter behind a paywall
Jonathan Allen / Reuters:
U.S. judge suspends many of New York's new gun restrictions
Discussion: abc7NY and The Hill
 

 
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Emma Roth / The Verge:
Mark Zuckerberg says Threads is testing custom feeds for certain profiles or topics; the Threads' version seems easier to use than Bluesky's custom feeds

Financial Times:
Sources: xAI raised $5B at a $45B valuation, almost double its valuation a few months ago; SpaceX prepares a tender offer that would value the company at $250B+

Jibin Joseph / PCMag:
UK mobile operator Virgin Media O2 creates Daisy, an AI-generated “scambaiter” tool that mimics the voice of an elderly woman to waste scammers' time
 
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